How does the Russian Fertility Stimulation Program Affects Birth Spacing? Evidence from RLMS.

Международный научный журнал. 2015. No. 8.

Зайнуллин А. Ф.

The matter of the Maternity capital program effectiveness is still arguable. Among demographers, it is widely believed that monetary stimulation of birth rate simply shifts the birth calendar and does not increase the net fertility rate. However, this prediction is only a hypothesis, which still needs to be subjected to rigorous empirical testing].

In my research, I test the prediction, that that program affects the inter-birth interval. My analysis confirmed this hypothesis, and showed that women without higher education indeed shorten the interval between births. The birth interval in this group is shortened, on average, by 4.6 months. At the same time, women with a higher education are not affected.

 

Ключевые слова: рождаемость, fertility, материнский капитал, maternity capital, календарь рождений, birth spacing