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Regular version of the site

Book chapter

Ближайшие демографические перспективы России

С. 383-409.
Вишневский А. Г., Андреев Е. М.

36 scenarios of the population projection for Russia until 2030 are presented and analyzed. Prognostic hypothesis of changes in fertility, mortality and migration are described, and the choice of number of projection scenario is explained. Possible changes in the size and age structure of the population are considered. Particular attention is paid to future dynamics of the main large age groups (children, population in working age and elderly) and to the possible changes of dependency ratio.