### Book

## Preprints of the IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control MIM ‘2013 June 19 to 21, 2013, Saint Petersburg, Russia

Nowadays, production control problems has been widely studied and a lot of valuable approaches have been implemented. Some work addresses the problem of tracking the uncertain demand in case of uncertain production speeds. The uncertainties are described by deterministic inequalities and the performance is analyzed in from of the worst-case scenario. First, simple mathematical models are introduced and the control problem is formulated. In continuous-time, the cumulative output of a manufacturing machine is the integral of the production speed over time. At the same time, the production speed is bounded from below and above, and hence the manufacturing process can be modeled as an integrator with saturated input. Since the cumulative demand (which is the reference signal to track) is a growing function of time, it is natural to consider control policies that involve integration of the mismatch between the current output and current demand. In the simplest consideration it results in models similar to a double integrator closed by saturated linear feedback with an extra input that models disturbances of a different nature. This model is analyzed and particular attention is devoted to the integrator windup phenomenon: lack of global stability of the system solutions that correspond to the same input signal.

An optimal control problem is formulated for a class of nonlinear systems which can be presented by system with linear structure and state-depended coefficients (SDC). The system being under the influence of uncontrollable disturbance is supposed. The linearity of the transformed system structure and the quadratic functional make it possible to pass over from the Hamilton–Jacoby–Bellman equation (HJB) to the state dependent Riccati equation (SDRE) upon the control synthesis. In thus paper the optimal control problem by nonlinear system in a task of Keeping Tabs on Reference Trajectory we decide in a key of differential game. The presented example illustrates the application of the proposed control method.

In this research it was considered the particular case of a railway problem, specifically, the construction of orders delivery schedule for one locomotive plying among three railway station. In this paper it was suggested a polynomial algorithm and were shown the results of a computing experiment.

The paper studies a problem of optimal insurer’s choice of a risk-sharing policy in a dynamic risk model, so-called Cramer-Lundberg process, over infinite time interval. Additional constraints are imposed on residual risks of insureds: on mean value or with probability one. An optimal control problem of minimizing a functional of the form of variation coefficient is solved. We show that: in the first case the optimum is achieved at stop loss insurance policies, in the second case the optimal insurance is a combination of stop loss and deductible policies. It is proved that the obtained results can be easily applied to problems with other optimization criteria: maximization of long-run utility and minimization of probability of a deviation from mean trajectory.

The chapter studies a dynamic risk model defined on infinite time interval, where both insurance and per-claim reinsurance policies are chosen by the insurer in order to minimize a functional of the form of variation coefficient under constraints imposed with probability one on insured's and reinsurer's risks. We show that the optimum is achieved at constant policies, the optimal reinsurance is a partial stop loss reinsurance and the optimal insurance is a combination of stop loss and deductible policies. The results are illustrated by a numerical example involving uniformly distributed claim sizes.

Book include abstracts of reports presented at the IX International Conference on Optimization Methods and Applications "Optimization and applications" (OPTIMA-2018) held in Petrovac, Montenegro, October 1 - October 5, 2018.

Proceedings include extended abstracts of reports presented at the III International Conference on Optimization Methods and Applications “Optimization and application” (OPTIMA-2012) held in Costa da Caparica, Portugal, September 23—30, 2012.

The task of designing the control actions for a heavy water reactor under uncertainty changes its parameters considered in the key differential game. The possibility of representing nonlinear dynamics of the object in the form of a system with parameters depending on the state (State Dependent Coefficients) and quadratic functional qualities allow you to go from having to solve a scalar partial differential equation (the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman) to the Riccati equation with parameters depending on the state. Feasible solution obtained by applying the min-max method. The results of mathematical modeling system in the shutdown of a nuclear reactor.

A model for organizing cargo transportation between two node stations connected by a railway line which contains a certain number of intermediate stations is considered. The movement of cargo is in one direction. Such a situation may occur, for example, if one of the node stations is located in a region which produce raw material for manufacturing industry located in another region, and there is another node station. The organization of freight traﬃc is performed by means of a number of technologies. These technologies determine the rules for taking on cargo at the initial node station, the rules of interaction between neighboring stations, as well as the rule of distribution of cargo to the ﬁnal node stations. The process of cargo transportation is followed by the set rule of control. For such a model, one must determine possible modes of cargo transportation and describe their properties. This model is described by a ﬁnite-dimensional system of diﬀerential equations with nonlocal linear restrictions. The class of the solution satisfying nonlocal linear restrictions is extremely narrow. It results in the need for the “correct” extension of solutions of a system of diﬀerential equations to a class of quasi-solutions having the distinctive feature of gaps in a countable number of points. It was possible numerically using the Runge–Kutta method of the fourth order to build these quasi-solutions and determine their rate of growth. Let us note that in the technical plan the main complexity consisted in obtaining quasi-solutions satisfying the nonlocal linear restrictions. Furthermore, we investigated the dependence of quasi-solutions and, in particular, sizes of gaps (jumps) of solutions on a number of parameters of the model characterizing a rule of control, technologies for transportation of cargo and intensity of giving of cargo on a node station.

Event logs collected by modern information and technical systems usually contain enough data for automated process models discovery. A variety of algorithms was developed for process models discovery, conformance checking, log to model alignment, comparison of process models, etc., nevertheless a quick analysis of ad-hoc selected parts of a journal still have not get a full-fledged implementation. This paper describes an ROLAP-based method of multidimensional event logs storage for process mining. The result of the analysis of the journal is visualized as directed graph representing the union of all possible event sequences, ranked by their occurrence probability. Our implementation allows the analyst to discover process models for sublogs defined by ad-hoc selection of criteria and value of occurrence probability

The geographic information system (GIS) is based on the first and only Russian Imperial Census of 1897 and the First All-Union Census of the Soviet Union of 1926. The GIS features vector data (shapefiles) of allprovinces of the two states. For the 1897 census, there is information about linguistic, religious, and social estate groups. The part based on the 1926 census features nationality. Both shapefiles include information on gender, rural and urban population. The GIS allows for producing any necessary maps for individual studies of the period which require the administrative boundaries and demographic information.

Existing approaches suggest that IT strategy should be a reflection of business strategy. However, actually organisations do not often follow business strategy even if it is formally declared. In these conditions, IT strategy can be viewed not as a plan, but as an organisational shared view on the role of information systems. This approach generally reflects only a top-down perspective of IT strategy. So, it can be supplemented by a strategic behaviour pattern (i.e., more or less standard response to a changes that is formed as result of previous experience) to implement bottom-up approach. Two components that can help to establish effective reaction regarding new initiatives in IT are proposed here: model of IT-related decision making, and efficiency measurement metric to estimate maturity of business processes and appropriate IT. Usage of proposed tools is demonstrated in practical cases.