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Прогнозирование кредитной благонадежности заемщика
Финансы и кредит. 2013. № 12. С. 2–10.
Madera A. G.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Mironkina Y., Тимофеев Д. И., В кн.: Математическое и компьютерное моделирование в экономике, страховании и управлении рисками: сборник статей. Выпуск 10. Материалы XIV Научно-практической конференции. Саратов, 20–22 ноября 2025 г.Вып. 10.: Саратов: Саратовский университет, 2025. С. 51–58.
In the field of auto insurance, one of the most pressing challenges is the problem of financial
losses arising from the misclassification of clients in terms of the potential unprofitability of their
insurance contracts. This study is devoted to the development of a scoring system based on machine
learning and classical statistical methods, using portfolio data from a ...
Added: March 31, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Voyko A. V., В кн.: Финансы коммерческих организаций.: ИНФРА-М, 2025. С. 121–152.
The chapter describes the theoretical and practical aspects of managing a company's accounts receivable, as well as approaches to classifying its types. In particular, modern approaches to the analysis and forecasting of accounts receivable are considered, calculations of the company's demand for accounts receivable and the cost of discounts for early payment of the company's ...
Added: December 9, 2025
Траченко М. Б., Володин А. А., Володина А. О. et al., ИНФРА-М, 2025.
The textbook reflects the theoretical foundations of financial management in commercial organizations and contains examples of the use of financial tools to justify management decisions. Meets the requirements of the latest generation of federal state educational standards for higher education. For students studying economics, including in the preparation of final qualifying papers, as well as ...
Added: December 9, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Shchiptsova A., Obersteiner M., / Series General Economics "arxiv.org". 2025.
The addition of phosphorus, in the form of mineral fertilizer, becomes necessary in most agricultural soils in order to achieve consistent high yield levels of intensive farming and maintain soil fertility. Recent consolidation of phosphate fertilizer industry has transformed fragmented trade into a single integrated global network, where a small group of large-scale companies dominates ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Тушнолобова М. О., Экономическая социология 2025
Bruce Carruthers’ book “The Economy of Promises: Trust, Power, and Credit in America” is devoted to a historical and sociological analysis of the evolution of credit relations in the United States. The key question that the author answers is how did creditors decide whom to trust in different periods of U. S. history? The author ...
Added: November 18, 2025
Kosov M., М.: Общество с ограниченной ответственностью "Издательство "Юнити-Дана", 2024.
Учебник включает три раздела, в которых комплексно представлены теоретические подходы к вопросам организации и функционирования денежной и финансово-кредитной системы, российского и международного финансового рынка, а также практические аспекты их реализации с учетом современных финансово-экономических условий. Материал отражает законодательно-нормативное регулирование финансово-кредитных отношений по состоянию на 1 декабря 2023 г. Для студентов бакалавриата, обучающихся по направлению подготовки ...
Added: September 23, 2025
Vishnevskiy A., Lex Russica (Русский закон) 2025 Т. 78 № 4 С. 25–33
The paper examines the amendments to the Advertising Law introduced by Federal Law No. 479-FZ dated 23 December 2024, which aim to establish additional requirements for the advertising of consumer loans (loans). The research is of a comparative legal and comprehensive nature: the author evaluates the provisions of the law not only based on a ...
Added: April 17, 2025
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2024 № 1 С. 125–158
Tight government control over the banking system of China leads to a shortage of high-quality financial products for private entrepreneurs and households. The demand for them is met by shadow banking structures. Such activities are carried out by state-owned banks themselves, as well as various categories of institutional investors participating in financial markets. Chinese and ...
Added: April 15, 2024
Penikas H. I., Вопросы экономики 2023 Т. 6 С. 36–61
Впервые рассмотрен уникальный массив данных о предложении ставок по кредитам с февраля по август 2022 г. Обосновано, что такие предложения, содержащие информацию о ставке и дополнительных условиях (срок, сумма и т. д.), чаще дают более крупные банки. Проанализированы слагаемые как кредитного риска ссуды, так и риск-аппетита банка. Показано, что банки, оценивающие кредитный риск для нормативов ...
Added: June 9, 2023
Mozias P., Социально-гуманитарные науки. Отечственная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9. Востоковедение и африканистика 2022 № 3 С. 124–156
В китайском финансовом секторе до сих пор доминируют банки, находящиеся в государственной собственности. Либерализация процентных ставок в Китае происходила медленно, рудименты административного контроля над ценами на финансовые ресурсы существовали и в 2010-е годы. Такой алгоритм преобразований в банковской сфере соотвествует общей модели китайских реформ как сугубо постепенных. ...
Added: September 18, 2022
Pomazanov M. V., Управление финансовыми рисками 2022 Т. 70 № 2 С. 108–120
As an alternative to various methods of binning variables of the scoring model, a new method of continuous transformation of variables is proposed (ΦΨ - transformations), which is used when the probability of default (rating) is non-monotonically dependent on these variables. Two types of one-parameter families of transformations and strict conditions indicating the need for ...
Added: May 21, 2022