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Модельные расчеты краткосрочных прогнозов социально-экономических показателей РФ
Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал). 2013. № 8(65). С. 2–31.
М.Турунцева, Е.Астафьева, Баева М., Божечкова А., Бузаев А., Киблицкая Т., Пономарев Ю., Скроботов А.
Селянин Ф. И., Journal of Dynamical and Control Systems 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 P. 1–16
A B-facet is a lattice -dimensional polytope in the positive octant with a positive normal covector, such that every -dimensional simplex with vertices in it is a B-simplex (i.e., a pyramid of height one with base on a coordinate hyperplane). B-facets were introduced in [2] in the context of the monodromy conjecture. In this paper, we complete the ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Ausubel L., Baranov O., Journal of Economic Theory 2026 Vol. 235 No. 106192
The Vickrey-Clarke-Groves (VCG) mechanism is one of the most compelling constructs in mechanism design, but the presence of complementary goods creates the possibility of non-core and even zero-revenue outcomes. In this article, we show that joint feasibility constraints on allocations offer a second pathway to ill-behaved outcomes in the VCG mechanism, even when all bidders ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Denis Seliutskii, Russian Journal of Mathematical Physics 2025 Vol. 32 No. 2 P. 399–407
In this paper, we find an upper bound for the first Steklov eigenvalue for a surface of revolution with boundary consisting of two spheres of different radii. Moreover, we prove that, in some cases, this boundary is sharp. ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Жакупов О. Б., European Journal of Mathematics 2025 Vol. 11 Article 84
We provide examples of smooth three-dimensional Fano complete intersections of degree 2, 4, 6, and 8 that have absolute coregularity 0. Considering the main theorem of Avilov, Loginov, and Przyjalkowski (CNTP 18:506–577, 2024) on the remaining 101 families of smooth Fano threefolds, our result implies that each family of smooth Fano threefolds has an element of absolute ...
Added: May 18, 2026
Gonchenko S., Lerman L., Turaev D., Regular and Chaotic Dynamics 2026 Vol. 31 No. 3 P. 349–369
We show that bifurcations of four-dimensional symplectic diffeomorphisms with a quadratic homoclinic tangency to a saddle periodic orbit with real multipliers produce 2-elliptic periodic orbits if the tangency is not partially hyperbolic. We show that a normal form for the rescaled first-return maps near such tangency is given by a four-dimensional symplectic H´enonlike map and study bifurcations of the ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Khutorskaya O., Stepochkina A. et al., Springer, 2026.
The book contains new models of bibliometric analysis based on centrality measures in network analysis, pattern analysis and stability analysis. A distinctive feature of these centrality measures is that they account for the parameters of vertices and group influence of vertices to a vertex. This reveals specific groups of publications, authors, terms, journals and affiliations ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Kuptsov P., Panyushev A., Stankevich N., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 5 Article 053138
We develop a machine-learning approach to reproduce the behavior of two versions of the van der Pol oscillator exhibiting a subcritical Andronov–Hopf bifurcation, with or without a codimension-2 Bautin point. We construct a neural-network model that functions as a recur rent map and train it on short segments of oscillator trajectories. The results show that, ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Dorovskiy A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
In this paper the structural stability of generic families of vector fields of the PC-HC class on the two-dimensional sphere is proved. A classification of these families up to moderate equivalence in neighborhoods of their large bifurcation supports is presented, based on such invariants as the configuration and the characteristic set. The realization lemma is proved. ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Lebedev V., Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 2026 Vol. 563 No. 2 Article 130787
It is known that for every continuous real-valued
function $f$ on the circle $\mathbb T=\mathbb R/2\pi\mathbb Z$ there exists a
change of variable, i.e., a self-homeomorphism $h$ of $\mathbb T$, such that
the superposition $f\circ h$ is in the Sobolev space $W_2^{1/2}(\mathbb T)$.
We obtain new results on simultaneous improvement of functions by a single
change of variable in relation ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Blokh A., Oversteegen L., Selinger N. et al., Arnold Mathematical Journal 2026 Vol. 12 No. 1 P. 60–110
We describe a model for the boundary of the connectedness locus of the parameter space of cubic symmetric polynomials. We show that there exists a monotone continuous function from the connectedness locus to the model which is a homeomorphism if the former is locally connected. ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Petrov I., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 6 С. 82–118
Системам связанных агентов и сетевому управлению посвящено большое число отечественных и зарубежных исследований. Исторически, наибольший интерес в теории управления возникал к усредняющим системам и, в частности, к задаче консенсуса. Однако сетевое взаимодействие может характеризоваться более специфическими функциями, отражающими зависимость от действий соседей по сети, что особенно явно проявляется в моделях стратегического взаимодействия на сети, которое ...
Added: May 12, 2026
М.: ООО «Макс Пресс», 2026.
В настоящем сборнике представлены тезисы докладов участников семинара "Интеграция основного и дополнительного физико-математического образования", проходившего 11 февраля 2026 года в ГБОУ Школа №2007 ФМШ г. москвы, а также другие публикации, посвящённые вопросам дополнительного физико-математического образования. ...
Added: May 11, 2026
Novikov R., V. N. Sivkin, Inverse Problems 2026 Vol. 42 No. 4 Article 045009
We consider a plane wave, a radiation solution, and the sum of these solutions (total solution) for
the Helmholtz equation in an exterior region in Rd, d ⩾ 2. In this region, we consider a hyperplane X with sufficiently large distance s from the origin in Rd. We give two-point local formulas
for approximate recovering the radiation ...
Added: May 11, 2026
Hecht M., Hofmann P., Wicaksono D. et al., IMA Journal of Numerical Analysis 2026 Vol. 00 P. 1–30
Recent advances in Bernstein—Walsh theory have extended Bernstein’s Theorem to multiple dimensions, stating that a multivariate function can be approximated with a geometric rate in a downward-closed polynomial space if and only if it is analytic in a generalized Bernstein polyellipse. To compute approximations of this class of functions—which we term Bos–Levenberg–Trefethen–(BLT) functions—we extend the ...
Added: May 11, 2026
Kelbert M., Kalimulina E. Y., Entropy 2026 Vol. 28 Article 536
We study binary hypothesis testing for i.i.d. observations under a multiplicative context
weight. For the optimal weighted total loss, defined as the sum of weighted type-I and typeII losses, we prove the logarithmic asymptotic L∗n = exp{−nDwC (P,Q) + o(n)}, n →∞, where Dw
C is the weighted Chernoff information. The single-letter form of the exponent
relies on ...
Added: May 7, 2026
Neznanov A., Glushko A., Овчинников С. et al., В кн.: Интеллектуальный анализ данных в нефтегазовой отрасли.: М.: ООО «Геомодель Развитие», 2024. С. 140–143.
With the development of monitoring systems, now we have the opportunity to collect key performance indicators of devices in the process of artificial lift. Every day a huge amount of telemetry is generated by our devices, which can be used to forecast the working mode and health state of the equipment after the process of ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Ankudinov I., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2025 № 61 С. 165–203
The changing political mood of Russians is a constant subject of interest for sociological agencies. With the development of the Internet, conventional questionnaire research began to be supplemented by online surveys and, despite some skepticism, by social media mining. This article attempts to adjust an accidental web-sample so as to bring its estimates closer to ...
Added: April 22, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Hushchyn M., Arzymatov K., Derkach D., Machine Learning 2026 Vol. 115 Article 56
Moments when a time series changes its behavior are called change points. Occurrence of change point implies that the state of the system is altered and its timely detection might help to prevent unwanted consequences. In this paper, we present two change-point detection approaches based on neural networks and online learning. These algorithms demonstrate linear ...
Added: March 6, 2026
Троцкая И. А., Львова О. А., Короткова Е. В. et al., В кн.: Медицинское образование, наука, практика : Сборник статей X Международной научно-практической конференции молодых ученых и студентов, 22-23 апреля 2025 г. Т.2.: Екатеринбург: ФГБОУ ВО УГМУ Минздрава России, 2025. С. 673–679.
Pediatric ischemic stroke is considered to be a rare condition. Correct recognition of the acute symptoms
and further monitoring of the dynamics of them may allow predicting the child's development and further adaptation. The aim of the study was to provide clinical and imaging features of the acute period of ischemic stroke with debut at an ...
Added: March 2, 2026
Карелина М. Г., Mkhitarian V., Финансы и бизнес 2025 Т. 21 № 4 С. 49–65
Дизельное топливо играет важную роль в российской экономике, его значимость обусловлена высокой эффективностью, экономичностью, надежностью и широким спектром применения. Россия один из крупнейших вмире экспортеров дизельного топлива, что обеспечивает значительные поступления в бюджет страны и является геополитическим инструментом в рамках глобальных трансформационных процессов. Статистическая оценка развития российского рынка дизельного топлива в представленной работе проводилась в ...
Added: February 20, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026