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August 11, 2026
‘The Peak of Stupidity and ‘The Valley of Despair: HSE Economists Propose an Explanation for the Dunning–Kruger Effect
The Dunning–Kruger effect, which describes a sharp surge in self-confidence among beginners followed by an equally rapid decline as they gain experience, can be explained by the nature of the learning process and the acquisition of new knowledge. This conclusion was reached by Andrey Vorchik of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences together with independent researcher Murat Mamyshev. They developed a mathematical model of learning and demonstrated how subjective confidence is formed and changes as knowledge accumulates, as well as how teachers can reduce the ‘valley of despair’ experienced by learners.
July 24, 2026
‘I Like Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
Andrey Vorchik studies happiness, delivers popular science lectures, and believes that science should address social issues as well. In an interview for the Young Scientists of HSE University project, he spoke about how emotions influence decision-making, the Bermuda Triangle formed by the bathroom, refrigerator, and bed, and the ideal formula for education.
July 24, 2026
'Physics Is What the World Is Literally Built On'
Physicist Nina Dzhanayeva, recipient of a Vladimir Potanin Foundation scholarship, focuses her research on nanophotonics. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses nanowells, scientific intuition, and how physics can help in making frangipane cream puffs.

 

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Расчетная оценка безотказности многоканального преобразователя напряжения c ротацией силовых каналов

Электротехника. 2020. № 4. С. 31–37.
Zhadnov V. V., Polesskiy S.

Dependability of power electronics products designed for power supply of electronic equipment, largely determine its dependability, because failure of the power supply system, as a rule, leads to failure of the equipment as a whole. Therefore, the secondary power supply must be highly reliable. To ensure the required dependability of power supplies, various methods of their construction and redundancy are used. Early stages of design determine the dependability that will be implemented in the manufacture and maintained during operation. At these stages, dependability prediction are of paramount importance.

The complexity of power supply architectures and the use of redundancy in them leads to the complexity of analytical of their dependability prediction and requires the involvement of highly qualified specialists. The use of specialized software that implements simulation modeling in the calculation of structurally complex power supplies also causes certain difficulties associated with the construction of formal models and their verification. Therefore, the improvement of analytical methods to obtain estimates of the dependability of power sources is currently being given a lot of attention.

At present, one of the promising directions of improving the reliability of voltage converters is the use of backbone-modular architecture, mixed redundancy and rotation of the major and redundant power channels. For such a converter, an analytical method for calculating the lower and upper estimate of the reliability function is proposed, which is based on the use of a standardized model for the group "sliding loaded redundancy". It is shown that the channel rotation as the reliability characteristics of the channels can be used cyclic failure rate.

In contrast to the known, the developed method allows to obtain these estimates as a function of time and taking into account the failure rates of the converter channels not only in the operating mode, but also in the standby mode.

An example of calculating the limits of the reliability function of the converter by the proposed method is given, and to confirm the results of the calculation of the same example by simulation. In addition, it is shown that the reduction of the full rotation cycle of the channels increases the uniformity of the resource consumption by the channels with an "absolutely reliable" switch and does not affect the reliability of the converter, and the "unreliable" switch leads to a decrease in reliability.

Research target: Electronics and Electrical Engineering
Priority areas: engineering science
Language: Russian
Keywords: интенсивность отказовнадежностьрезервированиеротацияfailure rateвероятность безотказной работыDependabilityredundancyreliability functionсиловой каналrotationpower channelmulti-channel voltage convertersdataway-modular architectureresudual lifeмногоканальный преобразователь напряжениямагистрально-модульная архитектураостаточный ресурс
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