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Instrumental variables analysis of COVID-19 vaccination in Moscow
Applied Economics. 2025.
Ivan Gordeev
This article examines the effect of COVID-19 vaccination on the disease dynamics in Moscow using an instrumental variables (IV) approach. Based on weekly data on cases, deaths, and mobility, I compare ordinary least squares (OLS) results with two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimates, addressing endogeneity in vaccination and behavior. The TSLS estimates imply that the effect on new cases is about ten times larger than suggested by OLS, indicating a substantial downward bias in naïve models. Moreover, the two doses of Sputnik V have distinct effects: the first mainly lowers infection risk, while the second notably reduces mortality among infected individuals. These findings underscore the importance of high vaccination coverage, clear public communication, and integration of behavioral dynamics as critical elements of public health policy in large urban settings.
Papushina I. O., Shenkman E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 31–43
The external shocks of 2022 have altered the operating environment for Russian
companies and the demand for skilled workers. This study examines how demand has responded for
different categories of professionals in the fashion industry, where the departure of international brands
has simultaneously increased uncertainty and opened up market niches for Russian manufacturers.
The empirical basis of the research ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Dymarskaya O. Y., Chesnokov-Posadsky I. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
Recognizing the transformative potential of social entrepreneurship, the Reputation Management in Education Laboratory (RepLab) at the Higher School of Economics in St. Petersburg and the ACT Lab at the Azman Hashim International Business School (AHIBS) at the University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) established the Satellite Lab for Social Entrepreneurship in 2023. This joint initiative aimed ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Rozhdestvenskaia N., Кулькова В. Ю. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
This workbook is a practical guide for those who are ready to turn their desire to take action into a sustainable social entrepreneurship business model. The social entrepreneurship roadmap is structured around the steps “I’m changing the world” — “I’m developing a comprehensive approach,” guiding you from identifying problems and analyzing stakeholders, through formulating goals ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Vlassov V., JAMA - Journal of the American Medical Association 2026 P. 1–6
Importance Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies.
Objectives To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Пермь: Управление издательской деятельности Пермского государственного национального исследовательского университета, 2025.
The monograph is dedicated to the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Socio Economic Geography at Perm State National Research University. The collective monograph covers a wide range of issues related to the geographical study of the territorial organization of society, which were laid down in the numerous works of M. D. Sharygin and have ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Lysenok N., Enterprise Development and Microfinance 2026 Vol. 36 No. 4s P. 81–92
This paper decomposes the performance of volatility-informed multi-strategy trading in constituents of the MOEX index, using six systematic strategies on 17 liquid stocks that account for about 80% of Russian equity market capitalization, evaluated walk-forward over 2022–2025. Two results emerge. First, diversification arithmetic: with an average pairwise return correlation of 0.09 and negatively correlated trend ...
Added: August 2, 2026
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Lola I. S., Семенова М. Т., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в оптовой торговле во II квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ на основе ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов руководителей 6,5 тыс. организаций оптовой торговли, проводимых Федеральной службой государственной статистики в 82 субъектах Российской Федерации. Обследования проводятся на ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Для расчета индекса экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ) использовались результаты обследований деловой активности российских предприятий и организаций, а также потребительских ожиданий, в мониторинговом режиме проводимых Росстатом. В обследованиях принимают участие 17,5 тыс. руководителей организаций различных секторов экономики (около 6 тыс. крупных и средних предприятий добывающей и обрабатывающей промышленности, 6,2 тыс. строительных фирм, 3,4 тыс. организаций розничной торговли, около ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lodiagin B., Petrov V., International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 2026 Vol. 9 No. 7 P. 127–141
This study compares seven Russian regional airport public-private partnership projects to examine how governance arrangements relate to implementation performance and adaptation under uncertainty. The analysis draws on public documents, project-participant materials, industry reports, and business media available by May 2026. A qualitative multiple-case design combines thematic analysis with cross-case synthesis. The cases range from comparatively ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Pashkov S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 2 С. 32–44
This article discusses the methodological possibilities and specific features of constructing chain indices based on longitudinal sociological data. The relevance of the study stems from the shortage of diverse socio-economic indicators for promptly tracking fluctuations in the expectations and intentions of small business owners under heightened uncertainty. The authors show that the chain index methodology ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Vlassov V., van der Lubbe S. C., Moberg M. E. et al., The Lancet Public Health 2026 P. 1–6
Background
Road injuries are a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Years of international efforts have aimed to strengthen policy engagement, including the 2020 UN General Assembly's proclamation of the Second Decade of Action for Road Safety (2021–30), targeting a 50% reduction in road traffic deaths and serious injuries by 2030. The aim of this ...
Added: July 25, 2026
Slabolitskiy I. S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 215–244
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling and forecasting key indicators of Russia's foreign economic activity based on a block-based architecture of a Bayesian Vector Autoregression model with exogenous variables (BVARX). In conditions of high external uncertainty and the absence of publicly available data on the physical volumes of foreign trade since 2022, the ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Лобоцкий М. Ю., Komarov M. M., Zaramenskikh E., Бизнес-информатика 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 7–21
By early 2026, AI agents ceased to be experimental tools and began to be considered as a form of business process automation. Based on the analysis of in-depth interviews, an expert session, a quantitative survey of Russian companies, and sources reflecting Russian and foreign experience in the deployment of AI agents, a fivelevel maturity model ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Veselitskaya N., Malekova D. K., European Journal of Futures Research 2026 Vol. 14 P. 1–13
Foresight methods are often treated as transferable tools whose selection depends mainly on the object of analysis, the time horizon or the available data. This article argues that such a view is incomplete because foresight methods are embedded in governance settings and perform different institutional functions across them. The article does not claim that the ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Лалетин С. В., Кучина О. В., Shekova E. et al., СПб.: Академия русского балета им. А.Я. Вагановой, 2026.
Сборник статей посвящен актуальным проблемам управления творческими коллективами, финансированию государственных балетных театров, особенностям современных проектов и бизнес-планированию в сфере хореографического искусства. ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Власов Е. Э., East European Jewish Affairs 2026
The present study answers the question of how Moscow's monuments and museums - "Sites of Memory" of the Holocaust – were conceived, negotiated, and materially realized in the 1990s, and analyzes how these memorials construct and sustain a post‑Soviet memory of Jews murdered by the Nazis. The theoretical framework encompasses conceptual apparatus from memory studies, ...
Added: May 10, 2026
Bakharev D., Московский транспорт. Наука и проектирование 2025 № 3 С. 83–108
This study examines uneven passenger flow distribution on adjacent interregional bus routes within Moscow agglomeration boundaries, focusing on connections between Odintsovo Urban District and Moscow's Western Administrative District during morning peak hours. The research investigates spatial and temporal passenger flow distribution patterns between Nemchinovka and Romashkovo settlements and adjacent Moscow districts. The methodology encompassed demographic ...
Added: February 15, 2026
Vidnichuk A., Уральский исторический вестник 2026 № 1(90) С. 134–142
The article studies the situation that arose in the urban community of Moscow as a result of a series of fires in the spring-summer of 1748. In contrast to other Moscow fires, the one in question has received virtually no coverage in historiography. However, in the fonds of the Sysknoi Prikaz (Investigative Chancellery) a set ...
Added: November 19, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025
Ivan Gordeev, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025. No. 1.
This paper analyzes short-run COVID-19 dynamics in Russia using a weekly panel of 12 regions over 54 weeks. Growth rates of cases and deaths are modeled as functions of vaccination uptake and behavioral activity, with region fixed effects and a set of controls. Identification uses three sources of exogenous variation: the timing of regional QR-code ...
Added: October 9, 2025
Chukcheeva M., Nineteenth-Century Art Worldwide 2025 Vol. 24 No. 3 P. 246–254
The exhibition review on Peredvizhniki ...
Added: September 22, 2025