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Forecasting Internal Migration in Russia Using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg
Forecasting. 2021. Vol. 3. No. 4. P. 774–803.
Dean Fantazzini, Julia Pushchelenko, Mironenkov A., Kurbatskii A.
This paper examines the suitability of Google Trends data for the modeling and forecasting of interregional migration in Russia. Monthly migration data, search volume data, and macro variables are used with a set of univariate and multivariate models to study the migration data of the two Russian cities with the largest migration inflows: Moscow and Saint Petersburg. The empirical analysis does not provide evidence that the more people search online, the more likely they are to relocate to other regions. However, the inclusion of Google Trends data in a model improves the forecasting of the migration flows, because the forecasting errors are lower for models with internet search data than for models without them. These results also hold after a set of robustness checks that consider multivariate models able to deal with potential parameter instability and with a large number of regressors.
Language:
English
Вебер М., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 318–353
In the concluding part of the Second Anti-Critique (1910), Max Weber summarizes the substantive
findings of his own contributions to the debate with the historian Felix Rachfahl. In doing so, he uses the response to his relentless critic as an opportunity to articulate once again, in an explicit manner and for both his own benefit and that of the ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Polarization of opinions in the group: a modeling algorithm considering the dynamics of social bonds
Chebotarev V., Andreyuk D., Elizarova Anastasiya et al., Procedia Computer Science 2022 Vol. 213 No. C P. 596–601
The dynamics of opinion in a group are of interest for a number of practical purposes. In particular, consensus helps and polarization of opinions hinders cohesive teamwork. Existing approaches for modeling opinion dynamics mostly do not take into account the dynamism of social relations in a group. This paper proposes an algorithm and a program ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 12: Социология 2025 Vol. 18 No. 4 P. 494–505
Global educational paradigms are increasingly shifting towards inclusive models, demanding committed participation and collaboration from a diverse range of stakeholders to ensure equitable access and quality for all learners. This article provides a comprehensive review of the current state of inclusive education in Nigeria, synthesizing existing literature to analyze its progress, persistent challenges, and future ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Sorokin P., Mironenko I. A., Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Science, Technology, and Society, 2026.
Social reality is undergoing rapid transformations, giving rise to new challenges for both social theory and practice. One of these much-discussed challenges is the so-called replicability crisis, a notion that describes the failure of the social sciences and humanities to verify established research findings with new empirical investigations. In the related debates, it is argued ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Sorokin P., Социологические исследования 2026 Т. 6 № 6 С. 145–147
Статья предлагает обзор междисциплинарной дискуссии, которая состоялась на секции «Будущее наук о человеке» в рамках XVI международной Грушинской социологической конференции и была посвящена перспективам выработки междисциплинарного взгляда на трансформации социально-гуманитарного знания в условиях современных кризисов и контурам возможного образа науки будущего, включая место в ней отдельных дисциплин. Это дискуссия может иметь особое значение для социологического ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Sorokin P., Психологический журнал 2026 Т. 47 № 4 С. 124–129
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Added: October 2, 2026
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Kim A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. XXIX. № 29(1).149
Статья посвящена изучению транзита к родительству молодых матерей в миграции с фокусом на особенности социальных взаимодействий. Поскольку обстоятельство миграции усложняет период транзита к родительству, то основной проблемой молодых матерей становится адаптация к новой жизни в качестве и родителя, и мигранта одновременно. Важными аспектами адаптации в миграции и в родительстве — поддержание привычных социальных взаимодействий и ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98
The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klaro Ramires P. M., Veselova A., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 699–718
As Russia transitions toward a green economy and reshapes its sustainable development agenda, understanding the external and internal factors influencing companies’ adoption of ESG principles is increasingly important. The study examines the relationships between external institutional pressure, internal organizational capabilities, and the effectiveness of corporate ESG practices. It focuses on external regulatory and non-regulatory mechanisms, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Vakhrukova K., Петербургская социология сегодня 2025 № 30 С. 28–51
The digital age has radically changed the landscape of the humanities, introducing new methodologies, tools, and challenges. This has also been reflected in the field of oral history. This transformation has been particularly evident in the UK, where long-standing oral history archives and recent digitization projects have come together to redefine how scholars collect, preserve, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Grigoreva M., Balakina Y. V., Научный результат. Серия: Социальные и гуманитарные исследования 2026 Т. 12 № 3 С. 100–112
In the context of intense international migration and increasing ethnocultural diversity, the integration of migrants has become an important issue for public policy. While existing research primarily focuses on the socio-economic and legal dimensions of integration, less attention has been paid to the mechanisms through which migrants develop a sense of belonging to the host ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Barsukova S., Denisova-Schmidt E., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Vol. 35 No. 1 P. 106–139
The Russo-Ukrainian military conflict has forced many people in both countries to leave their homes. Based on original data sets collected in the capitals of Armenia and Georgia in November and December 2023, including in-depth interviews with migrants and domestic experts as well as participant observation, this paper focuses on the recent migration wave from ...
Added: June 15, 2026
Аракчеев В. А., Российская история 2024 № 1 С. 31–48
The article is a critical analysis of K.Y. Yerusalimsky's hypothesis and a polemic with him on the problems of enserfment and migration in Russia in the late XVI–first half of the XVII century. It is shown that the complex structure of Russian society predetermined nonlinear forms of enserfment of peasants. The understanding of such phenomena ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Van de Wall B., Political Theory 2026
The defense of gay rights and other liberal values by some right-wing populists is often perceived as an opportunistic strategy to justify anti-Muslim policies. But this explanation for co-optation of liberal values by parties that are considered to be in conflict with liberalism circumvents a proper analysis of the phenomenon. I will therefore investigate this ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Mkrtchyan N. V., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 1 С. 231–245
Objective of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Russian Near
North (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure facilities and to
analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with varying levels of provision of
these facilities. The study is based on data collected from open ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Фаузер В. В., Smirnov A., Арктика: экология и экономика 2020 № 4 С. 4–18
Population migration continues to be the main factor affecting the population dynamics in the Russian Arctic. The article discusses the theoretical provisions that reveal the essence of population migration, presents the main migration theories that explain the mobility of the population in the Arctic conditions. The object of the study is 75 urban and municipal ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2021 Т. 12 № 6 С. 258–274
Russia has achieved a high level of Internet connectivity and the use of digital technologies; this helps to accumulate and systematize huge amounts of population data. Modern challenges, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, require a more prompt and detailed analysis of the demographic situation. Understanding the information collected by digital platforms and services can improve ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономика региона 2022 Т. 18 № 1 С. 133–145
The nature and intensity of migration processes are constantly changing. Demographic statistics are not suitable for obtaining up-to-date information and making timely decisions in the field of demographic and social policy. Thus, digital demography is becoming increasingly important, as this area of population research uses new methods and data sources resulting from the Internet expansion ...
Added: March 18, 2026