Climate Risks in Russia: Ranking of Regions by Adaptation Needs

Izvestiya. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics. 2024. Vol. 60. No. 3. P. 362–371.

Makarov I. A., Chernokulsky A. V.

The consequences of climate change are associated with significant potential damage to the population and the economy. To minimize this damage, a system of adaptation measures is needed, and the measures must be ranked depending on the level of climate risks. In this study, climate risks for the regions of the Russian Federation given the climate hazards, exposure to these harards, and vulnerability to it have been estimated. A rating of regions has been compiled based on the level of physical risks of climate change and the need to adapt to them. The rating for four key types of climate change impact: the impact of anomalously high air temperatures on the health of the urban population, the impact of droughts on agriculture, increasing frequency of forest fires, and melting of permafrost has been presented. The results are presented separately for the regional and national levels of target setting and provide an objective basis for setting priorities for financing adaptation measures.

Keywords: изменение климата, региональная экономика, regional economy, climate change, adaptation to climate change, климатические риски, адаптация к изменению климата, climate risks