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News
May 25, 2026
HSE Scientists Train Neural Network to 'Hear' Faults in Electric Motors
Researchers at the AI and Digital Science Institute of the HSE Faculty of Computer Science have developed a new method—the Signature-Guided Data Augmentation (SGDA) framework—that achieves 99% accuracy in motor fault detection and 86% accuracy in fault classification. The application of this approach can reduce industrial equipment repair costs, minimise downtime, and improve production safety. The study results have been published in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence.
May 25, 2026
'The Humanities Serve as a Conscience'
Maria Mizernaia studies Soviet literature and the history of book publishing. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses plans to publish a novel about besieged Leningrad, AI-provoked reflections on what it means to be human, and how novels can help satisfy our dopamine hunger.
May 25, 2026
Is It Possible to Predict a Citys Life Based on the Shape of Its Neighbourhoods?
Is it possible to predict, based on the configuration of streets and buildings, where a café will open or where traffic congestion will occur? Participants in the Spatial Analysis and Modelling of Urban Processes research and study group use open data and machine learning to identify universal patterns. Alexander Sheludkov and Eduard Somov discuss the purpose of comparing cities, the need for new forms of urban statistics, and how open data is transforming approaches to urban studies.

 

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Лекции по моделям макроэкономики

Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики. 1999. Т. 3. № 3. С. 423–464.
Smirnov A. D.
Priority areas: economics
Language: Russian
Text on another site
Keywords: переходная экономикаэкономическая теориямакроэкономическая модельэкономическое моделированиекурс лекцийпроблемы переходной экономики
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Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
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Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
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Up and Down the Mount Stupid: An Emotional Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
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This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
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Support Link Formation in Contests: Theory and an Experiment
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Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
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Inaction Inertia in Economic Decision Making: The Role of Reference Points
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The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
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Beyond the Notch: Revenue Manipulation and Business Splitting under Simplified Tax System
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
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Tax Audit Expectation Updating: Direct and Indirect Effects of an Audit
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In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Tax Debt Collection Enforcement: When are Collateral Tax Sanctions Effective due to their Prompt Impact?
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Momentum Factor or Factor Momentum in REITs Market?
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We  propose a new dynamic ...
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Экономическая теория, экономическая социология и грядущее перекраивание карты социальных наук
Radaev V., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2025 Т. 4 № 69 С. 233–249
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Added: January 12, 2026
Инновационная деятельность российских промышленных предприятий
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
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Экономический рост и защита прав интеллектуальной собственности в регионах РФ
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей интеллектуальной собственности. Целью проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
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Being Innovative or Being on the Safe Side - Managing the Risk of Failure
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
The Impact of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry Consolidation on Future Phosphorus Supply for World Agriculture
Shchiptsova A., Obersteiner M., / Series General Economics "arxiv.org". 2025.
The addition of phosphorus, in the form of mineral fertilizer, becomes necessary in most agricultural soils in order to achieve consistent high yield levels of intensive farming and maintain soil fertility. Recent consolidation of phosphate fertilizer industry has transformed fragmented trade into a single integrated global network, where a small group of large-scale companies dominates ...
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Размышления об экономическом анализе, финансовой науке и финансовом праве (часть 2)
Кажлаев С. А., Современное право 2024 № 4 С. 40–47
The author traces the formation and development of the economic direction in domestic law from the times of Tsarist Russia to the present. The views on the development of law and economics, the philosophy of economics, the philosophy and methodology of economics, the influence of economic concepts on the development of law, the economic analysis ...
Added: July 23, 2025
Экономическая теория: учебное пособие
Журавлева Г. П., Мантаева Э. И., Timofeyev Y. et al., Элиста: Изд-во КалГУ, 2025.
На сегодняшний день наиболее актуальными представляются проблемы формирования и реализации современного экономического мышления, его роли в социально-экономичеком развитии государства. Все более очевидно, что экономическому образованию принадлежит определяющая роль в сохранении, приумножениинационального богатства и достижении качественных показателей экономического роста, что обуславливает необходимость принципиально нового подхода к экономической подготовке. Специалисту любого профиля необходимо экономически грамотно мыслить, свободно ...
Added: May 20, 2025
Макроэкономическая модель российской экономики
Скрыпник Д. В., Экономика и математические методы 2016 Т. 52 № 3 С. 92–113
The constructed macroeconomic model of Russian economy is presented. The model takes into account the key features of behavioral mechanism, economic policy mechanism, and key structural features of the economy for medium and short periods. We model the budget rule mechanism, consider interaction between the Central Bank and the budget in the context of monetary ...
Added: February 4, 2024
Бюджетная политика и экономический рост в России. Оптимальное бюджетное правило
Скрыпник Д. В., Экономика и математические методы 2019 Т. 55 № 2 С. 24–42
The article shows that actual public expenditure in the period of rapid oil prices growth of the 2000s was less than the optimal level in Russia. The macroeconomic model of Russian economy is the basis of current research. The main mechanism of growth in an optimum scenario is associated with the scaling effect of public expenditure, which increases ...
Added: February 4, 2024
Organizational reputation and organizational assimilation: An exploration in a transitional economy
Zeng C., Permyakova T. M., Smolyanina E. et al., Организационная психология 2023 Vol. 13 No. 3 P. 39–53
Purpose. This study explores the relationship between organizational reputation and organizational assimilation among Russian employees. Method. To reflect the Russian business culturemore closely, the present study takes organizational ownership type, private-owned enterprises vs. stateownedenterprises, and organizational founding time (before 1985 vs. after 1985) into consideration. In total, 237 full-time employees from the Perm region of the ...
Added: December 30, 2023
Гуманитарный сектор патерналистского государства
СПб.: Алетейя, 2023.
The monograph continues the series of publications devoted to the economic theory of the state: "Prerequisites of Economic Theory: Critical Analysis" (2017); "The Economic Theory of the State: A New Paradigm of Paternalism" (2020). The first part of the new book presents a special theory of the humanitarian sector of the economy, which is based ...
Added: September 27, 2023
Economic Growth
Voskoboynikov I., , in: The Contemporary Russian Economy: a Comprehensive Analysis.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2023. Ch. 15 P. 291–312.
Since 1990, economic growth in Russia has been volatile. The transformational recession, with a sharp output fall (–8.4% in 1990–1995), was followed by a post-transition recovery (6% growth in 2001–2005) and a long stagnation (1.7% in 2011–2019). These three periods differ in terms of the main sources of growth. - The transformational recession of 1990–1998 was caused mostly by a ...
Added: February 26, 2023
Факторы передачи управления наемному менеджеру: опыт стран СНГ и Центральной и Восточной Европы.
Shirokova G., Шаталов А. И., Кнатько Д. М., Российский журнал менеджмента 2009 Т. 7 № 2 С. 31–50
В статье представлены результаты исследования, посвященного выявлению факторов, влияющих на передачу управления наемному менеджеру в странах с переходной экономикой. В процессе анализа литературы были сформулированы гипотезы о влиянии на принятие собственником решения о передаче управления таких факторов, как возраст, размер компании, восприятие правовой системы, проведение аудита, оценка приемлемого уровня коррупционных платежей. Эти гипотезы были протестированы с помощью модели логистической регрессии на ...
Added: February 19, 2023
Развитые и развивающиеся страны: к общей цели на разных скоростях
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Малков С. Ю., Russian Journal of Economics and Law 2022 Т. 16 № 2 С. 229–244
Objective: to analyze the expected economic transformations in the 21st century in various countries of the world. Methods: abstract-logical method, methods of modeling of socio-economic self-organization, methods of long-term forecasting of world dynamics, theory of institutional matrices.Results: based on the performed analysis, the following conclusions are made: 1) in the coming decades, a complex continuum ...
Added: June 18, 2022
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