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Использование пространственных эконометрических моделей при прогнозе регионального уровня безработицы
Прикладная эконометрика. 2016. № 43. С. 29-51.
We consider forecasting unemployment in Russian and German region with the help of econometric panel data models. Using regional data from 2005 till 2012 we show that spatial panel data models perform better in terms of forecasting accuracy than other models (on average and at least for some distinct regions) such as non-spatial panel data models, pooled OLS, models without exploratory variables and naive forecasts (average value for one or several previous periods).
Semerikova E. V., Прикладная эконометрика 2014 № 35 С. 107-132
The paper assesses factors of regional unemployment and spatial spillover effects in Germany. Using panel data for 407 out of 413 German regions for 2001 through 2009, we explore differences between eastern and western regions in spatial effects. We estimate static and dynamic spatial models by the maximum likelihood estimation approach, elaborated by Lee and ...
Added: November 13, 2014
Danilenko T., Demidova O., Signorelli M., Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 2018 Vol. 54 No. 6 P. 1337-1357
In this article, we empirically investigate regional unemployment in Russia. We first detect the existence of two unemployment clubs, that is, regions with high (low) unemployment surrounded by regions with high (low) unemployment, and a group that comprises the remaining regions. We then apply a specially designed class of spatial-econometric models to regional data 2005–2012, ...
Added: July 23, 2018
Semerikova E. V., Demidova O., Пространственная экономика 2015 № 2 С. 64-85
This paper analyzes the regional unemployment in Russia and Germany in 2005–2010 and addresses issues of choosing the right specification of spatial-econometric models. The analysis based on data of 75 Russian and 370 German regions showed that for Germany the choice of the spatial weighting matrix has a more significant influence on the parameter estimates ...
Added: June 19, 2015
Vakulenko E., Marelli E., / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2014. No. 74.
Youth unemployment is a troublesome problem in many European countries. In the first part of the paper, we consider the aggregate trends in some EU countries and in Russia; we especially investigate the recent period after the global crisis and Great Recession. We then consider the different types of determinants, including macroeconomic conditions, structural determinants, ...
Added: October 13, 2014
Kolosnitsyna M., Khorkina N., Волков А. Ю., Вопросы статистики 2016 № 5 С. 50-62
The paper estimates an influence of government alcohol policies on the road accidents dynamics in Russian regions. The research was based on the regional data provided by Rosstat, for years 2001-2013. The sample included 962 observation units from 74 regions of the Russian Federation. Alcohol deterrence measures under review included temporal bans on alcohol sales ...
Added: May 19, 2016
Abylkalikov S., Региональная экономика: теория и практика 2015 Т. 22 № 397 С. 21-30
Importance Almost all countries have spatial heterogeneity of economic and social development of the regions, as well as demographic processes. The larger the area of the country, the differentiation is more, including the growing role of natural and geographical characteristics. A large number of regions in Russia complicate an individualized approach to address research and management ...
Added: June 19, 2015
Rastvortseva S., Лебедев А. О., М. : Экон-Информ, 2016
В монографии изложены теоретико-методические основы исследования экономической интеграции регионов, представлена и апробирована в регионах Центрального Черноземья авторская методика оценки интеграционных возможностей региона, проанализированы факторы межрегиональной экономической интеграции.
В книге раскрываются приоритетные направления совершенствования форм межрегиональной экономической интеграции: развитие кластеров и сетевого взаимодействия университетов в сфере образования и науки. Исследование поддержано грантом. Исследование поддержано грантом РФФИ, проект ...
Added: April 21, 2017
Zyuzin A., Demidova O., Dolgopyatova T. G., Пространственная экономика 2020 Т. 16 № 2 С. 39-69
This paper studies the influence of industry localization and region economy diversification on firm profitability in Russia and provides quantitative estimation to such an influence. In this paper two main hypotheses are tested: (a) industry localization and region economy diversification improve enterprise profitability and (b) both localization and diversification influence smaller companies rather than bigger ones. ...
Added: July 20, 2020
Remington T. F., Soboleva I. V., Sobolev A. S. et al., / National Council for Eurasian and East European Research. Series "NCEEER Working Paper". 2011. No. 825-06.
On the basis of in-depth case studies of four Russian regions, Kirov and Voronezh oblasts and Krasnoyarsk and Perm' krais, the trade-offs among social and economic policy at the regional level in Russia are examined. All four regional governments seek to develop entrepreneurship while preserving social welfare obligations and improving compensation in the public sector. ...
Added: November 8, 2012
Tabakh A. V., Андреева Д. А., Вопросы экономики 2015 № 10 С. 79-93
Debt practices and strategies of Russian regions are surveyed, as constrained by federal legislation. Major factors that impact debt policy reviewed and regions are grouped depending on their approach to debt financing. ...
Added: November 24, 2015
Rasskazova A. N., Rasskazov S. V., Банковские услуги 2012 № 3 С. 18-29
In this work the mathematical formulation of planning interaction of bank and corporate customers, aimed at achieving a given of banks indicator, and technology its solutions. On real data performed an analytical study on the relationship of this indicator with GDP for different categories of customers. The results obtained can be used to develop elements ...
Added: March 8, 2013
Demidova O., Ivanov D., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2016 Т. 20 № 1 С. 52-75
The fundamental idea underpinning spatial econometric models of economic growth is as follows: regional growth is determined not only by social, economic, geographic traits of a region but also by spillovers from other regions, most importantly adjacent ones. If one region starts booming, it can left neighbors unaffected (neutral mechanism), spur their growth (cooperation mechanism) ...
Added: April 22, 2016
Androuschak G., Козьмина Я. Я., Sivak E. et al., Йошкар-Ола : ООО «Полиграфическое предприятие Центр Принт», 2010
В работе описывается процесс введения новой системы оплаты труда учителей (НСОТ) в Новгородской и Калининградской областях и изменения, происходящие в школе после введения НСОТ. Выводы основаны на данных опросов, проведенных Институтом институциональных исследований ГУ-ВШЭ в городских школах Калининградской области в мае 2009 года и Новгородской области в октябре 2009 года. Рассматривается формирование критериев стимулирования, динамика ...
Added: November 27, 2012
Dubrova T.A., Ermolina A.A., Esenin M.A., International Journal of Economics and Business Administration 2019 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 26-40
Puprose: The article is aimed at comprehensive study of small enterprises’ innovative activity in Russia and highlights the key constraints factors as well as factors promoting small business innovative activity.
Design/Methodology/Approach: We conduct a review of modern domestic and foreign studies on innovative development of SMEs their components and factors to give a comparative description of ...
Added: February 23, 2020
Терещенко Д. С., Щербаков В. С., Economy of Region 2021 Vol. 17 No. 1 P. 223-234
Universities play a crucial role in local economies, providing educational services and participating in research and development. This is particularly important for Russia where regions are highly differentiated in terms of both socio-economic development and technological progress and innovations. However, many regional universities in Russia have traditionally focused primarily on teaching, with less emphasis on ...
Added: October 1, 2020
М. : Институт научной информации по общественным наукам (ИНИОН) РАН, 2019
Организаторы конференции: Курский государственный университет, Институт научной информации по общественным наукам Российской академии наук (ИНИОН РАН), Вольное экономическое общество России, Российский союз научных и инженерных объединений, Евразийский информационно-аналитический консорциум.
Цель данной конференции – конструктивное обсуждение стратегий и механизмов модернизации, инновационного и научно-технологического развития регионов и городов России и других стран, представление российского и зарубежного опыта взаимодействия ...
Added: July 19, 2019
Ермаков А. В., Merzlyakov S., Горизонты экономики 2016 Т. 5 № 31 С. 46-54
This paper analyzes the regional debt problem in the context of spatial effects in Russian regions. Using spatial econometrics, we determine the key socio-economic factors of the regional debt accumulation. We show that an increase in the debt in one region affects the debt accumulation in the neighbor regions. We also find that regional debt ...
Added: November 10, 2016
Bortnik I. M., Земцов С. П., Иванова О. В. et al., Инновации 2015 № 7(201) С. 26-36
Какими характеристиками обладают российские инновационные территориальные кластеры, соответствует ли качество их управления международным стандартам, каковы перспективы их интеграции в международную кластерную сеть? В данной статье изложены результаты обследования качества управления в российских пилотных инновационных территориальных кластерах (далее — ИТК), проведенного Ассоциацией инновационных регионов России совместно с Минэкономразвития России, Агентством стратегических инициатив и Высшей школой экономики ...
Added: October 13, 2015
Kossova T. V., Экономическая политика 2020 Т. 15 № 6 С. 90-109
Infectious disease mortality occupies a small share in the structure of mortality in developed countries. However, it is concentrated in relatively young ages, and it entails significant economic costs. From 1990 to 2018, Russian regions showed different dynamics of mortality from infectious diseases. Some regions managed to reverse the negative growth trend in mortality in ...
Added: February 5, 2021
Kolosnitsyna M., Khorkina N., Sitdikov M. T., Проблемы прогнозирования 2017 № 5 С. 116-128
В статье анализируется характер воздействия ограничений ночной торговли спиртным в российских регионах на объёмы потребления алкогольных напитков. Оценка проводится на основе региональных данных Росстата и индивидуальных данных Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ за 2009-2010 годы. Эконометрический анализ выявил положительную корреляцию между количеством потребляемого алкоголя и продолжительностью разрешенного времени продаж спиртного в ...
Added: March 27, 2017
Kulagin V., Veselov F., Белоцкая Е. Д. et al., М. : ИНЭИ РАН-АЦ при Правительстве РФ, 2016
В монографии представлены результаты исследования по долгосрочному прогнозированию развития мировых энергетических рынков и расчетов, проведенных с использованием информационно- модельного комплекса SCANER. Показана комплексная оценка направлений развития энергетики мира, регионов и стран, включая объемы потребления, производства, переработки и торговли энергоресурсами, цены, параметры конкуренции, динамику ввода новых мощностей, объемы выбросов СО2. Три прогнозных сценария – Вероятный, Благоприятный ...
Added: November 29, 2016
Жукова А. К., Silaev A. M., Silaeva M. V., Пространственная экономика 2016 № 4 С. 112-128
The paper examines the influence of various socio-economic and environmental factors on the life expectancy of the Russian population using regional data in 2014. With the help of spatial econometrics the authors show that there are differences in the models of life expectancy for men and women, as well as for residents from the western ...
Added: January 3, 2017
Yasnitsky L., Иванов Д. В., Липатова Е. В., Бизнес-информатика 2014 № 3 С. 49-56
Object of this research is the Russian banking system. The work purpose – creation of the comput-er program of an assessment of probability of bankruptcies of banks because of revocation of li-cense of banks and use of this system as mathematical model for detection of some regularities of the Russian bank sphere. The instrument of ...
Added: March 2, 2015
Зубаревич Н., Хасанова Р., Мкртчян Н., Экономическое развитие России 2017 № 12 С. 85-98
Although the process of development of Russia’s regions in 2017 (January-October) was less problem-ridden than in 2016, the economic stabilization did not bring about any positive social progress. The growth of the portion of regional budgets allocated to social expenditures conduced to a more noticeable increase in the funding of education and culture, but the ...
Added: February 1, 2018