?
Прогнозирование основных показателей фондового рынка России авторегрессионными моделями с распределенными лагами
Аудит и финансовый анализ. 2016. № 3. С. 128–133.
This work is devoted to the analysis and forecasting of the main indicators of the Russian stock market ‒ the indices of the Russian Trading System and the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange. Autoregressive models with distributed lags describing the behavior of these indices are constructed. On the basis of the proposed models, a retrospective forecasting of the stock market indicators was made, allowing to determine the accuracy of the received forecasts.
Language:
Russian
Morozkina A., Есаян М. А., Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право 2025 Т. 18 № 4 С. 169–190
In the context of budget constraints, the allocation of development finance is one of the important research questions. This article proposes a study of the allocation of sovereign financing in the Eurasian region in 2008-2022 using new data (the Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD) sovereign financing database). The analysis shows that the most ...
Added: August 31, 2026
СПб.: Издательство СПбГЭУ, 2025.
Вашему вниманию предлагается 19-й ежегодный сборник научных статей по вопросам региональной экономики и территориального развития.
Несмотря на сложное положение в экономике, продолжает развиваться межрегиональное сотрудничество регионов СЗФО. Активно взаимодействуют Санкт-Петербург и Ленинградская область в части развития единого транспортно-логистического комплекса. Идет формирование единого рынка труда на основе баланса трудовых ресурсов города и области. Разрабатывается единая схема размещения ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Asemota M. O., DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892
Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping work and human resource management, yet existing reviews largely treat competencies as secondary outcomes of AI adoption and offer limited theory-driven integration of how competency management itself is transforming. This study addresses that gap by systematically examining how competency management has evolved in AI-enabled contexts, how dominant theories explain AI-driven ...
Added: August 31, 2026
DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892
Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping work and human resource management, yet existing reviews largely treat competencies as secondary outcomes of AI adoption and offer limited theory-driven integration of how competency management itself is transforming. This study addresses that gap by systematically examining how competency management has evolved in AI-enabled contexts, how dominant theories explain AI-driven ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Petrov I., Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 2026
This paper studies a social-norm model in which agents choose effort in response to their own productivity and the efforts of their neighbours. We analyse how links between groups with different productivity levels affect equilibrium effort and derive the intergroup linking intensity that maximises aggregate effort. We work in a stylised two-group stochastic block setting ...
Added: August 30, 2026
Svetlana Grigorieva, Narmin Isaeva, Aliya Azizova et al., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 1 P. 75–84
This paper identifies the determinants of green bonds on global markets, China and Russia and evaluates the hedging effect of these instruments. We contribute to the existing literature by (1) studying the emerging markets such as Russia and China, (2) providing comparative analysis of the impact of identical factors on green bond yields on global, ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Финагин М. И., Мирошниченко Д. В., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 Т. 82 С. 105–123
We construct a monthly indicator and produce a nowcast of nominal GDP in Russia using operational
data. The data used are bank statements and the ruble price of Russian oil. This approach
allows for the nowcast of nominal GDP ahead of official statistics by 3–5 months. Nominal GDP
data is published by Rosstat only on a quarterly basis ...
Added: August 28, 2026
Simachev Y. V., Ruzhanskaya L., Саблин К. С., ЭКО 2026 № 4 С. 55–82
Energy security concerns, environmental constraints, and competition
with other energy sources—combined with the disruption of established global value
chains—are forcing Russian coal companies to undergo transformation. Based on an
analysis of statistical data and the results of in-depth interviews with experts conducted
from August 2024 to January 2025, this study identifies the main challenges facing
the development of Russia’s coal ...
Added: August 28, 2026
Kazun A., Девятников В. Ю., Белов М. Д., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2026 Т. 3 № 32 С. 115–135
Как понять, хорош адвокат или нет? В данной статье мы описываем методологию, позволяющую измерять качество юридической помощи через разницу между тем, что предсказывает модель машинного обучения по объективным характеристикам дела, и тем, чем дело закончилось в реальности. Мы исходим из предпосылки, что если у адвоката дела стабильно заканчиваются лучше ожидаемого, то он делает свою работу хорошо. ...
Added: August 28, 2026
Avdoshin S.M., Patrushev K. A., Proceedings of the Institute for System Programming of the RAS 2026 No. 4 часть 2 P. 245–256
The cardinality-constrained Markowitz problem is NP-hard and traditionally solved with commercial MIQP solvers. Following the 2022 export restrictions that rendered both commercial MIQP software and cloud quantum platforms (IBM Quantum, D-Wave Leap) inaccessible from the Russian Federation, practitioners require open-source alternatives. This paper systematically compares three solver families for the discrete mean-variance problem: two open-source ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Zaikin A., Vlasenko D., Zakharov D. et al., Diagnostics 2026 Vol. 16 No. 17 P. 1–15
Background/Objectives: Synolitic graphs (SGs) were developed for task-based fMRI, where
edge weights encode the discriminative power of pairwise regional features; whether similar
information can be recovered from resting-state data was untested. We benchmarked
SGs for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) classification using the multisite ABIDE-I dataset
(871 subjects: 403 subjects with ASD, 468 typical controls; 17 sites; CC200 atlas). Methods:
Using ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Melnik D. V., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2026 № 3 С. 65–82
Luigi Einaudi (1874–1961) was a prominent economist who made theoretical contributions to the Italian school of public finance, an influential professor, a brilliant publicist, and an outstanding statesman who served as president of the nation from 1948 to 1955, and whose activities laid the foundations for the institution of the presidency of the Italian Republic. ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Тула: Тульский государственный педагогический университет им. Л.Н. Толстого, 2025.
Сборник содержит материалы, представленные на XXIV Международной конференции «Алгебра, теория чисел, дискретная геометрия и многомасштабное моделирование: современные проблемы, приложения и проблемы истории», посвящённой 110-летию со дня рождения академика Юрия Владимировича Линника и 110-летию со дня рождения профессора Андрея Борисовича Шидловского и 80-летию со дня рождения профессора Геннадия Ивановича Архипова. Материалы конференции будут полезны научным работникам, ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Lysenok N., Финансовый журнал 2026 Т. 18 № 4 С. 45–63
The article discusses the application of clustering methods to form an optimal investment portfolio
that allows the investor to achieve an effective risk-reward ratio. Three popular clustering methods,
K-Means, MeanShift, and DBSCAN, are examined. The article focuses on the DBSCAN clustering method
and highlights its advantages over other clustering methods in the context of financial data analysis.
DBSCAN is ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Panova A., Ostrovnaya M., Demokratizatsiya: The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization 2026 Vol. 34 No. 2 P. 199–226
Local authorities can crucially affect the economic performance of public organizations. Using data on the Moscow region, we analyze the unique case of a huge, socio-economically homogeneous region with differing political environments. We examine how the political characteristics of local authorities influence state schools’ decisions on whether to outsource non-core activities, in this case food ...
Added: August 27, 2026
Шарко О. В., Шарко Е.Р., Маркетинг в России и за рубежом 2026 Т. 2 № 172 С. 71–79
The paper analyses scholarly understanding of consumer behaviour in e-commerce by synthesizing recent advances in digital marketing, the dynamics of online retail platforms, and empirical models of customer interaction. The research outcomes include a detailed comprehension of the mechanisms underlying customer loyalty, empirical data on the multidimensional factors influencing platform preferences, and methodological innovations applicable ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Keldina L., Ивашечкина Л. Г., Жаринов В. В. et al., М.: КноРус, 2023.
Материал излагается с учетом современных тенденций в организации и ведении бухгалтерского учета экономическими субъектами Российской Федерации. В каждом разделе содержится теоретический и практический материал, нормативная база, рисунки, схемы и
таблицы. Теоретический материал представлен как в традиционном виде, так и в виде схем. Каждый раздел завершается контрольными вопросами, тестами и заданиями для самоконтроля. Приложения содержат иллюстративный материал: ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Eduard Sopin, Nazarin A., Begishev V. et al., IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology 2026 Vol. 75 No. 6 P. 10995–11007
Aimed at rate-greedy applications having extreme requirements for the data rate at the air interface, 5G New Radio (NR) systems may experience problems when the number of user equipment (UE) in the coverage of the cell increases due to limited capacity of the physical downlink control channel (PDCCH).The aim of this study is to explore ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Ivchenko A., Изюмов П. С., В кн.: "Труды МФТИ" Том 17, № 4 (68) (2025)Т. 17. Вып. 68.: МФТИ, 2025. С. 49–61.
This article is about analysis and evaluation of the Internet performance in the country. A set of different approaches to estimation of the network performance is proposed, including working with anomalous data, comparing different territorial zones and analyzing the components in the obtained time series. The paper focuses on factors affecting the Internet connection speed, ...
Added: July 4, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026