Человеческий капитал в эпоху санкций и контрсанкций: некоторые перераспределительные последствия

Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации. 2022. № 3(55). С. 234–238.

Gimpelson V. E.

The paper argues that the combination of sanctions, counter-sanctions and total import-
substitution taken together creates a strong shock on the human capital, and affects its utilization and reallocation.
This effect can go along two major lines. First, one can expect underutilization of previously accumulated
knowledge and skills due to the technologically regressive import-substitution. Second, those players who have
previously lost in the global competition may take over the key role in formation and adjustment of the human
capital to the changing demand. This shift in power and resources is likely to make the regress endogenous.
These processes concern technological developments as well as R&D and higher education. As a result, one may
expect that a signifi cant part of the human capital that was created for utilization in more open and competitive
environment can be lost.

Keywords: человеческий капитал, санкции, перераспределение, sanctions, redistribution, human capital, countersanctions, контрсанкции