Интегральная оценка влияния социально-экономических, экологических факторов на общую смертность населения

Экология человека. 2020. № 4. С. 4–11.

Чащин В. П.

The purpose of the study is to assess the factors that affect the level of overall mortality in the Republic of Bashkortostan (RB). Methods. The study was conducted using regression analysis based on panel data. The official statistical materials of the Territorial body of the Federal state statistics service for the Republic of Belarus were used as an information base (table C51; databases on demography and statistical yearbooks "Socio-economic situation of municipal districts and urban districts of the Republic"; annual statistical reports in the form "2TP - Air"); Rosstat. We considered data consisting of observations for 54 municipalities and 21 cities of the Republic of Belarus, followed in dynamics for 16 years (2002-2017). There are 17 indicators that characterize the main aspects of national development. Results. Based on the regression analysis of panel data, risk factors for overall mortality were identified: primary access to disability of the adult population, the number of pensioners, unemployment, and crime. It is noted that improving the quality of medical services, increasing the number of enterprises, and population density affect the reduction of the death rate. The impact of these factors differs for men and women. Conclusion: the results of the assessment allow us to identify areas of activity for reducing mortality, as well as to determine the priorities of socio-economic policy at the regional level.

Keywords: панельный анализ данных, socio-economic factors, panel analysis, total mortality, общая смертность, социально-экономические факторы