Анализ влияния факторов на экономическое развитие группы стран "G7"

Горизонты экономики. 2023. № 5 (78). С. 157–164.

Диденко Н. И., Rybas A., Ефимова Е. Г., Афоничкина Е. А.

The impact of human capital, innovation, foreign trade and investment factors on the state and prospects for the
economic development of the G7 group of countries is analyzed in the article. Economic development for the purposes of this work is understood as positive qualitative changes occurring in the economy during the year. The trends are built according to the G7 GDP growth rate, GDP per capita, exports per capita, population growth for the period 1996–2022. The influence of factors on the economic development of the G7 was analyzed by the ADL model. The relevance of the study on the selected issue is due to the fact that the group of seven countries (G7) — an informal international club that unites the UK, Germany, Italy, Canada, the USA, France and Japan, has a great influence on the world economy. It is shown that the G7 countries live in the dynamic processes of the world economy, like all countries of the world. The scientific and technological revolution, the social structure of society, international trade and the problem of capital flows affect all countries, including the group of seven countries. The research methods include several stages with a focus on the formation of an ADL development model, which represents the dependence of endogenous variables on exogenous variables in the form of a system of interdependent equations, each of which is a time series model in which the current values of the series depend both on the past values of this series and and from current and past values of other time series. The purpose of the article is to calculate the joint influence of human capital, innovation, foreign trade and investment factors on the development of the economies of the G7 countries.

Keywords: человеческий капитал, инвестиции, инновации, внешняя торговля, innovation, international trade, investments, Gross Domestic Product, human capital, group of seven (G7), группа 7 (G7), внутренний валовой продукт