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A three-factor stochastic model for forecasting production of energy materials
Finance Research Letters. 2023. Vol. 51. Article 103356.
Bufalo M., Orlando G.
In this paper, we present a generalized stochastic three-factor model to forecast changes in the industrial production of energy materials. This approach is new as, by deriving a stochastic process correlated with its mean and volatility, we convert it into an uncorrelated auxiliary process through Lamperti transformations. We show that the proposed model can be used for forecasting the change in the equilibrium between demand and supply of energy materials and could be further developed for setting up a reference pricing model for the market. © 2022 Elsevier Inc.
М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В сборнике представлены отобранные оргкомитетом труды участников 17-й Международной научно-практической конференции студентов и аспирантов «Статистические методы анализа экономики и общества» из России, Армении, Беларуси и Китая, представляющих 27 вузов из 16 городов: Москва, Владивосток, Ереван, Йошкар-Ола, Минск, Новосибирск, Оренбург, Ростов-на-Дону, Санкт-Петербург, Саранск, Саратов, Севастополь, Уфа, Шахты, Шэньчжэнь, Электросталь.
Исследования посвящены вопросам статистической методологии, применению математико-статистических и ...
Added: October 21, 2026
Москвитин О. А., Финансовые рынки и банки 2026 № 9 С. 730–732
Статья посвящена проблеме применения специальных финансово-экономических знаний при рассмотрении дел о картельных соглашениях. Автор исходит из того, что российская правоприменительная практика по делам о картелях исторически опирается преимущественно на поведенческие и цифровые «следы» сговора, тогда как экономический анализ зачастую играет вспомогательную роль. На основе анализа отечественного и зарубежного опыта обосновывается тезис о необходимости разграничения двух ...
Added: October 21, 2026
Gazman V. D., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2026 Т. 61 № 4 С. 145–162
This article examines the theoretical and practical dimensions of carbon taxation. It assesses the extent to which the existing tax mechanism regulates CO2 emissions and whether tax revenues cover the damage caused by those emissions. The advantages and disadvantages of emissions trading systems and carbon taxes are analyzed. The article reviews the scholarly debate involving ...
Added: October 21, 2026
Kulagina E., Slykhova K., Lechenko E. et al., BRICS Journal of Economics 2026 Vol. 7 No. 4 P. 1–46
This study explores the relationship between subjective well-being (SWB) and entrepreneurial intention (EI) among university students in Russia, where entrepreneurial engagement remains relatively low. It emphasizes the role of internal psychological drivers, such as SWB, willingness to take risks and entrepreneurial self-efficacy, rather than focusing solely on external factors. Drawing on the Theory of Planned ...
Added: October 20, 2026
Lev Pyatko, Sergey Aksenov, Regular and Chaotic Dynamics 2026 Vol. 31 No. 5 P. 794–813
In the circular restricted three-body problem, families of periodic and quasi-periodic orbits exist in the vicinity of the libration points and are of significant interest for practical applications. This work presents a neural network-based algorithm for orbit construction and station-keeping, applicable to both periodic and quasi-periodic orbits near collinear libration points. The method employs a ...
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Vorontsova T., М.: Академия, 2025.
The textbook has been prepared in accordance with the requirements of the federal state educational standards for secondary vocational education and is intended for studying the professional modules “Information Security in Information and Telecommunication Systems and Networks Using Software and Hardware‑Software Tools, Including Cryptographic Protection Tools” and “Information Security in Automated Systems Using Software and ...
Added: October 19, 2026
Ksenia V. Rozhkova, Sergey Yu. Roshchin, Natalya K. Yemelina, Population and Economics 2026 Vol. 10 No. 3 P. 61–81
Increasing female representation in technical majors, traditionally associated with high earnings, is recognised as a mechanism for promoting gender equality in the labour market. However, if women quit STEM soon after graduation, increasing their proportion in relevant disciplines will not help reduce the gender wage gap. This paper provides new evidence of the ‘leaky pipeline’ ...
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Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Аналитический обзор деловых тенденций в сфере услуг в III квартале 2026 г. подготовлен Центром конъюнктурных исследований ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ. В его основу положены ежеквартальные конъюнктурные опросы руководителей организаций сферы услуг, проводимые Федеральной службой государственной статистики (Росстат). Это распространенный и действенный в международной практике статистических служб и исследовательских организаций источник информации о тенденциях циклического характера, а также метод аппроксимации ...
Added: October 19, 2026
Катаев М. В., Molodchik M., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 719–740
В данном исследовании рассматривается связь между интеллектуальным капиталом компаний и их интернационализацией в условиях внешних шоков. В отличие от предыдущих работ, как правило, рассматривающих взаимосвязь интеллектуального капитала и интернационализации в стабильной экономике, в исследовании развиваются предположения о неоднородном влиянии шоков на компоненты интеллектуального капитала и, соответственно, различном модерационном эффекте шоков на трансформацию интеллектуального капитала в экспортную ...
Added: October 17, 2026
Naumov A., Рубцов А. С., Samsonov S. et al., Успехи математических наук 2026 Т. 81 № 4 (490) С. 161–162
Краткое сообщение рассматривает Моментные оценки для стохастической аппроксимации ...
Added: October 17, 2026
Roman Avdeev, Yulia Zaitseva, Mediterranean Journal of Mathematics 2026 Vol. 23 No. 7 Article 224
We provide an infinite series of commutative finite-dimensional Gorenstein local algebras A_n for n ≥ 2. We give an elementary proof that the maximal ideal of every algebra A_n possesses a one-dimensional subspace that is different from the socle and invariant under the automorphism group of A_n. The latter implies that the algebras A_n fail ...
Added: October 17, 2026
Бородаева В. А., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 10 С. 5–27
The paper offers a new perspective on the limit of government debt. It surveys the broad historical picture of the dynamics and character of government debt in the leading economies: the ratios of debt and debt service to GDP have risen to levels close to their half-century highs. In the regime that has taken shape ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Gordin V. A., Efremenko D., Boundary-Layer Meteorology 2026 Vol. 192 No. 51
An inverse problem of reconstructing the turbulent exchange tensor from large archives of observed wind profiles within the Åkerblom–Ekman (A-E) model framework is investigated using high-vertical-resolution radiosonde observations. The reconstructed tensor provides improved agreement between modeled and observed wind profiles compared to classical formulations based on real turbulent exchange coefficient. Instead of the classical A-E ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Kuznetsov A. P., Sedova Y. V., Stankevich N., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2026 Vol. 213 No. 12 Article 119309
We analyze the interaction of a quasi-periodic subsystem, in which two-, three-, and four- frequency quasi-periodic oscillations are possible, with a chaotic subsystem. A discrete version is obtained via the Euler scheme from the corresponding flow model. The dynamics of individual subsystems are discussed, including quasi-periodic bifurcations of invariant tori and the occur rence of ...
Added: October 16, 2026
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2026 № 3 С. 197–223
Abstract. Long-standing differences in development levels between China’s coastal and inland provinces intensified during the 1980s–1990s, at the early stages of market reforms. In response, from the late 1990s the Сentral government began implementing major development initiatives such as the “Go West”, the “Revitalization of the Northeast,” and the “Rise of Central China,” while in ...
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Aleksei Samarin, Nazarenko A., Nazarenko D. et al., Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction 2026 Vol. 8 No. 10 Article 330
Automated microscopic image analysis is essential for quantitative microbiology, yet manual acquisition and generic recognition models struggle with morphological variability and scene artifacts. We address both ends of this pipeline. First, we present a low-cost, open-source acquisition system, based on an Arduino UNO R3 microcontroller and NEMA 17 stepper motors, that automates focusing, magnification, and ...
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Lukinskiy V., Lukinsky V., Sokolov B. et al., Annual Reviews in Control 2026 No. 62 P. 1–15
Enterprises planning material requirements must account for multiple sources of uncertainty. Considering the impact of yield uncertainty is of prime importance to decision-makers. To mitigate the effects of random yield on the continuity of manufacturing operations, we propose establishing a reserve stock to prevent shortages due to defective items within safety stock levels. If no ...
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Vukovic N., Krivokhizhin O., Антонова В. Д., АПК: Экономика, управление 2026 № 8 С. 89–95
One of the key roles is given to the agro-industrial complex in the global agenda of sustainable development. The leaders of the sustainable development of the agro-industrial complex identify the main trends and set standards for responsible business conduct in the industry. This article is devoted to the analysis of the leaders of responsible business ...
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Karacharovskiy V., Ларина У. С., Резмерица А. А., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 60–75
Based on the neural network approach, the decomposition of the index of social mood in Russia for the period 2004-2024 was carried out and their dynamics for this period was modeled. The following issues are discussed: (a) the nature of the social mood' shocks in Russia, based on their connection with the concepts of politics ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Kopnova E., Журавлева К. А., Коряков И. В. et al., Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика 2025 № 1 С. 36–46
he article examines the prospects for economic cooperation between Russia and Belarus within the framework of the EAEU, SCO and BRICS integration associations, with an emphasis on the impact of sanctions and their consequences for the economic growth of the countries. The study includes the use of econometric modeling methods to evaluate the forecast of ...
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Lisenkova A. D., Современная Европа 2025 № 6 С. 74–84
The energy supplies is a traditional problem for the EU due to the lack of its own resources. This issue has become most relevant after the deterioration of relations with Russia, formerly a leading energy partner. The Union began to explore options for diversification because it is not ready to implement a green transition at ...
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Kychkin A., Chernitsin I., Vikentyeva O., , in: 2025 International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing (ICIEAM).: IEEE, 2025. P. 987–991.
Industry 4.0 concept focuses on sustainability problem that requires to control air emissions, especially for harmful substances like H2S, and reduction their impact on nature by using environmental monitoring and sources identification systems. This task requires solving inverse problem of dispersion models, which should establish complex mathematical dependences between the sensor data, the location and ...
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Smirnov S. V., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 10 С. 131–154
The paper summarizes machine-learning (ML) methods most relevant to macroeconomics and assesses their performance in forecasting and nowcasting key macro indicators. Despite rapid methodological progress and a surge of publications over the past 25 years, gains in forecast accuracy with traditional statistical (economic, financial, and survey) data remain modest. ML models often outperform naïve and ...
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Kychkin A., Chernitsin I., Vikentyeva O., , in: 2025 International Russian Automation Conference (RusAutoCon).: IEEE, 2025. P. 1046–1050.
This paper presents system architecture of the automated AI-driven predictive assessment of the ecological state of the air in sanitary protection zones around industrial facilities. The developed solution implements automated pre-processing of data presented in the form of time series using machine learning methods and the construction of short-term forecasts of pollutant concentrations for the ...
Added: October 6, 2025