Book
Экономика России. Ежемесячный обзор
Вып. 1: На грани предсказуемости. М.: Sberbank CIB, 2016.
Евгений Гавриленков, Антон Струченевский, Сергей Коныгин
Under the general editorship:
Евгений Гавриленков
Similar publications
Евгений Гавриленков, Антон Струченевский, Сергей Коныгин М.: Sberbank CIB, 2015.
Added: Aug 13, 2015
Smirnov S. V., Kondrashov N. V. Economics. EC. Высшая школа экономики, 2017. No. 169.
Regional statistics published by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) are reviewed in terms of quality, and radical disagreement between “month-on-month” and “year-on-year” monthly statistics is identified. In view of this, an original method is proposed for estimating the level of Regional Economic Activity (REA), based on monthly official regional statistics in five key sectors of the Russian economy: industry, construction, retail trade, wholesale trade, and paid services for the population. This method transforms current “year-on-year” growth rates into specially constructed dichotomous variables, which eliminate the excessive volatility and inaccuracy of the initial time series. On these grounds, REA indices are estimated for all Russian constituent entities for the period from January 2005 to May 2017. Composite REA indices for all five economic sectors, eight federal districts, and Russia as a whole are then calculated. Methods for visualising multidimensional regional data are also proposed. They allow us to track the regional peculiarities of the Russian economy and to discern the current phase of the business cycle more accurately and without any additional lag. Several illustrative examples for the possible application of these indices in real time monitoring and analyses are provided.
Added: Aug 9, 2017
Евгений Гавриленков, Антон Струченевский, Сергей Коныгин М.: Sberbank CIB, 2016.
Added: Aug 11, 2016
Хасянова С. Ю., Егоров Ф. В. В кн.: Современные проблемы в области экономики, менеджмента, бизнес-информатики, юриспруденции и социально- гуманитарных наук. Материалы IV научно- практической конференции студентов и преподавателей НФ ГУ-ВШЭ. Н. Новгород: Нижегородский государственный технический университет им. Р.Е. Алексеева, 2006. С. 32-36.
Added: Dec 16, 2012
Мазин А. Л., Мазина Анна Александровна Человек и труд. 2011. № 2. С. 11-16.
Added: Nov 17, 2011
Евгений Гавриленков, Антон Струченевский, Сергей Коныгин Вып. 10: Пессимистичные бюджетные прогнозы угрожают инвестициям. М.: Sberbank CIB, 2015.
Added: Aug 11, 2016
Антон Струченевский Cbonds Review. 2013. № 9.
Added: Feb 12, 2014
Shpringel V. K. Исследования по экономике и финансам. WP9. Высшая школа экономики, 2005. No. 03.
Using an original currency crisis model we show that mistakes in monetary and fiscal policy could explain the origins and roots of the Russian financial crisis of 1998. A combination of high interest rates with high sensitivity of inflation rate to the rate of currency depreciation, low duration of debt and low GDP monetization together resulted in exchange rate appreciation and rapid accumulation of domestic-currency debt. When the debt became too high to service, investors started to flee. Protective interest rate hike by the monetary authorities was counterproductive, accelerating the approach of the crisis via the growth in the debt-servicing payments and GDP contraction. The budget restriction of 3% of GDP, used in EC countries, was too loose for Russia in the pre-crisis period.
Added: Mar 18, 2013
Ч. 1. Волгоград: Волгоградское научное издательство, 2010.
Added: Jan 18, 2013
Трунин П. В., Дробышевский С. М., Евдокимова Т. В. М.: Издательский дом «Дело» РАНХиГС, 2012.
Added: Mar 26, 2013
Added: Jun 24, 2011
Вишневская Н. Т. Проблемы рынка труда. WP3. Высшая школа экономики, 2005. № 03.
The paper examines the institute of minimum wage in developed and transition economies and in a number of the developing countries. First of all the institutional mechanism of minimum wage fixing is considered. One of the sections explores the dynamics of absolute and relative levels of minimum wage. The special attention is paid to the impact of the institute of minimum wage on the labour market. The author considers the mechanism of transmission of the minimum wage increases on the employment and unemployment dynamics. The paper also contains the result of the empirical research. The experience of many countries witnesses that large increases in minimum wage levels lead to the stagnation of the employ-ment, especially of the disadvantaged groups. The negative effect is larger for the companies with higher share of labour costs and more active use of unqualified labour, that is small businesses and agricultural enterprises. One of the main conclusions is that the minimum wage is not an effective tool of the poverty reduction as the majority of the recipients live in households of average and upper average income.
Added: Oct 13, 2012