Гражданское судостроение: 2030. Форсайт
Богомолова А. В., Боков М.Б., Великанова Н.П., Веселитская Н.Н., Вишневский К.О., Дехтярук Ю. Д., Дорошенко М.Е., Дышкант Н. Ф., Ражева (Еделькина) А.А., Карасев О.И., Карышев И. В., Клубова М.А., Кораблева М. С.
Academic editor: Гохберг Л.М., А. В. Дутов
, , et al., Development of Navigation Services and Devices – Evidence from a case study in Russia / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 22.
The paper assesses the development of the market for navigation services and devices based on the results of a recently held Foresight exercise on monitoring of global technology trends. The future of the market for Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) devices is largely influenced by grand challenges (i.e. lifestyle change, technical safety, urbanization, rural development, ...
Added: November 16, 2013
, , et al., Foresight and STI Governance 2014 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 30-45
The shipbuilding sector’s multiple contributions to the social and economic development, as well as to science and technology, of major maritime countries mean that the sector attracts strong interest of entrepreneurs, researchers, and government agencies. Meanwhile the diverse forms of inter-industrial interaction, and specific aspects associated with building high-technology vessels require significant investments. Hence that ...
Added: October 10, 2014
, , , Journal of Cleaner Production 2018 Vol. 170 P. 867-879
The grand challenge of accessing fresh water and sanitation is a global concern. The intensity of challenge depends on the geographical location as well as the level of socio-economic development of individual countries. The present paper first reviews the key water-related global trends and examines the global agenda on water issues. Next the focus is ...
Added: September 25, 2017
, , Renewable Energy 2019 Vol. 143 P. 1670-1686
Today the global energy industry is undergoing major changes shifting towards the green growth and circular economy solutions. The paper offers the outcomes of the foresight study of the Russian renewable energy sector and focuses on three areas: converting solar energy into electricity; converting wind energy into electricity; and converting biomass into thermal energy and ...
Added: May 28, 2019
, , et al., М. : ЦАГИ, 2014
Документ подготовлен рабочей группой «Форсайт развития науки и технологий», созданной во исполнение Протокола No 1 от 28 июня 2011 года совещания в Министерстве промышленности и торговли Российской Федерации о разработке «Национального плана развития науки и технологий в авиастроении на период до 2025 года и дальнейшую перспективу». В рабочую группу вошли представители научных организаций ...
Added: October 2, 2013
, , Framing emerging nanotechnologies: steps towards a forward-looking analysis of skills / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 15.
How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the ...
Added: July 24, 2013
Integration of roadmapping and scenario planning for implementing science, technology and innovation strategic priorities – the case of Russia
, , et al., International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 2015 Vol. 10 No. 2-4 P. 126-144
Technology and market roadmapping are well established instruments for companies’ research and innovation planning. Recent advances in the literature have developed approaches to integrate technology and market roadmaps to allow a more comprehensive understanding of technology development. Inspired by companies’ widespread implementation of integrated roadmaps, public authorities have recently begun to adopt this tool for ...
Added: November 2, 2015
, , , Russia’s Water Resources 2030: Plausible Scenarios / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2015. No. 42.
The research presented in this paper focuses on the sustainable use of water resources in Russia based on a Foresight study with a 20-year time horizon. The study uses a scenario-planning method to develop four trajectories: economic depression, economic stagnation, visionary future, and national priority. These four trajectories offer significantly different yet plausible alternative futures. ...
Added: July 24, 2015
, , Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2017 № 6 С. 65-80
The development of information and communication technologies has contributed to the fact that the telecommunication industry has become one of the strategic sectors of the economy on which the functioning of other branches of the economy depends. Therefore, the objective of the study was to determine the factors that influence the competitiveness of telecommunications companies ...
Added: January 29, 2018
, , Управленческое консультирование 2015 № 7 С. 45-56
The scientific novelty of the author's approach is that foresight is regarded as a technology development and monitoring the implementation of the most important documents of strategic planning of urban development. The theoretical basis of the methodology defined by the concept of creative foresight of the city and smart city, allowing to characterize the urban ...
Added: June 20, 2015
, , et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 No. 119 P. 194-204
Developing competitive national shipbuilding industries is a strategic priority for many countries. Shipbuilding has evolved into a high tech industry over the last few decades that is strongly driven by customer needs and wishes. Consequently economic development of the industry is now far more complex than previously. International competition in the shipbuilding industry is very ...
Added: October 3, 2016
, Russia's Water Resources 2030: Policy Recommendations / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 44.
The Foresight study presented in this paper is devoted to the sustainable use of water resources in Russia. The authors analyse possible trajectories of development in the three thematic areas (i) sustainability of water systems; (ii) water use by households and in industry; and (iii) new water products and services. The Foresight methods cover expert interviews ...
Added: August 31, 2015
Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques
, , et al., Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2018. No. 82.
This paper contributes to the conceptualisation and operationalisation of the “technology trend” discussion in the scope of the Technology Foresight paradigm. It proposes a consistent logical approach to analysing technology trends and increase predictive potential of futures studies. The approach integrates Big Data analysis into the Foresight studies’ toolset by means of applying text mining, ...
Added: October 3, 2018
, , Foresight Evaluation: Lessons from Project Management / Высшая школа экономики. Series MAN "Management". 2012. No. 01.
The aim of this paper is to identify ways for improvement of the Foresight evaluation framework on the basis of analysis and systematisation of accumulated experience in the field of project management. The paper is based on a detailed literature review related to an evaluation of Foresight and traditional projects. The comparison of evaluation approaches ...
Added: August 28, 2012
, , et al., Инновации 2013 № 12 С. 34-43
During the last decade new systems of strategic tools of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy has been established in many developed and developing countries. Science and technology (S&T) Foresight in a variety of its forms and implementations is an integral part of these systems. The paper is devoted to the creation of the Russian ...
Added: February 4, 2014
Форсайт – инструмент определения приоритетов научно-технологического и инновационного развития в транспортном секторе
, , et al., Автомобильная промышленность 2015 № 3 С. 4-7
Описываются принципы проведения Форсайт-исследований, анализируются ключевые методы построения прогнозов, раскрываются способы их эффективного применения. Дается характеристика основных результатов Форсайта-сценариев, приоритетов научно-технологического развития, дорожных карт их реализации. ...
Added: August 6, 2015
, Инженерное образование 2014 № 15 С. 139-144
The paper considers issues of vocational education and training for highly qualified personnel which knowledge and skills allow them working for high-tech industries. Focus is put on the analysis of human relation policy of organizations aimed at preventing a shortage of highly skilled engineers who should implement technological innovations. The paper highlights the potential of ...
Added: December 12, 2014
Арригиевские чтения по теме: «Формирование новой парадигмы экономического мышления XXI века». Материалы международной научно-практической конференции 21-23 марта 2018 г
, , et al., Орел : ФГБОУ ВО «ОГУ имени И.С. Тургенева», 2018
В данном сборнике представлены статьи, подготовленные участниками международной научно-практической конференции Арригиевские чтения по теме: «Формирование новой парадигмы экономического мышления XXI века», которая проходила 21-23 марта 2018 года на базе института эконмики и управления ФГБОУ ВО «Орловский государственный университет при финансовой поддержке Российского фонда фундаментальных исследований (проект №18-010-20019 Г). Все статьи публикуются в авторской редакции. Мнение ...
Added: September 13, 2021
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 473-490
Purpose Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration, and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. This new fast-changing landscape requires approaches and tools, which may help to practice adaptive ...
Added: September 12, 2017
, , et al., Scientometrics 2016 Vol. 108 No. 3 P. 1013-1041
This paper introduces a systematic technology trend monitoring (TTM) methodology based on an analysis of bibliometric data. Among the key premises for developing a methodology are: (1) the increasing number of data sources addressing different phases of the STI development, and thus requiring a more holistic and integrated analysis; (2) the need for more customized ...
Added: August 28, 2016
, , Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016 Vol. 5 No. 1 P. 1-35
The objective of this paper is to analyse the scope for improving empirical and methodological foundation of global value chain (GVC) research and for making relevant political decisions, primarily through application of foresight methodology based on the latest trend to combine the approaches of global value chain and national innovation system research. The authors choose ...
Added: February 17, 2016
, Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 139-151
Purpose – The purpose of the study is to present and critically assess the outcomes of the Foresight study of the Russian energy sector, undertaken in 2014 in the course of a large-scale national Foresight exercise – ‘Science and Technology (S&T) Foresight 2030’. Design/methodology/approach - Methods applied in the Foresight study include literature review, statistical, bibliometric ...
Added: January 25, 2017
Возможности использования методологии Форсайта для разработки стратегических прогнозов отраслевого развития
, , , Труды МАИ 2012 № 53 С. 1-16
Article touches upon with a set of national and foreign Foresight projects devoted to future development of aviation industry including S&T Foresight until 2025, launched by the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University “Higher School of Economics” (ISSEK HSE). Special attention focuses on Roadmap “Use of nanotechnologies in aviation industry”. ...
Added: September 19, 2012
, Foresight and STI Governance 2020 Vol. 14 No. 4 P. 34-45
The modern theory of complex systems changes our view of historical processes, accompanied by uncertainties, instabilities and ambiguities. The knowledge of this theory allows us to master a system or holistic thinking, and to understand the laws of functioning and growth of not just structural, but dynamic complexity. Uncertainties and chaotic elements that indicate any state of ...
Added: December 25, 2020