Новая экономическая политика для России и Мира.Сборник научных трудов участников Международной научной конференции - XXVII Кондратьевские чтения, 29-30 октября 2019

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Новая экономическая политика для России и Мира.Сборник научных трудов участников Международной научной конференции - XXVII Кондратьевские чтения, 29-30 октября 2019

M. : Межрегиональная общественная организация содействия изучению, пропаганде научного наследия Н.Д. Кондратьева, 2019.

Academic editor: Гринберг Р. С.

Социальный мир четвертой промышленной революции

Ivanov V. V., В кн.: Новая экономическая политика для России и Мира.Сборник научных трудов участников Международной научной конференции - XXVII Кондратьевские чтения, 29-30 октября 2019.: М.: Межрегиональная общественная организация содействия изучению, пропаганде научного наследия Н.Д. Кондратьева, 2019. С. 87–94.

Нарастающая дезинтеграция в мировой экономике и социуме не случайна. Мир готовится перейти на новый организационный уровень. Этот переход неизбежен и определен во времени, но имеет несколько сценариев. Одни способны обеспечить рывок, другие новую великую депрессию. И, хотя это не выбор между социальными и либеральными ценностями, для России важен не только рывок, но и социальность выбора, ...

Added: June 18, 2020

Priority areas: economics

Language: Russian

Новая экономическая политика для России и Мира.Сборник научных трудов участников Международной научной конференции - XXVII Кондратьевские чтения, 29-30 октября 2019

Cyclical Fluctuations, Financial Frictions, and Productivity Differences across Firms

Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.

Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...

Added: June 28, 2026

Устойчивость на текучей основе: долгосрочная устойчивая цена на нефть

Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.

В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...

Added: June 27, 2026

Учебная модель малой открытой экономики для анализа денежно-кредитной политики (с примерами из практики Банка России

Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.

The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...

Added: June 27, 2026

A Static Capital Buffer is Hard To Beat

Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.

Added: June 27, 2026

Hybrid Competition under Fragmented Demand and Limited Consumer Choice

Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).

This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...

Added: June 11, 2026

How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia

Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.

Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...

Added: June 3, 2026

Финансовая грамотность и ответственное финансовое поведение российских домохозяйств

Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.

At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...

Added: June 1, 2026

Почему растущие доходы не делают людей счастливее: эмоциональное объяснение парадокса Истерлина (Why Growing Incomes Do Not Make People Happier: an Emotional Explanation of the Easterlin Paradox)

Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.

This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...

Added: May 31, 2026

Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences

Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.

This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...

Added: April 3, 2026

Загадка внутренней мотивации

Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.

This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...

Added: March 15, 2026

Up and Down the Mount Stupid: An Emotional Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect

Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.

In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...

Added: February 11, 2026

Microfoundations of the Cultural Modernization Theory

Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.

This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...

Added: February 10, 2026

Support Link Formation in Contests: Theory and an Experiment

Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.

Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...

Added: January 31, 2026

Inaction Inertia in Economic Decision Making: The Role of Reference Points

Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.

The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...

Added: January 23, 2026

Beyond the Notch: Revenue Manipulation and Business Splitting under Simplified Tax System

Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.

Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...

Added: January 21, 2026

Tax Audit Expectation Updating: Direct and Indirect Effects of an Audit

Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.

In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...

Added: January 21, 2026

Tax Debt Collection Enforcement: When are Collateral Tax Sanctions Effective due to their Prompt Impact?

Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.

While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...

Added: January 21, 2026

Momentum Factor or Factor Momentum in REITs Market?

Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.

We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...

Added: January 21, 2026

Инновационная деятельность российских промышленных предприятий

Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.

В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...

Added: December 31, 2025

Конституционные принципы социального государства и самостоятельности местного самоуправления: аспекты баланса

Sivitsky V. A., В кн.: ARS JURIS : сборник научных статей к юбилею Г.А. Гаджиева/ под общ. ред. П.Д. Блохина, А.В. Ильина, Д.В. Тютина.: М.: Статут, 2023..

Анализируется Постановление Конституционного Суда Российской Федерации от 15 мая 2006 года № 5-П ...

Added: December 23, 2025

Развитие правового регулирования налоговой обязанности в контексте принципа прямых и обратных связей

Lyutova O. I., Современное общество и право 2025 № 1 С. 100–104

В статье рассмотрены актуальные проблемы развития правового регулирования налоговой обязанности в условиях цифровизации экономики в контексте принципа прямых и обратных связей. Указаны направления реализации такого принципа: автоматический доступ к услугам налоговых органов, а также перераспределение прав и обязанностей между ними и налогоплательщиками. По итогам исследования сделан вывод о необходимости дополнения ст. 111 НК РФ нормой ...

Added: February 20, 2025

Социальное государство и парламентаризм: гармоничное соседство или режим несовместимости?

Брикульский И. А., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 11: Право 2024 № 3 С. 94–114

The principle of the welfare state presupposes the active participation of the executive branch in the fair distribution of resources, significantly changing the bal ance of power in the traditional system of separation of powers, creating an imbalance not in favor of the legislative branch and weakening the latter. In the field of social policy, ...

Added: February 18, 2025

Беспощадная непреложность рецепции: был ли заимствован институт президентства в России

Брикульский И. А., Конституционное и муниципальное право 2024 № 10 С. 53–61

The article raises the problem of reception of the presidency institution in Russia. The author addresses the problems of borrowing of legal institutions and the institutional theory that stipulates rather strict conditions for borrowing of any institutions. Ignoring such conditions (e.g., clear choice of the institution to be borrowed, creation of institutional conditions, strategy, accounting ...

Added: February 18, 2025

Постсоветское президентство: искушение социальными полномочиями

Брикульский И. А., Сравнительное конституционное обозрение 2023 № 6 (157) С. 66–89

The author explores the constitutional and legal regimes of nine former Soviet republics, their con stitutions, laws, presidential acts, and other instruments of influence on social policy, reaching the conclusion that heads of state directly determine the form and content of social policy. For example, presidents establish not only the general directions of social policy ...

Added: February 18, 2025