?
Подходы к определению режимов взаимодействия бюджетно-налоговой политики и денежно-кредитной политик
Проблемы прогнозирования. 2025. № 3. С. 159–172.
Аблаев Э. Ю.
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2026 № 1 С. 40–49
Within the classical macroeconomic paradigm, the key interest rate is considered the primary instrument of monetary policy. Through the transmission mechanism, it influences the cost of borrowing and saving, thereby regulating aggregate demand in the economy. Global interest rates today are highly uneven. This article examines the experiences of leading central banks under conditions of ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Penikas H. I., Potashev N., В кн.: Сборник лучших докладов конференции "Ломоносовские чтения" (2025).: М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026. С. 219–236.
В работе исследуется вопрос, приводят ли инфляционные ожидания (ИО), полученные из вопросов разной глубины и агрегированные с учетом уровня уверенности респондентов, к статистически отличающимся распределениям по сравнению с традиционной методологией инФОМ. На основе данных внутреннего опроса Банка России показано, что схемы агрегирования, учитывающие разделение респондентов на группы в зависимости от уровня их осознанности, формируют распределения ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Zvereva V., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 4 С. 100–129
This paper examines the hypothesis of asymmetric responses of bank interest rates to restrictive and accommodative monetary policy conducted by the Bank of Russia across different market segments, industries, and macroregions over the period 2017—2025. Using a Markov-switching error-correction model, the paper estimates the effects of monetary policy shocks, households’ inflation expectations, firms’ price expectations, ...
Added: April 8, 2026
Senin V., Хамидуллин Т. Р., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 2 (56) С. 19–31
The past four years have been an extremely challenging period for our economy. Thus, the country faced a covid and the restrictions it caused, followed by the need to rebuild the real sector and services affected by the pandemic. Then a special military operation began and was followed by the imposition of sanctions, the withdrawal ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Андросов К. Г., Иванова Т. В., Скорина А. А., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 Т. 3 (57) С. 144–155
This article attempts to comprehensively analyze the degree of influence of the key rate and monetary policy of the Bank of Russia on various spheres of economic life, present assessments of business, government and society, and suggest some steps that could help mitigate the effects of the regulator's policy. ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Болячин Ю. В., Воинова А. А., Кротова Ю. И. et al., / Банк России. Серия Доклады Банка России "Доклад об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 156.
Implied inflation expectations are the expectation values derived from the question about particular goods’ prices or the values of a basket of goods. We use internal and external surveys to compare implied and direct (conventional) estimates when the single inflation range is chosen in the latter case. By checking against the known stylized facts about inflation expectations, we compare all the combinations of question about them. We find that implied perceived inflation and inflation expectations are higher than their direct peers. ...
Added: December 8, 2025
Vdovin I. A., Александров А. А., Косенко Е. А., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № № 3(57) С. 36–53
The article examines the transformation of the investment policy of the Russian Federation in the period from 1998 to 2024 in the context of changing macroeconomic conditions and the monetary policy of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Particular attention is paid to state support mechanisms, as well as their transformation in the context ...
Added: October 31, 2025
Kosov M., Вестник экономической безопасности 2023 № 1 С. 226–230
Fiscal federalism is necessary for the effectiveness of the budget and tax policy in the state. For a federal state, this is the optimal solution for the distribution of powers in budgetary and tax processes between central and regional authorities. In addition, in unitary states, fiscal decentralization may also be necessary due to the peculiarities ...
Added: October 22, 2025
Afanasev K., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2025 No. 3(68) P. 43–51
This study examines moderating effect of income expectations on the influence of inflation expectations on consumption decisions in a laboratory setting. Using a multi-round life-cycle consumption-saving model, the research manipulates participants’ beliefs on the future prices and income. Contrary to the hypothesis that expected income growth would attenuate the effect of expected price increases on ...
Added: October 21, 2025
Аблаев Э. Ю., Научные труды: Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования РАН 2024 № 3 С. 95–122
В статье соотносятся ключевые положения теории и практики применения бюджетных правил в России. На основании выявленных нормативных целей автор оценивает результативность отечественного опыта. Проведённый анализ показал, что применение бюджетных правил и наличие суверенных фондов способствовало проведению более устойчивой и менее проциклической бюджетно-налоговой политики в России. Данные результаты во многом определялись надлежащим качеством проводимой экономической политики. ...
Added: September 19, 2025
Финагин М. И., Иногамова В. Т., Грачева А. А., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 9 С. 62–87
This paper develops a system for assessing the tightness of monetary conditions in Russia using monetary-conditions indices. These indices make it possible to study the pass-through of the monetary policy impulse across key channels of the transmission mechanism and to identify shocks to monetary conditions. Short-term money market rates, which are most sensitive to changes ...
Added: September 9, 2025
Гуров И. Н., Елицур Д. А., Зуев В. Е. et al., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 6 С. 63–93
Исследование основано на уникальном для России замере Фонда «Общественное мнение» (инФОМ) в рамках опроса Банка России по инфляционным ожиданиям в мае 2024 г. Неопределенность инфляционных ожиданий составляет 10 п. п. и положительно связана с их значением и возрастом респондентов. Неопределенность выше у респондентов, которые считают время подходящим для покупок, ниже у мужчин и снижается с ...
Added: June 18, 2025
Krasyuk T., Π-ECONOMY (Российская Федерация) 2024 Т. 18 № 1 С. 178–198
The relevance of this research is substantiated by the fact that the integrated management approach will help to unite and focus the heterogeneous instrumental mechanism of regulatory influence on investment processes to achieve strategic goals, in particular, the development of the supply-side economy in Russia. Without a radical change in investment policy, an increase in ...
Added: April 6, 2025
Никонов И. В., Арустамян М. Г., Mukhametov O. et al., Финансовый журнал 2024 Т. 16 № 5 С. 8–26
The rapid growth of public debt in developing countries in recent years and the increasing risks associated with this process emphasize the importance of research in this area. The article examines one of the key aspects of public debt management — the structure of creditors’ debt portfolio. The object of the study is the public ...
Added: April 6, 2025
Никонов И. В., Radionov S., Mukhametov O., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2023 Т. 27 № 4 С. 550–573
One of the global macroeconomic trends of recent years is the increase of public debt by many developed and developing countries. The global cycle of interest rate hikes that began in 2021 poses risks to debt sustainability, especially in developing countries. These trends predetermine the growing relevance of research in the field of public debt ...
Added: April 6, 2025