Эмпирический анализ финансовой хрупкости общественного сектора в Южной Корее

AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории). 2022. Т. 19. № 3. С. 483–505.

Анжелика С. Бобрышова, Иван В. Розмаинский

The paper contains empirical analysis of the financial fragility of the public sector in South Korea. The study’s conceptual framework relies on the financial instability hypothesis developed by American economist Hyman Minsky. The study adopts three different approaches to calculate the financial fragility indices. Then their values are compared with the dynamics of the main macroeconomic indicators of South Korea. The results of the empirical analysis show that the degree of financial fragility of the public sector gradually increased, and the turning point was the period of the Asian financial crisis of 1997–1998. Thus, it can be supposed that the liberal reforms and restructuring of financial and capital markets in the Republic of Korea were the reason behind the increase in financial fragility and the transition of the South Korean government from a stable financing regime (hedge financing regime) to more unstable regimes (speculative and Ponzi). In the late 2000s and 2010s, the unstable publiс sector financing regime in Korea is in good agreement with the relatively stable private sector financing regime discussed in the paper by Rozmainsky & Selitsky (2021).

Keywords: public sector, общественный сектор, Южная Корея, финансовая хрупкость, гипотеза финансовой нестабильности, financial instability hypothesis, Minsky, financial fragility, South Korea, Хайман Мински