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Regular version of the site

Article

Имитационное моделирование сложных проектов

Информационные технологии. 2016. Т. 22. № 8. С. 589-595.

The paper focuses on simulation of complicated projects, associated with developing of socio-economic, organizational and technical systems. Few types of complicated projects are determined: projects with few possible outcomes, repeatable projects, and projects with few possible ways of implementation. Combined cases with certain combination of the factors of complexity may also be considered. The purpose of the research is to determine key characteristics of complicated projects, and to develop recommendations in the field of their discrete-event simulation. For illustration of practical application of the models, Arena software, as a popular and approved tool of discrete-event simulation, is applied. A set of models for different types of complicated projects are presented. Each of the models include detailed description of appropriate Arena modules, their functions in the model and their relevant parameters. The models and related recommendations advanced in the paper are applicable for assessment of implementation terms and consequences of development programs with complicated projects.