• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • Increase of Banks’ Credit Risk Forecasting Power Using the Set of Credit Ratings and Probability of Default Models
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2028
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
September 18, 2026
When Pictures Hinder Understanding: Illustrations May Impede Learning of Abstract Ideas
Illustrations can help remember specific actions but do not always make abstract ideas easier to learn. Researchers from HSE University and Humboldt University compared how people learn from texts with different levels of abstractness. They found that participants remembered illustrations better and performed better on related tasks after reading a multimedia text about yoga asanas than after reading an abstract text about the Nash equilibrium. The findings could help improve the selection of illustrations for educational and informational materials. The study has been published in Learning and Instruction.
September 17, 2026
'I Wish That People Would Place Greater Trust in Science'
When Tatiana Eremicheva chose Fundamental and Computational Linguistics as her field of study, she thought it would be about learning languages. Instead, she discovered it was about helping people. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses science as a way of understanding the world, billiards as a team-building activity, and why learning to read is not always as easy as it seems.
September 15, 2026
Immunity to Chaos: How Personal Resources Help Us Cope with the Challenges of a Turbulent World
International conflicts, crises and digital overload—the modern world puts our minds to the test every day. Traditional psychology often focuses on the consequences: anxiety, depression, and psychosomatic disorders. But what if we looked at the problem differently—through the lens of the resources that prevent us from breaking down? Psychological immunity is precisely this set of resources. Alena Zolotareva and her group, Psychological Immunity as a Resource for Positive Functioning, are developing an integrative model of this phenomenon, adapting diagnostic tools and preparing for large-scale empirical research. Why do psychologists need to collaborate with medical professionals, and how could their research transform preventive care in clinics and corporations?

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Increase of Banks’ Credit Risk Forecasting Power Using the Set of Credit Ratings and Probability of Default Models

Ch. 11. P. 177–196.
Khromova E.
Language: English
Full text
Text on another site
Keywords: банкиbanksprobability of defaultcredit ratingsкредитные рейтингимодель множественного выборавероятность дефолта банкаordered logit modelcombined modelкомбинационная модель

In book

Recent Advances of the Russian Operations Research Society
Cambridge: Cambridge Scholars Publishing, 2020.
Similar publications
Эволюция корпоративного управления в международных банковских группах
Soldatova A., В кн.: Международный банковский бизнес: проблемы и перспективы.: Прометей (МПГУ), 2026. С. 120–140.
This monograph addresses the theory and practice of international banking, including the assessment of financial relationships between business entities in the current environment, areas of cooperation in project finance, financial technologies, ensuring the security of banking operations, the development of settlement and depository systems in developing countries, and more. This research is intended for students studying ...
Added: September 4, 2026
Банки и экосистемы
Бровкина Н. Е., Терновская Е. П., Мешкова Е. И. et al., В кн.: Банк в современной экономикеКн. Банк в современной экономике.: М.: КноРус, 2026. С. 127–147.
Banks are the central link in the national financial market and the economy as a whole. The share of bank assets in the asset structure of the Russian financial market, despite a slight decline, remains dominant relative to other participants, reaching 80%. Russian banks are multifaceted. On the one hand, they provide working capital financing, long-term ...
Added: September 3, 2026
A New Approach to Identifying Political Connections: Evidence from the Russian Banking Sector
Kozlov N., Semenova M., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 2 P. 108–135
This paper introduces a novel approach to identifying and operationalizing political connections of banks. We manually code 2,598 bankers who owned or worked in 115 Russian banks between 2015 and 2021 to classify political connections and uncover their institutional patterns through cluster analysis. We propose a set of variables that capture the origins, relevance, and ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Evaluating Machine Learning Approaches for Forecasting Creditworthiness of Industrial Companies in Low-Default Portfolios
Vlada Shenevskaia, Sergey Grishunin, Alyona Astakhova, , in: Proceedings of the 44th Eurasia Business and Economics Society Conference, Istanbul 2023. Eurasian Business and Economics Perspectives. (EBES, volume 31).: Switzerland: Springer, 2024. P. 209–229.
The study focuses on estimating the creditworthiness of industrial enterprises in the Eurozone and North America, using a sample of 122 companies from 2008 to 2022. The data framework consists of annual financial, macroeconomic, and ESG risk factors. The paper’s principal contribution lies in a comparative examination of advanced modelling approaches for assessing the credit ...
Added: June 28, 2026
A Static Capital Buffer is Hard To Beat
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Агентная модель поведения вкладчиков на региональном рынке банковских услуг (вкладов)
Ramenskaya A., Бектемиров Р. Р., Корнейченко Е. Н., В кн.: Имитационное моделирование. Теория и практика (ИММОД 2025).: СПб.: АО "ЦТСС", 2025. С. 463–470.
Banks need to analyze the preferences and behavior of their customers for stability. The high value of the key rate has affected the deposit policy of banks. The purpose of the study is to develop simulation model of customer behavior in the regional bank deposit market. The paper proposes an agent-based simulation model describing the ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Подходы к оценке дефолтности рейтинговых шкал кредитных рейтинговых агентств
Ozerov K., Кутенко С. В., Деньги и кредит 2024 Т. 83 № 4 С. 98–118
Under limited data, the classical cohort method for the creation of migration matrices does not fully reflect the dynamics of the credit quality of the objects within the sample. This problem is exacerbated for objects of lower credit quality less represented in the sample. This paper investigates a continuous time approach to the creation of ...
Added: December 20, 2025
The impact of board members from banks with revoked licenses on the performance of the Russian companies
Zavertiaeva M. A., Kirpishchikov D., Kireecheva A. et al., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2026 No. 1(70) P. 302–326
This study examines how directors associated with Russian banks with revoked licenses affect the performance of non-financial firms. Since 2013, the Central Bank of Russia has pursued improvements in the financial sector. It is also implementing a "blacklist" of individuals with unsatisfactory business reputations. Focusing on directors of banks with revoked licenses, we examine whether ...
Added: November 7, 2025
Международный банковский бизнес: теория и практика
Karminsky A. M., М.: Прометей, 2025.
The monograph including issues of the theory and practice of international banking ...
Added: September 20, 2025
The Impact of Alternative Data on Default Probability: Analyzing the Italian E-commerce Sector with NLP and Network Structures
Bernhardt B. D., Marciano C., Guarracino M. R., Operations Research Forum 2025 Vol. 6 Article 47
E-commerce is a key sector in the Italian economy, with online companies becoming some of the largest and most profitable businesses. However, this growth comes with increased risk exposure. This study aims to investigate the relationship between alternative data (contextual factors, Text-Driven Data Enrichment) and the probability of default for Italian e-commerce companies. To date, ...
Added: September 6, 2025
The Uniform Relationship between Managerial Ability and Bank Loan Quality: Does it hold? Evidence from Quantile Regressions
Zaiane S., Semenova M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2025. No. 96FE2025.
This study examines the relationship between managerial ability (MA) and bank loan quality, employing a quantile regression model. It analyzes whether the impact of MA on loan quality changes across various quantiles of risk. Using a sample of 126 MENA banks (2006–2020), the results reveal that the impact of MA on bank loan quality varies ...
Added: February 18, 2025
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit