Growth and Crises in the Planned and Market Russian Economies (the End of the 1920s-2014)
Russia is a country with a unique history. Its economy became strictly planned in 1928; then the turbulent processes of collectivization and industrialization took place; then the arduous years of the war with Nazi Germany came; then the Cold War with its armaments race started; then the USSR crashed and the transition from planned to market economy began in separated Russia; then the Russian economy was attached to the world economy and the world financial system; then came the period of sanctions and isolation of Russia… It’s reasonable to think that all these processes strongly affected the Russian economic trajectory but it’s not known exactly: a lot of the Soviet statistics (especially for the 1930s-1940s) were never published, and some of the indicators had serious distortions because of improper deflators. Hence, our first aim was to construct statistical time-series which might be useful for describing the long-run trajectory of the Russian economy. Using previously unpublished data stored in Russian archives, we tried to make them as long as possible; in fact, most of them begin in the late 1920s. Our second aim was to denote periods of growth and contraction in the Russian economy and to reveal the economic factors which determined the changes in the trajectory. Periods of contractions during the era of the planned economy were of special interest for us. Even now, many think that economic recessions generated for economic reasons are impossible in the planned economy. We checked this idea against the long-run statistical data for Russia and found that cycling does occur, not only in market, but in planned economies as well (of course, with a significant remark that crises in planned economies are much rarer but possibly more destructive).
Russian Journal of Economics 2015 Vol. 1 No. 2 P. 130-153
In many respects, the historical trajectory of the Russian economy during the XX century has been a terra incognita until now. As for official statistics, at least three important reasons can be given for this. First, many relevant indicators were either not measured or were kept secret and never published. Second, Russia (as the RSFSR) ...
Added: November 3, 2015
Вопросы статистики 2015 № 10 С. 57-69
Using previously unpublished data stored in Russian archives, we compiled several annual time-series for Russian industry, agriculture, railroad freight transportation, and residential construction, from 1928 to 2014. We focused on indicators in physical units which had not been distorted with the incorrect price deflators of the Soviet era. Taken together, these time-series make it possible ...
Added: April 10, 2015
Вестник НГУЭУ 2015 No. 4 P. 160-170
As a controller of state finances, theorist and inventor of triple-entry accounting system, F.V. Ezersky (1835–1915) contributed greatly to the dissemination of accounting and management knowledge and practices in Imperial Russia. In a book published in 1876, entitled «The frauds, losses and errors in the balance sheets as a part of the double-entry system of ...
Added: December 25, 2015
Динамика промышленного производства и экономический цикл в СССР и России, 1861–2012 / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2012. № WP2/2012/04.
The trajectory of the industrial output of the Russian empire – the USSR – the Russian Federation for more than 150 years has been carefully investigated through official statistics as well as dozens of alternative estimates made by Russian and foreign experts. Calculation of the aggregated “consensus” industrial production index has made it possible to ...
Added: April 12, 2013
Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
Alcohol and Alcoholism 2015 Vol. 50 No. 5 P. 588-601
Aims To elucidate the possible effects of alcohol control policy measures on alcohol-related mortality in Russia between 1998 and 2013. Methods Trends in mortality, alcohol production and sales were analyzed in conjunction with alcohol control legislative measures. Correlation analysis of health and alcohol market indicators was performed. Results Ethyl alcohol production was the strongest correlate of alcohol-related mortality, which is ...
Added: May 12, 2015
Вопросы экономики 2013 № 6 С. 59-83
The trajectory of the industrial output of the Russian empire – the USSR – the Russian Federation for more than 150 years has been carefully investigated through official statistics as well as dozens of alternative estimates made by Russian and foreign experts. Alternative estimates are compared with official data and the usefulness and credibility of ...
Added: April 29, 2013
Вопросы экономики 2016 № 9 С. 94-110
Using panel data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey for 2006—2014, the paper investigates reservation wages setting in the Russian labor market. The second part of the paper provides an econometric analysis of main determinants of reservation wages. It shows that personal characteristics, household income, unemployment duration and characteristics of local labor markets are important ...
Added: September 12, 2016
Корея и Россия: общество, политика, история, культура: К 120-летию корееведения в С.-Петербургском государственном университете
Издательство Санкт-Петербургского университета, 2018
The book "Korea and Russia: Society, politics, history, culture. To the 120th anniversary of Korean studies in the St. Petersburg State University version "includes articles written on the basis of reports presented at the international scientific conference “120 years Russian and Korean Studies at St. Petersburg State University, which took place October 13-14, 2017. In 15 chapters of the book, 5 ...
Added: December 13, 2018
Socio-Economic Challenges to the Timber Industry in the North-European Part of Russia (Case Study of Kostroma Oblast)
Regional Research of Russia 2011 No. 1 P. 41-51
This article defines the framework for identifying social and economic challenges that the timber industry currently faces in the regions of Northern European Russia. The analysis of identified problems on a regional and local scale for the case of Kostroma oblast is presented. The main institutional shifts during the 1990s–2000s are discussed, along with economic problems ...
Added: September 30, 2012
Russia in Global Affairs 2012 Т. 10 № 6 С. 82-96
Siberia should re-evaluate its place and role, and start developing itself as an element of the global economy, similar to what the eastern U.S. states did several decades ago and China’s coastal provinces did recently. ...
Added: February 19, 2013
Вопросы экономики 2015 № 11 С. 156-159
The article presents an overview of research seminar on interdisciplinary approaches to studying the economic history, held at the National Research University Higher School of Economics – Saint-Petersburg. It focuses on methodology and presentations given by the participants as well as outlines key developments of economic history. The authors conclude that developing interdisciplinary dialogue seems ...
Added: October 15, 2015
P.: PUPS, 2011
Collection of articles dedicated to the activities of the outstanding French historian E. Le Roy Ladurie. The various aspects of his multifaceted work: historical anthropology, the history of climate, cliometrics, economic history, history of the peasantry, visual anthropology, etc., and especially the perception of his work by the teaching community of different countries. ...
Added: March 12, 2013
Вопросы экономики 2015 № 5 С. 28-47
На основе ранее реконструированных нами временных рядов по промышленности, сельскому хозяйству, железнодорожному транспорту и жилищному строительству мы выделили периоды роста и спада российской экономики, оценили их количественные параметры, а также выявили факторы, стоявшие за изменениями траектории экономического развития. Особый интерес для нас представляли периоды спада, наблюдавшиеся в эпоху плановой экономики, поскольку по сию пору распространено ...
Added: April 9, 2015
Исторические вызовы и экономическое развитие Росси: мат-лы Всеросс. науч. конф. с междунар. участием. Екатеринбург, 25-26 сентября 2019 г. Екатеринбург: Универсальная типография «Альфа-принт, 2019.
Екатеринбург: Альфа-принт, 2019
The collection includes the materials of the reports of the participants of the conference, devoted to problems of fungdmental importance for understanding the peculiarities of economic development of Russia in a long retrospective. Such problems include the specifics of Russian modernizations in a historical context; The role of institutional, sociocultural and geopolitical factors in the ...
Added: October 15, 2019
Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2014 № 1(121) С. 176-180
Article is devoted to a problem of market transformation of Belarusian economy and development of its national economic model. The author has studied political and economic reasons of current economic policy and tried to answer the question, why Belarusian authorities wished to save existing Post-soviet economic model and how did it influence the economic situation. ...
Added: July 11, 2014
L., NY: Routledge, 2016
This book tells the untold story of how ordinary Russian people experienced and coped with Russia’s transformations after the end of communism. Unlike most studies of the subject which focus on high politics, developments in the elite and events at the centre, this book, which includes findings from interviews, memoirs, public opinion surveys and press ...
Added: June 23, 2016
Copula-Application To Modelling Russian Banking System Capital Adequacy According to Basel II IRB-Approach
Model Assisted Statistics and Applications 2012 Vol. 7 No. 4 P. 267-280
According to the strategy of the banking system development until 2015, the Central Bank of Russia is going to implement Basel II Internal-Ratings-Based (IRB) approaches in 2015, while Basel III is planned to be introduced in full starting from 2019. Taking into account the effects of the Basel II regulation during the crisis 2008-2009, in ...
Added: November 6, 2012
Регулярное общенациональное репрезентативное обследование населения по изучению демографического, социального и экономического поведения «Человек, Семья, Общество»: анализ результатов первой волны и методическая подготовка второй волны (Regular National Representative Survey of the Demographic, Social and Economic Behavior of the Population "Person, Family, Society": An Analysis of the First Wave Data and Methodical Preparation to the Second Wave)
Регулярное общенациональное репрезентативное обследование населения по изучению демографического, социального и экономического поведения «Человек, Семья, Общество»: анализ результатов первой волны и методическая подготовка второй волны (Regular National Representative Survey of the Demographic, Social and Economic Behavior of the Population "Person, Family, Society": An Analysis of the First Wave Data and Methodical Preparation to the Second Wave) / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2015.
The paper considers demographic, social and economic behavior of the Russian population. The first chapter is based on the first wave of the survey "Person, family, society" (2013). We develop a three- criteria methodology of stratification and analyze social dynamics of middle, post-middle and proto middle groups. The second chapter contains the results of the ...
Added: January 7, 2018
Восточная Азия: прошлое, настоящее, будущее. Материалы 7-й международной конференции молодых востоковедов
М.: ИДВ РАН, 2020
The collection of articles by Russian and foreign Orientalists is based on the materials of the 7-th International Scientific Conference of Young Orientalists, held on November 28-29, 2019 in Moscow with support of the Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The book focuses on the different aspects of regional development ...
Added: October 26, 2021
Вопросы экономики 2013 № 7 С. 138-153
Calculation of the aggregated “consensus” industrial production index has made it possible to date the cyclical turning points and to measure the depth and length of the main industrial recessions for the last century and a half. The most important causes of all these recessions are described. The cyclical volatility of Russian industry is compared ...
Added: April 29, 2013
Berlin: De Gruyter, 2021
Added: November 29, 2020
М.: Институт социально-политических исследований РАН, 2012
В данной книге авторы предлагают новую методологию долгосрочного социально-экономического моделирования и прогнозирования, основанную на кондратьевских больших циклах экономической конъюнктуры. Использование методологии позволяет обнаружить точки кризисов, рецессий и бифуркаций и тем самым повышает точность и надежность прогноза. Методология применяется для системного анализа мировой динамики и построения сценариев развития России. ...
Added: October 22, 2014
Russian cyclical indicators and their usefulness in real time: An experience of the 2008-09 recession
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2014 No. 1 P. 103-128
This report investigates the predictability of cyclical turning points in Russia. For years, anyone interested in Russia had access to a full set of common tools for business cycle analysis, such as several composite leading indicators, a purchasing managers’ index, enterprise and consumer sentiment indexes, and so on. However, the 2008-09 world financial crisis spread ...
Added: July 18, 2014
Сравнительная политика 2019 Т. 10 № 2 С. 135-151
The authors argue that Russian-Chinese rapprochement is a fundamental feature of the current changing system of international relations. The two countries are effectively enabling each other to conduct independent foreign policies often in direct opposition to the West. There is a degree of complementarity between the two sides with Russia having comparative advantage in the ...
Added: May 25, 2019