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Article

О некоторых современных тенденциях мирового экономического развития

The paper shows that Kondratiev wave dynamics in the growth rate of global GDP in recent decades of the Great Convergence is generated by developing countries, while in the preceding period of the Great Divergence Kondratiev wave dynamics was generated above all the most economically developed countries of the “first world.” At the same time, in stark contrast to the developed countries, the developing countries at the height of the fifth Kondratieff wave could not be easy to achieve very high rates of growth of GDP per capita values reached their peak in the previous wave, but even surpass them significantly. It is shown that an important role in the escalation of the Great Divergence in Greater convergence played a speaker share of investment in GDP. Back in the 1960s, between developed and developing countries, there is a very large gap in the share of investment in GDP in favor of the developed countries, which certainly contributed to the continuation of the process of the Great Convergence. By the mid-1970s, the share equaled, in 1990 the share of developing countries has become much more than the share of developed countries, and in the 2000s, the gap between developing and developed countries (in favor of developing countries) has reached enormous proportions.