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Streaming Dynamic Model Of Regional Production System
The purpose of the study is to assess the state and dynamics of the region's development. The research object is the production sphere of the Central Federal District - the leader in Russia in terms of socio-economic indicators. Modeling the state of the production system was carried out using stream models of economic dynamics. At the first stage, the state of the system in 2010 and 2018 was analyzed. Attempts to find equilibrium in the system under study did not yield results - the system had no solutions. The equilibrium state does not occur for any values of the parameters and phase variables. At the second stage, the dynamic development of the production system was simulated by numerical methods, graphs of the change in phase variables in time for two cases were built - the parameters of the system remain unchanged and change over time. As a result, we concluded that over time, economic agents become richer - the amount of money grows both among organizations and the population. However, the pace of production remains unchanged. The volume of shipped goods of own production decreases by increasing the number of imported goods in national markets and the rapid development of the financial sector during the period under review, stimulating the inflow of additional funds from enterprises and the population. Thus, financial flows do not remain in the production system and do not contribute to production growth, but flow into another institutional structure.