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Моделирование оценки потенциала изменения тарифов на авиаперевозки на основе составляющих себестоимости
Мир транспорта. 2024. Т. 22. № 4 (113). С. 94–103.
Урюпин И. В., Vlasenko A.
The price of transportation (rate) is one of the key factors in the development of the air transportation system (ATS) of any country, in particular of the Russian Federation. In turn, the formation of the rate directly depends on the cost price of transportation and its components. Forecasting and modelling the cost prices considering the influence of external factors allows us to obtain an assessment of the potential of changing the rate, which can be used as an indicator of the direction of ATS development and adjustments to improve its efficiency. The objective of the study is to develop a model for assessment of the potential of changes in air transportation rates in the Russian Federation in the 2030-2040 period for the fleet of foreign-made mainline aircraft. The assessment of the potential for rate changes is based on changes in the most significant external components of the cost price of transportation, such as fuel cost, annual flight time, cost of maintenance and repair. The choice of components is due to their greatest exposure to the influence of long-term factors. Using mathematical modelling and economic and mathematical methods, based on statistical and forecast data, the model has been tested for an assessment of the potential change in the value and structure of direct operating costs of mainline aircraft regarding aggregated expense items. Using scenario assumptions, intervals of variation of factors affecting cost price were determined. The result of modelling the potential for change in cost and rates is demonstrated for two groups of mainline commercial aircraft: narrow-body and wide-body. The original text of the article in Russian is published in the first part of the issue.
Research target:
Social and Economic Geography (including Urban and Transportation Studies)
Economics and Management
Language:
Russian
Давидович А. С., Shestakova A., Arzumanyan N. et al., Frontiers in Psychology 2026 Vol. 17 - 2026 P. 1–18
Background:
Delay discounting refers to the tendency to choose sooner, smaller rewards over larger, later rewards. Many previous studies link this tendency positively to reward sensitivity, yet the specific mechanisms behind this association remain poorly understood. Reward sensitivity may relate to delay discounting through at least three possible pathways: increased sensitivity to reward size, increased sensitivity ...
Added: May 27, 2026
Tatarinov A., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 2 С. 5–22
The relevance of the article stems from the ongoing transition of national statistical offices to the implementation of the new international macroeconomic accounting standard, SNA 2025. This standard defines modern approaches to measuring economic activity in the context of globalization and digitalization and incorporates assessments of well‑being and sustainability. The subject of the paper is the ...
Added: May 27, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2026 № 1 С. 45–55
Rosstat's publication of basic input–output tables for 2021, given the five-year periodicity of such materials, represents a significant event for Russian economic science. The article provides an overview of some of the features and properties of the published tables and the results of their use for the analysis of technological changes and import dependence. It ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Tkachuk A., Романова В. В., Экономические науки 2026 № 2 С. 561–565
Актуальность статьи обусловлена трансформацией мирохозяйственных связей под влиянием
Китая. Степень разработанности отражена в полярных оценках экспансии КНР. Объект — экономическая экспансия Китая, предмет — модели взаимодействия со странами Глобального Юга.
Методология базируется на геоэкономическом подходе и концепции асимметричной взаимозависимости. Практическая значимость заключается в выявлении рисков долговой и технологической
зависимости и рекомендациях для стран-партнеров по выстраиванию сбалансированного сотрудничества. ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 8 С. 26–43
The study of the consequences of the application of individual sanctions instruments at the level of industries or segments of the economy allows us to assess the components and factors of overall sustainability, the effectiveness of the state policy. The paper provides an econometric assessment of the impact of US SDN list sanctions on Russian ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2024 № 1 С. 35–53
The dynamics of the Russian economy in 2022 did not develop along the trajectories expected in most forecasts. Investments in fixed assets, contrary to expectations, decreased slightly; some industries have seen growth. The article offers an analysis of the 2022 results from the point of view of justification of views on the factors determining investment ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Проблемы прогнозирования 2024 № 2 С. 21–33
The article discusses issues related to the assessment of import dependence and the results of the import substitution policy in the period 2016–2020. An overview of options for assessing import dependence indicators is provided, and the possibility of using resource and use tables published by Rosstat is substantiated. The main analysis tool is calculated tables ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы экономики 2023 № 7 С. 100–114
The paper assesses some of the consequences of Russia’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO). Whereas much discussion about its costs and benefits happened during the WTO negotiations and in the first years after the accession, there was little said on the real consequences afterwards. The aim of the research is to assess the ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Общество и экономика 2023 № 4 С. 53–63
The withdrawal of foreign companies from the Russian market due to a change in the political situation has been a new trend for the Russian economy. The study shows that the actual scale of closure of foreign legal entities is insignificant, and even smaller than in previous years: the maximum number of legal entities was ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Kalinin A. M., Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления 2023 № 3 С. 7–25
Customer-centricity (client-centricity) is a new concept for Russian public governance. However, since 2022, the implementation of the relevant principles has been brought to the level of a national strategic initiative. The article proposes an analysis of the issues to be considered when implementing customer-centricity in the practice of government agencies and institutions. The article examines ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Styrin E. M., Ataeva A., Жатикова Д. В. et al., Регион: Экономика и Социология 2026 № 2 С. 31–55
There remains a pronounced interregional differentiation in the level of digital development across the Russian Federation, which necessitates a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing the digital maturity of public administration bodies in the country’s regions. This article offers a quantitative assessment of the impact of external socioeconomic, institutional, and technological factors on the level ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Вохойие Х., Anikin V. A., Tomsk State University Journal of Philosophy, Sociology and Political Science 2026 Vol. 90 P. 204–211
Menstrual health serves as a critical litmus test for state intervention in contexts where women’s bodily experiences are historically shaped by stigma, cultural taboos, and structural violence. Drawing on Joseph Gusfield’s theory of social problems, this review traces the moral passage of menstruation in Ghana (1992–2025) from a privately managed, stigmatized phenomenon to a matter ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Dorri Sedeh S., Kosonogov V., Kerimova N. et al., Frontiers in Psychology 2026 Vol. 17 Article 1710257
Introduction:
As cities continue to grow, access to natural environments is becoming more limited, contributing to increased stress levels in urban populations. Panoramic 360° videos provide a creative and scalable means of simulating natural environments, potentially reducing stress in city residents under controlled settings. Here, we examined whether short immersive experiences in different urban environments support ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Switzerland: Springer Publishing Company, 2026.
In this volume of “Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems” we are pleased to present the proceedings of the 25th International Multidisciplinary Conference on Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication” (RelStat-2025), which took place in hybrid form in Riga, Latvia on October 16–18, 2025. This event belongs to a con ference series started in ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Шелованова Т. И., Синяков А. А., Russian Journal of Economics 2025 No. 11 P. 47–75
The booming retail trade and the above-target consumer prices inflation in 2023–2024 in Russia, amid tightening monetary policy stance, raise an issue of the strength of the monetary policy interest rate channel. The focus of our paper is the interest rate elasticity (given inflation expectations) of a household’s loan request probability. We argue that a ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Kaisarova V. P., Коклев К. С., СПб.: Издательство СПбГЭУ, 2025.
The article examines the trends in the development of territorial accessibility of public transport for the population of the largest city based on the geoinformation analysis of the spatial features of its infrastructure. The article provides a transport dynamic for the period 2015-2024 based on cluster analysis of data on individual types of transport and ...
Added: May 25, 2026
Balaban M., Vasilizhenko A., Karachurina L. B. et al., Regional Research of Russia 2026 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 151–169
The population dynamics of settlements are determined by many different factors, including, as
research shows, the availability of educational and healthcare facilities (i.e., basic social infrastructure) close
to home. One can assume a two-way relationship: a decrease in population entails a reduction in the number
of assigned students in schools and healthcare institutions and, as a result, the ...
Added: May 23, 2026
Paklina S., Parshakov P., Teplykh G., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2026 Vol. 70 No. 1 P. 279–301
This paper investigates the relationship between online recruitment and unemployment in Russia within the Beveridge curve (the unemployment–vacancy curve) framework. Using panel data for 81 Russian regions over the period 2006–2022, we examine how the expansion of online job boards affects regional unemployment dynamics. The empirical
analysis is based on fi xed- effects and instrumental- variable ...
Added: May 22, 2026
Vinokurov Y., Kofanov Y. N., Sotnikova S., В кн.: Инновационные, информационные и коммуникационные технологии: сборник трудов XXII Международной научно-практической конференции. Москва, 2025.: Ассоциация выпускников и сотрудников ВВИА им. проф. Жуковского, 2025. С. 129–134.
В статье представлены результаты разработки и валидации комплексной математической модели в виде ненаправленного графа для конкретного применения, а именно для проведения виртуальных тепловых испытаний электронной аппаратуры. Предложена структура модели, включающая четыре подмодели: тепловых процессов внутри аппаратуры, взаимодействия с испытательным оборудованием, внешнего температурного воздействия, взаимодействия с оснасткой и с измерительной системой. Описаны методы получения исходных данных ...
Added: May 1, 2026
Vlasenko A., Sukharev A., Урюпин И. В., Управление большими системами: сборник трудов 2023 № 104 С. 73–99
The aim of this article is to define and to describe the calculation methodology for both on-point and general quantitative indicators of air transportation system quality for a passenger. The indicators can be based on any of the three common measures of path-passing (time, cost, and distance). The pair of values that is proposed to ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Урюпин И. В., Vlasenko A., Экономика и математические методы 2024 Т. 60 № 2 С. 92–104
At present, in an unstable geopolitical situation, one of the most important tasks for the Russian Federation is the creation of advanced domestic aircraft that will not be inferior to its foreign counterparts. The cost of operating is the main criterion in the design of a new aircraft to ensure competitiveness in air transport systems. ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Урюпин И. В., Vlasenko A., Sukharev A., Экономика и математические методы 2025 Т. 61 № 4 С. 73–85
At present development of advanced civil aircraft is one of the key priorities in Russia. To become commercially successful advanced civil aircraft should provide competitive lifecycle costs. Accordingly, it requires balancing operational expenses and consumer-acceptable pricing during an aircraft design phase. However, price evaluation of a prospective aircraft with the analog method or the income ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Akaev A., Давыдова О. И., Korotayev A., Философия и общество 2025 № 4(117) С. 5–46
This article presents a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of countries grouped into civilizational clusters based on a cultural-historical approach. The object of the study is the macroeconomic dynamics of states in the context of civilizational differences, and the subject is the model-based assessment and forecast of GDP growth rates for the period up to 2050. The ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Leevik Y., В кн.: Практики менеджмента в российских компаниях. Том 3Т. 3.: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2025. С. 17–26.
The main objective of the case is to qualitatively assess the project for Katri LLC to enter the B2C segment through e-commerce, including analysis and calculation of costs for its implementation, description of factors and risks influencing the success of this project, as well as development and justification of a management decision regarding the company's ...
Added: February 23, 2026