Глава 6. О некоторых аспектах истории исследования длинноволновой динамики
A computable general equilibrium model, which describes the main channels of monetary economy of the Russian Federation was developed. Scenario calculations were carried out: in particular, was studied the impact of monetary and exchange rate policies of the Bank of Russia on the basic macroeconomic indicators of the national economy and on the state of the real and financial sectors of the Russian economy. As the main instruments of monetary policy have been chosen the refinancing rate and ruble interventions of the Bank of Russia on the domestic exchange market. The model could be used by specialized departments of the Bank of Russia, the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Economic Development to analyze and predict the various dynamics of economic development of the Russian Federation, as well as to generate optimal monetary, fiscal and tariff policy of the Russian state.
In this article described methodology for evaluation and forecasting of Russian IT-services market state based on average revenue of market participants depending on types of services provided. This methodology allows to increase precision of market estimation and make several important conclusions about its current state and trends.