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Think national, forecast local: a case study of 71 German urban housing markets
Applied Economics. 2017. Vol. 49. No. 42. P. 4271–4297.
Kholodilin K., Siliverstovs B.
In this article, we examine whether the local indicators are able to predict the city-level housing prices and rents better than national indicators. For this purpose, we assess the forecasting ability of 126 indicators and 21 types of forecast combinations using a sample of 71 large German cities. There are several predictors that are especially useful, namely price-to-rent ratios, national-level business confidence, and consumer surveys. We also find that combinations of individual forecasts are among the top forecasting models. On average, the forecast improvements attain about 20%, measured by a reduction in root mean square error, compared to the naive models.
Legut K., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Vol. 1 No. 29 P. 118–148
The most recent Russian emigration wave of 2022–2023 has some peculiar features. Unlike their predecessors, the migrants of that wave have been leaving the country in conditions of high economic instability, strong tensions in the international political arena, closed airspace for Russia’s airlines, and suspended facilitation of obtaining the Schengen visa. The research goal of ...
Added: April 10, 2026
Шерстюков С. А., Новая и новейшая история 2026 Т. 70 № 1 С. 79–92
Following the outbreak of the First World War, Germany and the Ottoman Empire sought to draw Afghanistan into the conflict on the side of the Central Powers by dispatching diplomatic and military missions to Kabul. Although these efforts failed, the Ottoman proclamation of jihad and the activities of German and Ottoman agents in Afghanistan produced ...
Added: March 6, 2026
Чихачев А. Ю., Гуляев Е. В., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2022 Т. 66 № 5 С. 59–67
На современном этапе страны Евросоюза уделяют все большее внимание Индо-Тихоокеанскому региону, что выражается в появлении у них соответствующих доктринальных документов. В статье изучаются подходы двух государств, опубликовавших свои стратегии ранее остальных, - Франции и Германии. Выявляются их основные приоритеты в Индо-Пацифике, способы регионального присутствия, ключевые партнеры и форматы сотрудничества. Приводятся перспективные направления военно-политического взаимодействия, которые ...
Added: January 7, 2026
Ekaterina V. Romanova, Evgeny I. Vdovkin, Geography, Environment, Sustainability 2025 Vol. 18 No. 1 P. 117–129
his study highlights the importance of understanding the geographical context of innovation processes in industries driven by tacit knowledge, with German wind energy as its object of investigation. The subject of the research is the spatial organization of innovation processes in the wind energy sector, focusing on the co-location of inventors, production facilities, and installed ...
Added: November 5, 2025
Petrov I., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2025 № 2(126) С. 43–65
The article analyzes the attitude of the three poles of European party politics - the center-right, the center-left, and the right-populists - to the election of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States, and also asks the question of whether a similar turnaround based on the coming to power of a "grand ...
Added: October 20, 2025
Borisenko M., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2024 Т. 18 № 4 С. 92–101
Existing literature on multi-level governance suggests that interactions between actors at different levels lead to successful, more efficient implementation of policies. Using the example of the failed military reform of 2000-2003 in Germany, we show that multi-level governance can complicate the implementation of reforms. Particular attention is paid to how actors at the supranational and ...
Added: September 23, 2025
Sinitsyn M., Illeritskiy N., Современная Европа 2024 № 7 С. 124–133
The purpose of the article is to analyse the national emissions trading system in Germany, launched in 2021. The system is a development of the European Union's climate policy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which led to the launch of European emissions trading system in the electricity sector, industry, maritime transport and aviation, and is ...
Added: June 5, 2025
Tomashevskaya A., Уваров Ф. М., Гуманитарные исследования в Восточной Сибири и на Дальнем Востоке 2025 № 3 С. 81–90
This article analyzes views on technology within the framework of early 20th-cen-tury German Kulturkritik(cultural criticism). By examining the concepts of think-ers such as G. Simmel, K. Jaspers, O. Spengler, and H. Freyer, the authors aim to present Kulturkritikas a holistic yet multifaceted paradigm of philosophical cri-tique directed at modernity in general and its technical dimension ...
Added: June 1, 2025
Vladimir B., Современная Европа 2025 № 2(130) С. 65–78
Thе article examines the specifics of the EU countries’ practices of insuring foreign investment from political risks through the lens of international development agenda. It consecutively identifies the institutional aspects of relevant activities, objectives and conditions of foreign investment insurance or guarantees, scale and geographical scope of coverage, as well as the trends that have ...
Added: May 14, 2025
Александрова А. К., Современная Европа 2021 Т. 103 № 3 С. 167–180
During World War II Greece suffered immense devastation; aside from the damage itself, the country was forced to provide the Third Reich with an occupation loan. After the war, Athens claimed reparations and repayment of the loan, but not all such claims were settled. The final solution was postponed until the eventual reunification of Germany ...
Added: March 12, 2025
Tanis K., , in: New Europe College Yearbook 2023-2024: Volume 3Vol. 3.: Bucharest: New Europe College, 2025. P. 265–290.
Added: January 19, 2025
Balakina Y. V., Вестник Томского государственного университета 2024 № 509 С. 23–34
The relevance of the research is justified by the influence of the media on the consciousness and behavior of people during the crisis, allowing to form discursive phenomena that have specific characteristics. In addition, it seems particularly relevant to use linguistic tools to describe media and political phenomena, as well as to apply media and ...
Added: December 12, 2024
Lagutina I., Quaestio Rossica 2024 Т. 12 № 4 С. 1411–1428
The author of the paper reconstructs the strategy of correspondence between Catherine II and the Swiss-German philosopher I. G. Zimmerman, which lasted from 1785 to 1792, for the first time analyzes the reasons for the change in the nature of the empress’s letters, turning from friendly messages, where correspondents act as partners in intellectual communication, ...
Added: November 19, 2024
Penskaja E., Mikhaylenko A., Театр. Живопись. Кино. Музыка 2024 № 3 С. 128–143
This article explores the origins of German influences on Vsevolod Meyerhold's cabaret prac - tice during the 1910s. It analyzes his professional interest in the early cabarets that emerged in Germany in the early 1900s, particularly the Überbrettl created by Wedekind, Birnbaum, and Baron Ernst von Wolzogen. The evolution of cabaret forms within Meyerhold’s artistic ...
Added: October 30, 2024
Kotov A., Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН 2023 № 3 С. 111–123
The paper describes actual problem of socio-economic inequality between the East and West of Germany. We examine the analysis of sociological differences between parts of the country in terms of the results of German unity policies, the introduction of coronavirus restrictions, technological equipment and economic potential. All those issues are considered with key works of ...
Added: June 24, 2024
Sinitsyn M., Инновации и инвестиции 2024 № 2 С. 78–81
The article analyzes the latest trends in the global electric vehicle market: insufficiently rapid reduction in battery costs, which delays the achievement of price parity between electric vehicles and traditional internal combustion engine vehicles; weakening government incentives in European countries due to the high costs (volume of lost tax revenues and subsidies) of stimulating sales ...
Added: June 5, 2024
Bronitsky G., Population and Economics 2024 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 133–154
Analysis of migration flows is crucial for understanding and forecasting social and economic trends. This paper presents an algorithm for obtaining migration estimates with minimal time delay (nowcasting) using Google Trends Index (GTI) search queries. The predictive power of the models is assessed across different periods, including one marked by the restrictions imposed due to ...
Added: March 21, 2024
Glaser M., Poliachenkov A. V., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2023 № 2 С. 57–72
The article examines the influence of the German think tank ‘German Institute for International and
Security Affairs’ (SWP) on German public opinion and, subsequently, on the main parameters of the
country’s strategic culture. It was found that the key task of the think tank’s experts is to promote
the idea of the need to transform the previous principles ...
Added: October 19, 2023
Салов А. И., International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis 2024 Vol. ahead-of-print No. ahead-of-print P. 1–...
This paper incorporates two empirical approaches to describe behaviour of property prices across British regions. The models are applied to two different datasets. The first empirical approach is to apply the price diffusion model proposed by Holly et al. (2011) to the UK HPI dataset. The second empirical approach is to apply a bivariate Global ...
Added: September 10, 2023
Dimov G., Экономика железных дорог 2021 № 5 С. 54–64
Since 30 years of the liberalization process of railway sectors of the European Union countries has been started we are able to investigate whether changes in the structure of the railway sectors affected the railway market functioning. Through the analysis of changes of the key railway indicators in Germany and the United Kingdom the main ...
Added: June 16, 2023
Bronitsky G., Vakulenko E., Прикладная эконометрика 2024 № 73 С. 78–101
This paper proposes a method for predicting migration based on search query data statistics using Google Trends Index (GTI). We improved the existing methodology in two directions: firstly, we proposed an approach for selecting key search queries and aggregating them based on various statistical criteria; secondly, we showed the importance of including in the migration ...
Added: April 26, 2023
Khriakov A., Электронный научно-образовательный журнал "История" 2022 Т. 13 № 12 (122)
The article is devoted to the consideration of the scientific policy of the Third Reich. The possible reasons for historians' long-term disregard of this problem are analyzed, related both to the reluctance of the researchers themselves and the peculiarities of the perception of science by the leaders of the state. The example of the Prussian ...
Added: January 26, 2023