Selection of information sources for identifying technology trends: a comparative analysis
Technology foresight is mainly conducted by applying a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. An evidence-based approach implies covering a wide range of information sources, as well as the active application of quantitative methods for processing. Therefore, it is very important to select the right sources of data, extract core information from them, and interpret the results correctly. In theoretical works devoted to identifying technology trends, the most widely used information sources are scientific publications and patents. There are also authors who propose relying on additional sources of data (media, conferences, business-related resources, and others). However, the issue of applicability and comparison of core and extra sources of information for monitoring technology trends has not received sufficient coverage in the literature. In connection with this, the purpose of this paper is to conduct a comparative analysis of the results of technology monitoring by using various information sources (scientific publications, patents, media, foresight-projects, conferences, international projects, dissertations, and presentations). The proposed approach is tested on the area of green energy and the results are described and analyzed. Possible factors that can affect the results of data processing are considered and discussed in order to more efficiently use the comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative procedures for identifying, correcting, and updating global technology trends on a regular basis.
, , Technology Analysis & Strategic Management 2019 Vol. 31 No. 11 P. 1353-1367
This paper considers the strategies for working with different data sources for identifying technology trends. For this purpose, a comparative analysis of technology monitoring results using various data collections (scientific publications, patents, media, foresight projects, conferences, international projects, dissertations and presentations) is conducted. Guidance on how to use them to ensure the greatest output is ...
Added: June 16, 2019
, , , International Journal of Social Ecology and Sustainable Development 2015 Vol. 6 No. 3 P. 1-20
The transition of energy systems moving from non-renewable fossil-nuclear to renewable sources is a key challenge of climate mitigation and sustainable development. Green energy technologies can contribute to solutions of global problems such as climate change, growth of energy consumption, depletion of natural resources, negative environmental impacts, and energy security. In this article the prospective ...
Added: September 7, 2015
, , in : Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis. : Netherlands : Springer, 2016. P. 59-69.
This paper performs a quantitative analysis of trends in technology mining (TM) approaches using 5 years (2011–2015) of Global TechMining (GTM) conference proceedings as a data source. These proceedings are processed with a help of Vantage Point software, providing an approach “tech mining for analyzing tech mining.” Through quantitative data processing (bibliometric analysis, natural language processing, ...
Added: June 20, 2016
Разработка учебно-методических материалов для преподавания курсов по применению количественного инструментария к решению социально-экономических задач
, , et al., Экономическая социология 2010 Т. 11 № 4 С. 190-194
Проект "Разработка учебно-методических материалов для преподавания курсов по применению количественного инструментария к решению социально-экономических задач"; предназначен прежде всего для помощи преподавателям, разрабатывающим или уже преподающим курсы по методным дисциплинам на непрофильных для себя факультетах. Зачастую в такой ситуации преподавателям сложно привести достаточное количество понятных и интересных примеров для изложения материала и задач для самостоятельной работы ...
Added: December 12, 2012
, , Comparative Political Studies 2016 Vol. 49 No. 8 P. 1068-1094
Structural equation modelers judge multi-item constructs against three requirements: (a) multiple items converge in a single dimension; (b) individual-level patterns of item convergence are invariant across countries; (c) aggregate-level patterns of item convergence replicate those at the individual level. This approach involves two premises: Measurement validity hinges solely on a construct’s internal convergence, and convergence ...
Added: September 7, 2016
, , Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 Vol. 119 P. 219-226
Technology foresight has been increasingly undertaken by developing countries to identify technologies whose adoption might serve as a platform for future economic growth. However, foresight activities have not, by and large, resulted in well-developed policy initiatives. Three factors are relevant for improvement. First, foresight activities would benefit from being more informed by the convergence literature ...
Added: September 25, 2016
, Climate change and our future: anticipating trends and challenges using media data / . 2016. No. 65/STI/2016 .
This paper proposes a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the future perspectives of climate change. First, it analyzes the possibilities of using the media as an information source for anticipating trends and challenges in this area through exploring the topics that have been actively discussed in the news in the recent 5 years. Second, qualitative and ...
Added: October 12, 2016
Специфические слова и выражения русских классиков XIX века: опыт контрастивного корпусного исследования
, Ученые записки Петрозаводского государственного университета. Серия: Общественные и гуманитарные науки 2019 № 5 С. 70-75
The paper presents the results of a quantitative study that identifies characteristic and specific low-frequency words for the prose of Russian classic writers of the XIX century. TF-IDF measure and a large collection of the XIX century texts by Turgenev, Goncharov, Leskov and Dostoevsky were used to identify words and phrases that are rarely found ...
Added: September 18, 2019
Методы и процедуры социологических исследований: традиции и инновации. Сб. ст., посвященный памяти первого декана ф-та социологии НИУ ВШЭ А.О. Крыштановского [Электронный ресурс]
М. : НИУ ВШЭ, 2017
Сборник содержит статьи, подготовленные на основе докладов, сделанных на VII научно-практической конференции «Социологические методы в современной исследовательской практике: традиции и инновации» (г. Москва, 23–24 сентября 2016 г.), посвященной памяти первого декана факультета социологии НИУ ВШЭ Александра Олеговича Крыштановского. Сборник рассчитан на тех, кто интересуется методологией, методикой и современной практикой проведения социологических исследований. ...
Added: March 30, 2017
Ion exchange membranes based on radiation-induced grafted functionalized polystyrene for high-performance reverse electrodialysis
, , , Journal of Power Sources 2021 Vol. 511 Article 230460
Radiation-induced grafted ion exchange membranes based on functionalized polystyrene were tested for the first time in reverse electrodialysis (RED). Сation and anion exchange membranes based on sulfonated and quaternized/chloromethylated poly(styrene-co-divinylbenzene) grafted on UV-oxidized polymethylpentene films with different conductivity and selectivity relationships were compared with each other and with different commercial ion-exchange membranes (IEMs), FujiFim® Type ...
Added: December 2, 2021
Соотношение сил между великими державами в «Группе 20»: анализ при помощи метода многомерного шкалирования
, , , Полис. Политические исследования 2021 Т. 2 С. 125-138
. This article applies a method of multidimensional scaling (visualization of multi-dimensional structures) to studying different dimensions of power competition between the great states. On the basis of analysis of the Neo-Realist, Neo-Liberal, and World-systems theory literature on global hegemony, 8 criteria of global leadership were defined: GDP per capita (PPP), military expenditure (% of ...
Added: February 8, 2021
, Schole. Философское антиковедение и классическая традиция 2022 Т. 16 № 2 С. 693-705
This paper tests the effectiveness of Burrow’s Delta Method on a corpus of selected prose writings in ancient Greek. When tested on a corpus of fourteen and eight authors, the method yields good results with relatively small samples (1000, 3000, and 5000 words) and different word frequency vectors (100, 200, 500 words), but its performance ...
Added: February 9, 2022
, В кн. : Глобальный мир: к новым моделям национального и регионального развития. Т. 2.: М. : ИМЭМО РАН, 2014. Гл. 4. С. 39-54.
В ФРГ продолжается реализация масштабной реформы национальной энерегтической модели. Поставлена цель максимизации доли альтернативных источников энергии в энергетическом балансе Германии. Однако амбициозный проект ставит под угрозу энергоинтенсивную германскую промышленность - локомотив народного хозяйства, а также сопряжен с рядом технических и экономических трудностей, а также с потребностью в общественно-политическом согласовании. ...
Added: March 17, 2016
, Политическая лингвистика 2011 № 3 С. 122-128
This article examines critical discourse analysis usage for political investigations. Special survey of literature, schedules and articles brings out strong methodological deficiency. Some argumentation on issues, means and limits of critical discourse analysis emphasize its prospects for political science development. ...
Added: November 21, 2012
Легитимация и делегитимация региональных элит в России в контексте информационной безопасности: кластерный анализ
, , Среднерусский вестник общественных наук 2009 № 4 С. 154-161
In given article is made legitimation and delegitimation cluster analysis of Russian regional elites in context of information safety. In the opinion of authors, exactly information safety at the this moment can present itself the most significant call for легитимности regional elites legitimacy. In this connection, prospects to powerful positions in russian region links with ...
Added: October 29, 2014
, Известия РАН. Серия литературы и языка 2019 Т. 78 № 2 С. 41-50
The paper considers a specific element of syllabic versification on the Bashkir text data. We examine the ordered alternations of lines of different lengths. Such verse forms exist in Turkic verse along with the usual isosyllabic poems. The status of such forms is ambiguous; they can be viewed both as a stanza and as a ...
Added: September 18, 2019
, , Foresight and STI Governance 2014 Vol. 8 No. 4 P. 64-83
Theoretical and applied studies about monitoring technology trends are carried out by organizations at global, national, sectoral, and corporate levels. Demand for them comes from the government, business, academic institutions, as well as the general public. Qualitative methods (expert interviews, surveys, workshops, etc.) play a significant role in large practical projects. At the same time, ...
Added: January 16, 2015
, Jahrbuch für Internationale Germanistik 2016 No. 1 P. 53-72
What is known as prosodic orientation in German studies of language and poetry has noticeably influenced the Russian formalists by providing an impulse to the morphological examination of verse structures. Unfortunately, this tradition was interrupted in Germany in the nineteen-thirties. However, these studies were resumed and further developed, in varying degrees, in Russia, some East-European ...
Added: June 5, 2016
Ways of improving environmental management through the introduction of biofuel products in the Russian economy
, , et al., AMAZONIA INVESTIGA, Colombia 2018 Vol. 7 No. 14 P. 31-38
Environmental management plays a central role in the social and economic development of today's world. Its key problems can be solved by using more effective methods of encouraging economic entities to find the most effective ways of introducing biofuel products in their production cycle. The article discusses these ways and methods and justifies the strategy ...
Added: October 30, 2019
Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques
, , et al., Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2018. No. 82.
This paper contributes to the conceptualisation and operationalisation of the “technology trend” discussion in the scope of the Technology Foresight paradigm. It proposes a consistent logical approach to analysing technology trends and increase predictive potential of futures studies. The approach integrates Big Data analysis into the Foresight studies’ toolset by means of applying text mining, ...
Added: October 3, 2018
IGI Global, 2019
Scholarly Publishing and Research Methods Across Disciplines is a collection of innovative findings on the methods and applications of research in scholarly publishing, ranging from the analyzation of mixed methods and qualitative/quantitative research, to Dewey’s scientific method and more. Highlighting a range of topics including higher education, digital divide, and model development, this publication applies a ...
Added: October 24, 2019
Методы исследований в менеджменте: Учебное пособие для обучающихся по направлению 080200.68 "Менеджмент"
, , , Киров : МЦНИП, 2013
The manual includes the general orientation information on quantitative and qualitative methods, necessary for experts without basic administrative education. With basic education the manual will be useful for experts not only expansion and fixing of knowledge, but also the annex to actual problems of the organization and management. Its feature that it assumes updating, fixing and ...
Added: July 9, 2014
, , et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 Vol. 119 P. 211-218
Technology Foresight (TF) became an increasingly popular approach for science, technology and innovation (STI) policymakers from the mid-1990s on. Achieving prominence in Japan and Western Europe, it attracted the attention of researchers and policy analysts in many parts of the world in subsequent decades. TF is often seen as a set of tools for informing ...
Added: April 26, 2017
, , , Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2022 № 4 С. 17-38
The analysis of cross-network effects is important for considering the impossibility of their direct observation and the influence of cross-network effects on the values of all tests in competition policy, pricing practice and merger valuation. The article summarizes the experience of quantifying cross-network effects for non-transactional platforms. This paper systematizes methods for assessing cross-network effects ...
Added: September 15, 2022