Weak Signals on the Future of Mobile Commerce in Russia
In parallel to the developments in the Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), mobile commerce (m-commerce) has become a large business and technology area with ever-growing market potentials. Comparable to the rest of the world, the m-commerce sector has been developing rapidly in Russia, which provides opportunities for domestic and international enterprises. There are a number of favorable conditions, such as major advancements in the software and smart devices industries, availability of a skilled workforce with a good educational base, a technology-prone society, and increasing public and corporate investments, which reinforce the development of m-commerce. The present study aims to explore the future trends and developments in the m-commerce sector, by focusing on the Weak Signals of emerging future developments in society, technology, economy, environment and policy. Using a combination of quantitative and qualitative techniques, the study reviews the evolution of the m-commerce in the world and in Russia, and then presents a set of 10 Weak Signals which were generated using technology mining, patent analysis, literature review, interviews and consultations through expert workshops. The paper discusses future opportunities and threats concerning m-commerce along with critical technologies for Russia for the full exploitation of the potentials in the sector.
, , et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 No. 119 P. 194-204
Developing competitive national shipbuilding industries is a strategic priority for many countries. Shipbuilding has evolved into a high tech industry over the last few decades that is strongly driven by customer needs and wishes. Consequently economic development of the industry is now far more complex than previously. International competition in the shipbuilding industry is very ...
Added: October 3, 2016
Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation
, , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 218-250
Purpose – This paper aims to analyse the mainstream and emerging global challenges and trends in the global agriculture sector. The analysis leads to a discussion on the present state of the Russian agroindustry and possible future strategies for adaptation in the context of the rapidly changing global environment. Design/methodology/approach – The design of this study is based on the ...
Added: June 23, 2017
, , , Smart Energy 2021 Vol. 3 Article 100025
The global electric power industry is under pressure due to economic downturn, decreasing demand, lowering energy prices, and growing non-payments. National electric power industries face similar challenges. These challenges pose threats to many other sectors of economy due to ongoing digital transformation. The paper focuses on the Russian electric power industry future development trajectories, as ...
Added: June 7, 2021
, Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 139-151
Purpose – The purpose of the study is to present and critically assess the outcomes of the Foresight study of the Russian energy sector, undertaken in 2014 in the course of a large-scale national Foresight exercise – ‘Science and Technology (S&T) Foresight 2030’. Design/methodology/approach - Methods applied in the Foresight study include literature review, statistical, bibliometric ...
Added: January 25, 2017
, Russia's Water Resources 2030: Policy Recommendations / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 44.
The Foresight study presented in this paper is devoted to the sustainable use of water resources in Russia. The authors analyse possible trajectories of development in the three thematic areas (i) sustainability of water systems; (ii) water use by households and in industry; and (iii) new water products and services. The Foresight methods cover expert interviews ...
Added: August 31, 2015
, , , Russia’s Water Resources 2030: Plausible Scenarios / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2015. No. 42.
The research presented in this paper focuses on the sustainable use of water resources in Russia based on a Foresight study with a 20-year time horizon. The study uses a scenario-planning method to develop four trajectories: economic depression, economic stagnation, visionary future, and national priority. These four trajectories offer significantly different yet plausible alternative futures. ...
Added: July 24, 2015
М. : ИНИОН РАН, 2004
Added: January 27, 2017
Russian cyclical indicators and their usefulness in real time: An experience of the 2008-09 recession
, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2014 No. 1 P. 103-128
This report investigates the predictability of cyclical turning points in Russia. For years, anyone interested in Russia had access to a full set of common tools for business cycle analysis, such as several composite leading indicators, a purchasing managers’ index, enterprise and consumer sentiment indexes, and so on. However, the 2008-09 world financial crisis spread ...
Added: July 18, 2014
, Russland-Analysen 2010 No. 200 P. 2-4
The paper gives an overview on unemployemnt in Russia and the concequances of the crisis of 2008. ...
Added: December 9, 2012
, , М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2017
В аналитическом докладе представлены результаты форсайт-проекта «Исследование глобальных вызовов и долгосрочных тенденций инновационного развития в сфере возобновляемых источников энергии», проведенного ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ при информационной и финансовой поддержке Группы компаний «Ренова». Исследование было сфокусировано на трех тематических областях: преобразование энергии солнца в электрическую; преобразование энергии ветра в электрическую; преобразование энергетической биомассы в тепловую и электрическую энергию. ...
Added: April 4, 2017
, , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 198-217
Purpose The goal of this paper is to apply foresight methodology to the area of nanotechnologies and new materials within the framework of Russian S&T Foresight 2030 aimed at revelation major trends, most promising products and technologies. Design/methodology/approach To achieve this goal best international practice was analyzed that provided a solid basis for Russian S&T Foresight 2030 (section ...
Added: February 25, 2017
Разрешение торговых конфликтов во Всемирной торговой организации: экономическое и правовое значение для России
, , , СПб. : ИД "Троицкий мост", 2021
The monograph is devoted to the resolution of trade and economic disputes in the WTO. Attention is drawn to the peculiarities and effectiveness of Russia's participation as a plaintiff, defendant and the third party in emerging interstate trade conflicts. An attempt is made to show the importance of the WTO's activities in resolving trade and ...
Added: June 11, 2021
Copula-Application To Modelling Russian Banking System Capital Adequacy According to Basel II IRB-Approach
, , Model Assisted Statistics and Applications 2012 Vol. 7 No. 4 P. 267-280
According to the strategy of the banking system development until 2015, the Central Bank of Russia is going to implement Basel II Internal-Ratings-Based (IRB) approaches in 2015, while Basel III is planned to be introduced in full starting from 2019. Taking into account the effects of the Basel II regulation during the crisis 2008-2009, in ...
Added: November 6, 2012
М. : ИМЭМО РАН, 2016
The collection of extended analytical reports presented at the international conference of young scholars “Transformation of World Energy: Market Mechanisms and State Policy” organized by Center of Energy Studies, IMEMO RAN and Faculty of International Energy Business, Gubkin Russian State Oil and Gas University in April, 2016. Undergraduate and postgraduate students of leading Russian universities ...
Added: August 31, 2016
Концепция «продовольственных режимов» как модель объяснения стратегий аграрного развития (на примере России и Бразилии)
, , et al., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Социология 2019 Т. 19 № 2 С. 261-276
The ‘food regime’ approach was introduced as a historical method of “incorporated comparison” (P. McMichael). This comparison of the role of agriculture in the world-system made some scholars overemphasize an excessively unitary and coherent global food regime. The authors recognize this approach as a historical-comparative analytical tool to understand global trends, but argue that the Russian and Brazilian agrarian ...
Added: June 24, 2019
State-controlled "national champions" of the Russian banking market: Concentration, competitiveness, and efficiency
, State-controlled "national champions" of the Russian banking market: Concentration, competitiveness, and efficiency / Social Science Research Network. Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2013. No. 2223686.
This paper tries to assess some of the effects from industrial policy of growing state-controlled "national champions" in the Russian banking industry. We look at market concentration and competitiveness and average bank efficiency. A modified method of calculating the indicators of market concentration suggests that main segments of the market have crossed the threshold of high ...
Added: February 25, 2013
, International Journal of Culture,Tourism and Hospitality Research 2013 Vol. 7 No. 1 P. 3-10
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to introduce findings of comparative analysis and various models based on cultural heritage resources to foster regional development. Design/methodology/approach – Comparison of operational schemes, market positions and branding of three successful cultural heritage centers in Germany, Great Britain and Russia demonstrates a variety of regional development models based ...
Added: October 22, 2013
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 528-540
Purpose – The purpose of the study is to show the technical potentials of a variety of renewable energy sources in Russia, as well as benefits from their deployment including hydrocarbon savings, emission reduction and lower energy cost. Design/methodology/approach – In the paper, Russia is compared with other countries in terms of actual installed capacity ...
Added: September 25, 2017
, , , Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2018 Т. 13 № 3 С. 97-112
The paper focuses on the development trends of the transport infrastructure of Eurasia in the context of the economic and political integration of the countries at this continent. Leading states of the Asia-Pacific region (APR) made proposals on large-scale infrastructure projects in the Eurasian space after financial crisis 2008–2009. Russia is extremely interested in integrating ...
Added: November 22, 2018
, , , Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 Vol. 119 P. 268-279
A key element of any government's Science, Technology and Innovation policy is stable analytical infrastructure to support strategic decision making. Experience from many countries shows that substantial policy decision making requires collecting and analysing a broad range of information to develop proactive and future-oriented policies. Accordingly, infrastructure providing this information as well as evidence for ...
Added: June 2, 2016
, The Interaction of Grassroots Communities and Local Authorities in Russia / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2015. No. 97.
Taking into consideration the underdevelopment of the Russian civil community it is of essential interest to touch upon local communities (known as TOS). Local governments and TOS communities could provide similar services and as such cooperate or compete with each other. Community initiatives could supplant poorly performing government services, or governments could outsource to communities ...
Added: July 28, 2015
, , Post-Soviet Affairs 2018 Vol. 34 No. 6 P. 412-429
This study seeks to discuss the survivability of charitable NGOs in Russia without foreign funding. We use cross-section data from a quantitative household survey conducted in April 2016 to investigate common giving patterns of Russians. Using statistic and regression analysis, we explore causes of donations and individual and social attributes of charitable giving in general ...
Added: October 5, 2018
, , , Problems of Economic Transition 2010 Vol. 53 No. 3 P. 69-95
The article considers different approaches, all based on detailed statistical data, to determine which industries and commodities have high, medium, or low sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. The authors conclude that any exchange rate policy is an inappropriate tool to influence the structure of Russian economy. ...
Added: April 12, 2013
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 3 P. 291-305
Purpose – This paper aims to describe and discuss the architecture of Russia’s Technology Foresight System (TFS). This paper introduces the reader to the integration of the TFS into the public administration system and, specifically, into the national strategic planning system. Design/methodology/approach – To do so, the authors fall back on more than 10 years of ...
Added: June 22, 2017