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Electoral turnout with divided opposition
Social Choice and Welfare. 2022. P. 1–37.
Kemal Kıvanç Aköz, Alexei Zakharov
We model costly, strategic voting in an electorate divided between a single pro-incumbent and multiple pro-opposition groups, and study the effect of the homogeneity of preferences within the opposition electorate on voter turnout. If each opposition group is represented by a separate candidate, there is a free-rider effect: the opposition turnout is lower if different opposition candidates are more substitutable. If there is a single pro-opposition candidate, the effect is the opposite under the proportional representation, and under a winner-tale-all system it depends on the size of the opposition, weighted by the intensity of preferences towards the opposition candidate. The weighted size of the opposition electorate also matters for how preference homogeneity affects incumbent vote share under proportional representation.
Lysenok N., International Journal of Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications 2026 Vol. 18 No. 18s P. 1406–1430
A volatility forecast becomes useful only after it has passed through four stages: a model produces it, a trading rule consumes it, a portfolio aggregates the result, and an investor evaluates that result against a utility function. Each stage has its own mature evaluation apparatus, and each is studied in isolation. This review traces the ...
Added: August 23, 2026
Parshakov P., Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 2026 Vol. 13 No. 1 P. 1–7
This study investigates gender‑based disparities in viewership and prize money within Counter‑Strike: Global Offensive competitions, using data from the ESL Impact League (female‑only) and comparable male leagues. Because esports performance depends chiefly on strategic choices and fine motor skills rather than physical strength, this setting offers a distinctive lens for examining gender equity where bodily ...
Added: August 22, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2021 Т. 25 № 1 С. 65–101
В основе принятия своевременных экономико-политических решений и бизнес-планирования лежит мониторинг текущей ситуации и прогнозирование путей развития экономической активности, базу которых составляют официальные статистические оценки значений различных показателей. В этой связи переоценка данных и прогнозы, основанные на более ранних либо поздних оценках, потенциально могут повлечь за собой совершенно различные экономико-политические решения. Согласно официальной методике Росстата, публикуется ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2022 № 7 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 7 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 1 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Прикладная эконометрика 2024 Т. 74 № 2 С. 78–103
Комбинирование прогнозов считается наиболее простым способом улучшения каче‑ ства прогнозирования по сравнению с индивидуальными моделями. В данной работе проверяются возможности простейших методов комбинирования, таких как простое среднее и оценки на основе среднеквадратической ошибки прогнозов предыдущих пери‑ одов, для улучшения качественных характеристик краткосрочных прогнозов пяти по‑ казателей цен на ресурсы (нефть и металлы). В основе работы ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Matveeva N., Yudkevich M., Higher Education 2026 P. 1–20
This study draws on neo-institutional theory and the convergence/divergence debate in higher education research to examine whether public and private universities in EU candidate countries converge or diverge in their research activity and collaboration patterns. We analyse Scopus-indexed publication data for 43 universities across Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, North Macedonia and Serbia for the ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Biryukova O. V., Barzunov D., Pautov A., Проблемы Дальнего Востока 2026 № 4
The formation of new transcontinental transport arteries intensifies geoeconomic competition in Eurasia and requires the development of sustainable models of investment cooperation. The Chinese Belt and Road Initiative and the International North—South Transport Corridor represent distinct institutional concepts for infrastructure financing, differing in their sources of capital, degree of centralization, and mechanisms of risk allocation. ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Navarra: Eunsa, 2026.
Toward the Fifth-Generation University (5GU) is a work that proposes a transformative governance framework for institutions of higher education, capable of addressing the challenges of sustainability, digital reflexivity, and co-creation with multiple stakeholders. Drawing on a historical overview from University 1.0—focused on the preservation of knowledge—to University 5.0, the text presents a model centered on ...
Added: August 18, 2026
Lysenok N., International Journal of Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications 2026 Vol. 18 No. 17s P. 533–549
This paper asks which families of volatility forecasting models create economic value in active trading, and through which integration channel that value is transmitted. Seven models drawn from four families — econometric (GJR-GARCH, HAR-J), gradient boosting (XGBoost, LightGBM), recurrent neural networks (LSTM, GRU) and a hybrid combining HAR-J with boosting — are compared on the ...
Added: August 18, 2026
Alena Bernyukevich, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025.
This essay explores the complex issue of determining the appropriate level of risk when implementing innovations within organizations. While innovation is widely recognized as a cornerstone of competitiveness, growth, and sustainability, excessive or poorly managed risk can lead to significant challenges. The discussion highlights key factors influencing acceptable risk levels, including alignment with corporate goals, ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Бернюкевич Т. В., Bernyukevich A., Сунь Я., Вестник Московского государственного строительного университета 2026 Т. 21 № 1 С. 122–134
Введение. Актуальность исследования мегаполисов как центров научно-технической деятельности и инновационно-экономического пространства Китая определяется необходимостью изучения механизмов реализации государственной политики в экономической и социальной сферах, анализа принципов управления экономическими системами и оценки методов стратегического менеджмента в контексте инновационного развития. Цель исследования — выявление параметров и основных направлений развития китайских мегаполисов как инновационных центров.
Материалы и методы. Применены методы: восхождения от абстрактного ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Shaposhnikov S., Asia and Africa today 2025
Digital transformation of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in India is critical to enhancing competitiveness and improving economic performance. It also helps address unemployment and regional inequality. However, SMEs face financial constraints, a digital skills shortage, resistance to change, and cybersecurity challenges. The authors analyze the impact of government initiatives such as Digital India, CGTMSE, ...
Added: August 14, 2026
Bessonova E., Мякишева С. М., Новиков С. В., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 8 С. 95–124
This paper examines total factor productivity (TFP) dynamics among Russian enterprises from 2018 to 2024, using translogarithmic production function estimates for 290 industries. To address endogeneity and functional dependence issues, we employ the Ackerberg—Caves—Frazer methodology with a control function approach. Our findings reveal distinct sectoral patterns. In mining, both simple average and value-added-weighted TFP rose ...
Added: August 13, 2026
Do T. T., Xing J., Liu S. et al., APL Materials 2025 Vol. 13 No. 9 Article 091111
Semiconductor lead halide perovskites have attracted significant attention for various applications. Understanding the impact of material composition on optical properties is essential for optimizing device performance. Here, we performed magneto-optical spectroscopy on high-quality bulk CsPbBr3, MAPbBr3, and MAPbI3 single crystals under magnetic fields of up to 30 T. The results revealed distinctive excitonic responses to the magnetic ...
Added: January 26, 2026
Mashkova M. A., Karavashkina V. N., Yelizarov (Elizarov) A. A. et al., , in: 2025 Systems of Signal Synchronization, Generating and Processing in Telecommunications (SYNCHROINFO).: IEEE, 2025. P. 1–4.
Added: December 6, 2025
Stukal D., Шилина А. Н., Akhremenko A. S., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2025 Т. 27 № 3 С. 430–443
Affective political polarization is comprehensively considered in combination of its emotional, behavioral and cognitive aspects. They manifest themselves in the differences between an individual's attitude towards politically like-minded people (the in-group) and opponents (the out-group), includingemotions experienced, willingness to cooperate, and a tendency to attribute positive or negativequalities.
Particular attention is paid to the problem of differences between the intensity of manifestations of affective political polarization in the online environment compared to traditional forms of communication. Most contemporary researchers predict a higher level of polarization ...
Added: August 21, 2025
Samoilova O., Pratskova S., Shaburova N. et al., Materials 2023 Vol. 16 No. 9 Article 3585
The electrochemical behavior of the as-cast Al0.5CoCrFeNiCuxAgy (x = 0.25, 0.5; y = 0, 0.1) high-entropy alloys (HEAs) in a 0.5M H2SO4 solution was studied. Polarization measurements were carried out in a standard three-electrode electrochemical cell at room temperature using a platinum counter electrode and a saturated silver chloride reference electrode. For Al0.5CoCrFeNiCu0.5 and Al0.5CoCrFeNiCu0.5Ag0.1, ...
Added: February 18, 2025
Mikhail Ignatev, Mikhail Venchakov, Expositiones Mathematicae 2025 Vol. 43 No. 3 Article 125656
Let U be the unitriangular group over a finite field. We consider an interesting class of irreducible complex characters of U, so-called characters of depth 2. This is a next natural step after characters of maximal and submaximal dimension, whose description is already known. We explicitly describe the support of a character of depth 2 by a system ...
Added: February 14, 2025
Aaij R., Abdelmotteleb A. S., Abellan Beteta C. et al., Physical Review D - Particles, Fields, Gravitation and Cosmology 2024 Vol. 110 No. 9 Article 092007
The longitudinal polarization fraction of the meson is measured in decays, where the lepton decays to three charged pions and a neutrino, using proton-proton collision data collected by the LHCb experiment at center-of-mass energies of 7, 8 and 13 TeV and corresponding to an integrated luminosity of . The polarization fraction is measured in two regions, below and above , where is defined as the ...
Added: December 6, 2024
Aaij R., Abdelmotteleb A. S., Abellan Beteta C. et al., Journal of High Energy Physics 2024 Vol. 2024 No. 9 Article 82
A measurement of the transverse polarization of the Λ and Λ¯ hyperons in pNe fixed-target collisions at sNN = 68.4 GeV is presented using data collected by the LHCb detector. The polarization is studied using the decay Λ → pπ− together with its charge conjugated process, the integrated values measured are
PΛ=0.029±0.019(stat)±0.012(syst),PΛ¯=0.003±0.023(stat)±0.014(syst).
Furthermore, the results are shown as a function of the Feynman x variable, transverse momentum, pseudorapidity and rapidity ...
Added: December 6, 2024
Alov I., Региональные исследования 2021 № 1(71) С. 107–117
Spatial segregation has been and still remains a popular object of study among city researchers representing geography, sociology, and economics. The core of the corpus of conceptual works on this subject is composed of works devoted to US cities. Russian and Western European researchers in their works usually either use or criticize the American experience. ...
Added: November 15, 2024