Russian Economy in 2022. Trends and Outlooks

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Russian Economy in 2022. Trends and Outlooks

Issue 44. M. : Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2023.

The review “Russian Economy. Trends and Outlooks” has been published by the Gaidar Institute since 1991. This is the 44th issue. This publication provides a detailed analysis of main trends in Russian economy, global trends in social and economic development. The paper contains 5 big sections that highlight different aspects of Russia’s economic development, which allow to monitor all angles of ongoing events over a prolonged period: the monetary and budget spheres; financial markets and institutions; the real sector; social sphere; institutional changes. The paper employs a huge mass of statistical data that forms the basis of original computation and numerous charts confirming the conclusions.

The State of Science and Innovation in Russia in 2022 (July 5, 2023).

Dezhina I., , in: Russian Economy in 2022. Trends and OutlooksIssue 44.: M.: Gaidar Institute Publishers, 2023. Ch. 5 P. 395–422.

Sanctions were the main factor influencing the sphere of science and innovation in 2022. Quick measures to solve the issues that arose were developed only to a certain extent. The first priority steps were made in such areas of science policy as changing the composition of reporting and accounting indicators and revising the partners and ...

Added: December 1, 2023

Research target: Economics and Management

Language: English

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Russian Economy in 2022. Trends and Outlooks

Пересмотры ВВП: данные и оценка статистических свойств

Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2021 Т. 25 № 1 С. 65–101

В основе принятия своевременных экономико-политических решений и бизнес-планирования лежит мониторинг текущей ситуации и прогнозирование путей развития экономической активности, базу которых составляют официальные статистические оценки значений различных показателей. В этой связи переоценка данных и прогнозы, основанные на более ранних либо поздних оценках, потенциально могут повлечь за собой совершенно различные экономико-политические решения. Согласно официальной методике Росстата, публикуется ...

Added: August 21, 2026

Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - май 2022 г.)

Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2022 № 7 С. 32–35

В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...

Added: August 21, 2026

Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - май 2021 г.)

Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 7 С. 32–35

Added: August 21, 2026

Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - ноябрь 2020 г.)

Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 1 С. 32–35

Added: August 21, 2026

Повышение качества прогнозирования простейшими методами комбинирования отдельных прогнозов

Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Прикладная эконометрика 2024 Т. 74 № 2 С. 78–103

Комбинирование прогнозов считается наиболее простым способом улучшения каче‑ ства прогнозирования по сравнению с индивидуальными моделями. В данной работе проверяются возможности простейших методов комбинирования, таких как простое среднее и оценки на основе среднеквадратической ошибки прогнозов предыдущих пери‑ одов, для улучшения качественных характеристик краткосрочных прогнозов пяти по‑ казателей цен на ресурсы (нефть и металлы). В основе работы ...

Added: August 21, 2026

Анализ качества методов корректировки и комбинирования прогнозов внешнеторговых показателей

Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6

В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...

Added: August 21, 2026

Matveeva N., Yudkevich M., Higher Education 2026 P. 1–20

This study draws on neo-institutional theory and the convergence/divergence debate in higher education research to examine whether public and private universities in EU candidate countries converge or diverge in their research activity and collaboration patterns. We analyse Scopus-indexed publication data for 43 universities across Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, North Macedonia and Serbia for the ...

Added: August 19, 2026

Финансирование проектов «Пояс и Путь» и «Север Юг»: сравнительный анализ

Biryukova O. V., Barzunov D., Pautov A., Проблемы Дальнего Востока 2026 № 4

The formation of new transcontinental transport arteries intensifies geoeconomic competition in Eurasia and requires the development of sustainable models of investment cooperation. The Chinese Belt and Road Initiative and the International North—South Transport Corridor represent distinct institutional concepts for infrastructure financing, differing in their sources of capital, degree of centralization, and mechanisms of risk allocation. ...

Added: August 19, 2026

La universidad de quinta generación Un paradigma centrado en la persona

Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Navarra: Eunsa, 2026.

Toward the Fifth-Generation University (5GU) is a work that proposes a transformative governance framework for institutions of higher education, capable of addressing the challenges of sustainability, digital reflexivity, and co-creation with multiple stakeholders. Drawing on a historical overview from University 1.0—focused on the preservation of knowledge—to University 5.0, the text presents a model centered on ...

Added: August 18, 2026

Which Model Families Pay? Econometric, Gradient Boosting and Recurrent Neural Network Volatility Forecasts in Active Trading Strategies on the Russian Stock Market

Lysenok N., International Journal of Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications 2026 Vol. 18 No. 17s P. 533–549

This paper asks which families of volatility forecasting models create economic value in active trading, and through which integration channel that value is transmitted. Seven models drawn from four families — econometric (GJR-GARCH, HAR-J), gradient boosting (XGBoost, LightGBM), recurrent neural networks (LSTM, GRU) and a hybrid combining HAR-J with boosting — are compared on the ...

Added: August 18, 2026

Defining the Right Level of Risk in Organizational Innovation:Factors, Criteria, and Strategic Balance

Alena Bernyukevich, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025.

This essay explores the complex issue of determining the appropriate level of risk when implementing innovations within organizations. While innovation is widely recognized as a cornerstone of competitiveness, growth, and sustainability, excessive or poorly managed risk can lead to significant challenges. The discussion highlights key factors influencing acceptable risk levels, including alignment with corporate goals, ...

Added: August 17, 2026

Мегаполисы как центры научно-технической деятельности и инновационно-экономического пространства Китая

Бернюкевич Т. В., Bernyukevich A., Сунь Я., Вестник Московского государственного строительного университета 2026 Т. 21 № 1 С. 122–134

Введение. Актуальность исследования мегаполисов как центров научно-технической деятельности и инновационно-экономического пространства Китая определяется необходимостью изучения механизмов реализации государственной политики в экономической и социальной сферах, анализа принципов управления экономическими системами и оценки методов стратегического менеджмента в контексте инновационного развития. Цель исследования — выявление параметров и основных направлений развития китайских мегаполисов как инновационных центров. Материалы и методы. Применены методы: восхождения от абстрактного ...

Added: August 17, 2026

Государственная поддержка цифровой трансформации малых и средних предприятий в Индии

Shaposhnikov S., Asia and Africa today 2025

Digital transformation of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in India is critical to enhancing competitiveness and improving economic performance. It also helps address unemployment and regional inequality. However, SMEs face financial constraints, a digital skills shortage, resistance to change, and cybersecurity challenges. The authors analyze the impact of government initiatives such as Digital India, CGTMSE, ...

Added: August 14, 2026

Динамика производительности российских предприятий в 2018—2024 гг.

Bessonova E., Мякишева С. М., Новиков С. В., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 8 С. 95–124

This paper examines total factor productivity (TFP) dynamics among Russian enterprises from 2018 to 2024, using translogarithmic production function estimates for 290 industries. To address endogeneity and functional dependence issues, we employ the Ackerberg—Caves—Frazer methodology with a control function approach. Our findings reveal distinct sectoral patterns. In mining, both simple average and value-added-weighted TFP rose ...

Added: August 13, 2026

From Trade to Green Growth: Investigating the Impacts of Trade, GDP, FDI and Renewable Energy on Singapore’s Environmental Performance

BRICS Journal of Economics 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 185–209

This study provides an empirical analysis of the relationship between trade and the environment in Singapore. It offers valuable insights into reconciling economic growth and environmental sustainability in this globally significant trade center and contributes significantly to policy formulation for trade-oriented economies. The paper examines empirical trends in trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic ...

Added: August 13, 2026

Тренды в развитии креативной экономики и креативных индустрий в Арктической зоне: обзор зарубежных исследований

Мармилова Е. П., Арктика и Север 2026 № 63 С. 368–384

The aim of this article is to conduct a meta-analysis of foreign scientific publications in order to identify modern trends in the development of the creative economy and creative industries in the Arctic. The main method of the scientific research was a meta-analysis of the specialized literature. The analysis was carried out on the basis of two databases of peer-reviewed scientific publications — Scopus and Web of Science. These are the largest databases, which are ...

Added: June 17, 2026

Тренды государственной устойчивости Нигера в 2023-2025 гг.

Воронина Е. Ю., В кн.: Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисковТ. 16.: Учитель, 2025. Гл. 7-8 С. 142–150.

This article is devoted to trends in the dynamics of Niger's state stability over the period from 2023 to 2025. The analysis includes the study of the political aspect of the problem, its economic component, social stability and the foreign policy context. It is noted that Niger is currently in a state of political instability ...

Added: November 27, 2025

К исследованию динамики государственной состоятельности и государственной устойчивости стран "афразийской" макрозоны нестабильности в условиях трансформации мирового порядка

А.В. Коротаев, В.В. Устюжанин, Ю.В. Зинькина et al., История и современность 2025 № 3 (57) С. 21–68

The article examines the trends affecting state activity and sustainability in the countries of the Afro-Asian macro-stability zone, which are considered in the context of the transformation of the world order and the associated process of reconfiguration of the World System. An attempt has been made to use the concept of state solvency to build ...

Added: November 27, 2025

Цифровизация в туризме: глобальные тренды и опыт Санкт-Петербурга

Baskakova E., Sizova I., Псковский регионологический журнал 2025 Т. 21 № 4 С. 145–166

Digital technologies are increasingly penetrating all sectors. The tourism sector was no exception. Research in this area highlights the importance of digitalization for tourism development both in the cases of force majeure (global crises like pandemics, extreme natural events, various problems with transport infrastructure or conflicts) and in the context of total digitalization. Digitalization allows ...

Added: November 19, 2025

Trends and factors associated with anemia among women of reproductive age in Mali: analysis of data from 2001 to 2018 Mali demographic and health surveys

Armah-Ansah E. K., Budu E., Oga-Omenka C. et al., Archives of Public Health 2025 Vol. 83 Article 201

Background Even though widespread attempts have been made to halve the incidence of anemia by 2025, the prevalence remains alarmingly high among women of reproductive age in Africa. The government of Mali has underscored the necessity for a multi-sectoral approach to reducing the anemia burden. However, no studies have considered the trends and factors associated ...

Added: July 31, 2025

Trade shifts and corporate revenue in a sanctioned economy: the case of Russian manufacturing firms in 2022

Fedyunina A., Drapkin I. M., Simachev Y. V. et al., Area Development and Policy 2025 Vol. 10 No. 4 P. 572–596

Despite frequent international trade shocks, the impact of sanctions-induced trade reorientation on firm-level revenues remain insufficiently explored. This study examines how the shift in imports from Europe to Asia influenced revenue dynamics among Russian manufacturing firms following the 2022 sanctions. Utilising a representative sample of 1879 firms, we employ weighted probit and ordered probit regressions ...

Added: July 3, 2025

Труд в современной российской экономике: социальное измерение / под ред. В. Н. Мининой, Р. В. Карапетяна, О. В. Вередюк

СПб.: Издательство СПбГУ, 2021.

The book presents the results of discussions that took place within the framework of the IV St. Petersburg International Labour Forum, held on 27-28 February 2020. The central topic of the discussion was the social dimension of the economy, which is closely related to the identification of vectors of the development of the labour force, ...

Added: January 15, 2025

Russia’s Oil and Gas Industry: Soviet Inheritance and Post-Soviet Evolution

Strokan M., Sil R., , in: Russian Politics Today.: Cambridge University Press, 2022. Ch. 11 P. 247–269.

This chapter traces the evolution of the Russian oil and gas sector. We argue that, at least since 2000, Russia’s vast natural resources have been a source more of stability than of fragility for the economy. This is in part due to the distinctive history and role of fossil fuels in the context of a ...

Added: September 9, 2024

Мир в лабиринте санкций: неоднозначность эмпирических свидетельств

Fedyunina A., Simachev Y. V., Вопросы экономики 2024 № 8 С. 5–27

The article examines various effects of sanction restrictions on target countries. To achieve this, the results of over 50 academic studies from the past decade regarding the impact of sanctions on different countries are analyzed and structured. This analysis is based on the study of sanction episodes predominantly from the 1980s to 2015. It is ...

Added: July 31, 2024