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Статья

Global Unconditional Convergence among Larger Economies after 1998?

Journal of Globalization Studies. 2011. Vol. 2. No. 2. P. 25-62.
Korotayev A., Zinkina J. V., Малков А. С., Божевольнов Ю. В.

We find rather strong evidence for the unconditional convergence among all the larger countries comprising the overwhelming majority of the world population and poducing the major part of the world GDP after 1998. These findings are shown to be not as incongruent with the results of the previous convergence research as one may think - the previous research did not deny the convergence phenomenon per se, but rather insisted on its conditionality, whereas we suggest that the worldwide switch from the conditional to the unconditional convergence pattern that we recently observe is accounted for by the point that by the late 1990s all the major developing countries and economies of the world began to satisfy (more or less) the najor conditions of the conditional convergence