О моделях диагностики банкротства организаций
The characteristic of used methods of diagnostics of bankruptcies of the organizations is
given. Five main methodical approaches to this problem are allocated. Technologies of
analytical work within each model of diagnostics of bankruptcies are consistently stated.
Studied is a possibility of increasing the accuracy of diagnostics by examining a number of diagnostic rules as a set of expert assessments, which allows one to combine them («mix of expert opinions»). Proposed is to use of the principle of minimum-information-mismatch in Kullback - Leibler metric to highlight the rule most appropriate for classification of a particular object. Program and results of experimental study are presented in the problem of automatic recognition of gray-scale images. It is shown that the developed approach can significantly improve the quality of diagnostics.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.