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Does global financial cycle drive systemic risk?
Economics Bulletin. 2021. Vol. 41. No. 4. P. 2320–2329.
The paper studies the relationship between a financial cycle proxy and conditional capital shortfall (SRISK), a popular systemic risk measure, at the global level. Based on causal and directional dependence analyses in the time and time-frequency domains, we find that global financial cycle (GFC) drives SRISK. Besides, the GFC variable appears more useful in forecasting world industrial production. The results emphasize the GFC relevance for monitoring financial stability and forecasting crises relative to narrow systemic risk measures.
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klaro Ramires P. M., Veselova A., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 699–718
As Russia transitions toward a green economy and reshapes its sustainable development agenda, understanding the external and internal factors influencing companies’ adoption of ESG principles is increasingly important. The study examines the relationships between external institutional pressure, internal organizational capabilities, and the effectiveness of corporate ESG practices. It focuses on external regulatory and non-regulatory mechanisms, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Nazarova A. G., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2026 № 3(72) С. 87–104
The article explores how results of constructing aggregate national transfer accounts’ (NTA) estimates can be used for macroeconomic analysis and forecasts of current transfers in home economy. It presents the findings of the author’s study of their transfer modules over retrospective period of more than 10 years. The emphasis in the paper is focused on ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Kossov V. V., НИЦ Инфра-М, 2026.
В книге собраны воспоминания автора, занимавшего высокие государственные посты в управлении экономикой СССР и России, внесшего значительный вклад в отечественную экономическую науку и в подготовку экономистов. В воспоминаниях охвачен протяженный период истории страны, от предвоенных лет и ранее до наших дней. Перед читателем предстают яркие моменты экономического развития страны, процессов принятия решений на высочайшем государственном ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Мухаметшин Р. И., Скрыпник Д. В., Экономическая политика 2026 Т. 21 № 4 С. 94–109
The study quantitatively assesses the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy from 2022 to 2024 by estimating the losses due to sanctions and identifying the factors that shaped GDP during this period. The assessment is based on a vector autoregressive model with exogenous variables (VARX). The model examines GDP and its key components: gross fixed ...
Added: September 27, 2026
М.: КДУ, 2026.
В сборник, подготовленный при финансовой поддержке Высшей школы современных социальных наук МГУ им М.В.Ломоносова, вошли статьи участников 2-й Международной научно-практической конференции «Современные проблемы управления: исследования, диагностика, решения», организованной высшей школой современных социальных наук МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова 9-10 октября 2025 г. в Москве. Авторы статей, вошедших в сборник, являются как опытными исследователями в области менеджмента ...
Added: September 26, 2026
Reshetnikova K., Решетников А. К., Маркетинг в России и за рубежом 2025 № 4 С. 69–77
Tourism as an industry became prominent only in recent decades, however it plays an important role in soft power as a diplomacy tool that can shape an image of a country in order to attract visitors and boost its economy. In today's digital age, the Internet plays a key role in shaping travelers’ perceptions of ...
Added: September 26, 2026
Volpe V., Palladino R., Storlazzi A., British Food Journal 2026 P. 1–27
Purpose
The application of digital technologies in food information is profoundly transforming how consumers access, interpret and use nutritional information. This paper systematically reviews digital technologies integrated into food labelling systems and evaluates their impact on consumer behaviour, transparency and informed decision-making.
Design/methodology/approach
A systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted following the PRISMA protocol, covering peer-reviewed studies published ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Bo S., Christofi M., Battisti E. et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2026 Vol. 2028 P. 1–13
In the face of rising sustainability expectations and limited resources, startups must balance financial objectives with ESG (environmental, social, and governance) goals under uncertainty. This study examines how ESG behavior influences external resource acquisition, financing choices, and strategic outcomes in early-stage enterprises. Drawing on the entrepreneurial learning perspective, we argue that startups refine ESG strategies ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Kilinc-Ata N., Proskuryakova L. N., Natural Resources Forum 2026 P. 1–18
The convergence of energy transition and digitalization represents two pivotal trends in the global economy that complement each other. The decrease in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is facilitated by larger Internet access and more substantial investments in research and development. This study sheds light on the dual impact of digitalization and innovation on CO2 emissions ...
Added: September 25, 2026
М.: ИНФРА-М, 2026.
This textbook synthesizes modern concepts and approaches in the field of project management and is designed for use in project management courses. The material is based on the recommendations of the International Project Management Association (IPMA) and the international standards ISO 21500 and ISO 21502.
It complies with the requirements of the latest generation of Federal ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Kanaev E., Fedorovskiy A. N., Lomanov A. V. et al., , in: Russia and the World: 2026. Economy and Foreign Policy. Annual Forecast.: IMEMO RAN, 2026. P. 165–176.
The chapter forecasts major trends of Indo-Pacific development in 2026 ...
Added: July 5, 2026
Vlasov A., Egorov A., Karminsky A. M., FINTECH 2026 Vol. 5 No. 1 Article 21
Amidst the escalating geopolitical fragmentation of the global financial system, divergent stablecoin architectures are emerging. This study employs Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and introduces a formalized ‘Geopolitical Stablecoin’ (GPSC) model to conduct a systematic comparison of three representative cases: A quasi-sovereign asset within a coordinated closed-loop system, a commercial asset with global open-market circulation, and a ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Bagrov A. N., V. A. Gordin, Svetlova N. A. et al., Russian Meteorology and Hydrology 2026 Vol. 51 No. 1 P. 33–40
A technology for operational complex forecasting (postprocessing)1 of squall wind gusts at the points of weather station location in described. The technology was implemented at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia. It uses the results of forecasts of several forecast models and the complex forecast of average wind. The tests have shown an increase in ...
Added: February 17, 2026
Shchepeleva M., Procedia Computer Science 2025 No. 266 P. 447–455
We investigate the transmission of systemic stress in a sample of selected advanced and emerging market economies for the period between August 2008 and June 2024. Using national SRISK indices, we estimate high-dimensional vector autoregressions and conduct Granger causality tests. We display the lead-lag linkages among the countries as a network and examine its topology. We find that ...
Added: February 12, 2026
Kanaev E., Луконин С. А., Куприянов А. В. et al., В кн.: Россия и мир: 2026. Экономика и внешняя политика. Ежегодный прогноз.: М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2025. С. 177–196.
The chapter forecasts the evolution of the Indo-Pacific Asia in 2026. ...
Added: January 30, 2026
Kanaev E., Афонцев С. А., Богданов К. В. et al., М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2025.
The report "Russia and the World: 2026" is the twenty-fourth in a series of annual publications of IMEMO. The report consists of three parts: global trends, economy and foreign policy. The main focus is on issues of key importance for ensuring stable economic and political development of Russia in the immediate (2026) and longer term. ...
Added: January 30, 2026
Shchankina A., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 1 С. 80–98
The article shows the structural changes in the relationship between the mortgage rate and MIACR, identified in the analysis of the dynamics of weighted average mortgage rates (published on the website of the Bank of Russia) in Russian regions for 2022-2025. The rates of residential mortgage loans and MIACR were multidirectional, and fluctuations in mortgage ...
Added: September 3, 2025