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  • Концепция эффектуации: этапы развития и основные направления исследований
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News
June 4, 2026
Machine Learning Models Can Help Reduce Volatility and Boost Stock Market Returns
The use of machine learning models makes it possible to achieve greater accuracy in predicting risks in the Russian stock market compared to classical econometric approaches. The predictive power of these models increases by 23%, while the average investor’s return can reach up to 13% per annum. These conclusions were drawn by Nikita Lysenok from the Department of Financial Market Infrastructure at the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences. The paper has been published in Fundamental and Applied Mathematics.
June 3, 2026
Pocket Money, Personal Interest, and Family Practices: What Shapes Students Economic Literacy?
University students' economic literacy depends not only on their field of study but also on their interest in economics, the learning environment, and family financial practices. For example, students who received pocket money irregularly tend to perform better on economic literacy tests than their peers who received financial support on a regular basis. These findings come from a study conducted by HSE University involving more than 1,100 students from five Russian universities. The findings have been published in Cakrawala Pendidikan.
June 3, 2026
Creative Work as a Remedy for Burnout
The creative, supportive atmosphere and innovative methods at the Centre for Sociocultural Research make it appealing to early-career scholars. Over years of working at HSE University, they grow into researchers and lecturers recognised both in Russia and abroad. Chief Research Fellow Zarina Lepshokova and Leading Research Fellow Ekaterina Bushina spoke about their journey at the centre and at HSE, their research, and the role of mentors in their academic success.

 

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Концепция эффектуации: этапы развития и основные направления исследований

Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 8. Менеджмент. 2015. Т. 2. С. 3–38.
Shirokova G., Ласковая А. К.
Language: Russian
Text on another site
Keywords: каузацияcausationEffectuationанализ литературыэффектуацияcognitive logicliterature analysisentrepreneurial decisionsкогнитивная логика
Similar publications
Causes in neuron diagrams, and testing causal reasoning in Large Language Models. A glimpse of the future of philosophy?
Vervoort L., Journal for General Philosophy of Science 2025
We propose a test for abstract causal reasoning in AI, based on scholarship in the philosophy of causation, in particular on the neuron diagrams popularized by D. Lewis. We illustrate the test on advanced Large Language Models (ChatGPT, DeepSeek and Gemini). Remarkably, these chatbots are already capable of correctly identifying causes in cases that are ...
Added: August 26, 2025
Effectuation, causation and CEO tenure: navigating SME performance in dynamic environments
Kozachenko E., Journal of Entrepreneurship in Emerging Economies 2025 Vol. 17 No. 5 P. 1135–1160
Purpose Amidst global economic uncertainties, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are confronted with the pressing need to adapt to complex and ambiguous external landscapes. This study aims to investigate how the decision-making strategies of causation and effectuation are related to the performance of Russian SMEs and whether and how this relationship is moderated by CEO tenure. Design/methodology/approach Using ...
Added: February 3, 2025
Antecedents of effectuation and causation in SMEs from emerging markets: the role of CEO temporal focus
Kozachenko E., Shirokova G., Bodolica V., International Journal of Organizational Analysis 2025 Vol. 33 No. 7 P. 1742–1764
Purpose Previous studies considered effectuation and causation as alternative decision-making strategies used by entrepreneurs to navigate uncertainty, having various individual- and firm-level antecedents. This study aims to broaden our understanding of individual-level antecedents by examining the role of Chief Executive Officer (CEO) temporal focus in decision-making processes in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Design/methodology/approach Based on a multiple ...
Added: September 19, 2024
Готфрид Вильгельм Лейбниц
Brandon C. L., Brick of Knowledge 2020
First published Sat Dec 22, 2007; substantive revision Wed Jul 24, 2013 Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (1646–1716) was one of the great thinkers of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries and is known as the last “universal genius”. He made deep and important contributions to the fields of metaphysics, epistemology, logic, philosophy of religion, as well as mathematics, ...
Added: February 18, 2024
Континентальный Рационализм
Shannon D., Brick of Knowledge 2022
The expression “continental rationalism” refers to a set of views more or less shared by a number of philosophers active on the European continent during the latter two thirds of the seventeenth century and the beginning of the eighteenth. Rationalism is most often characterized as an epistemological position. On this view, to be a rationalist ...
Added: February 18, 2024
The Role of Effectuation and Causation for SME Survival Amidst Economic Crisis
Osiyevskyy O., Shirokova G., Ehsani M., International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behaviour and Research 2023 Vol. 29 No. 7 P. 1664–1697
Purpose – Economy-wide crises create major challenges for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Existing studies emphasize the crucial role of contrasting behavioral strategies, effectuation and causation in SMEs’ adaptation to crisis conditions. Yet, prior literature concentrated predominantly on exploring the impact of effectuation and causation on firm performance rather than survival. The authors present and ...
Added: July 14, 2023
Эффектуация и каузация: взаимосвязь между университетской инфраструктурой и выбором типа поведения в процессе создания бизнеса студентами-предпринимателями
Shirokova G., Богатырева К. А., Галкина Т. А., Российский журнал менеджмента 2014 Т. 12 № 3 С. 59–86
связана с поведением и особенностями процесса принятия решений студентами-предпринимателями. Теоретическая значимость данного исследования заключается в расширении теории эффектуации и изучении взаимосвязи университетской предпринимательской инфраструктуры и логики принятия решений студентами-предпринимателями. В результате исследования было установлено, что благоприятная предпринимательская среда в университете положительно связана с формированием каузативного типа поведения студентов-предпринимателей, в то время как финансовая поддержка со стороны университета ...
Added: February 8, 2023
Основные направления исследований роста фирмы: анализ литературы
Shirokova G., Скалецкий Е. В., Современная конкуренция 2016 Т. 10 № 2 С. 47–76
Проблема выявления факторов, способствующих росту фирм, ключевая в стратегическом менеджменте. Стабильный интерес со стороны академического сообщества, выражающийся в значительном числе публикаций, затрагивающих данную проблематику, свидетельствует о ее актуальности, несмотря на достаточную изученность. Цель данной статьи выделение основных направлений исследований, посвященных изучению роста фирмы, опубликованных в ведущих международных журналах по менеджменту и предпринимательству в период с 1990 по 2016 ...
Added: February 7, 2023
Стратегическое предпринимательство: сущность и основные направления исследований
Иввонен Л., Shirokova G., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 8. Менеджмент 2016 Т. 4 С. 21–53
В статье представлен анализ основных исследований стратегического предпринимательства (СП), опубликованных в международных научных рецензируемых журналах по менеджменту и предпринимательству за 2001-2016 гг. В результате анализа 70 публикаций показаны ключевые подходы к определению стратегического предпринимательства, выявлены этапы развития концепции, основные направления проведенных и дальнейших исследований. Выделены три подхода к изучению стратегического предпринимательства, в рамках которых рассматриваются: 1) факторы формирования стратегического предпринимательства; ...
Added: February 7, 2023
Эффектуация и каузация как медиаторы связи между культурными ценностными ориентациями и результатами деятельности новой предпринимательской фирмы
Shirokova G., Ласковая А. К., Российский журнал менеджмента 2017 Т. 15 № 4 С. 397–424
В статье представлена теоретическая и эмпирическая оценка роли подходов к принятию решений (эффектуации и каузации) как медиаторов связи между ценностями национальной культуры и результатами деятельности новой предпринимательской фирмы. Данная работа вносит теоретический вклад в исследования венчурной когнитивной логики принятия решений, рассматривая характеристики национальной культуры как антецеденты предпринимательского мышления, а результаты деятельности фирмы как следствия применения различных принципов принятия решений. Эмпирическая проверка теоретической модели ...
Added: February 7, 2023
Pure Economic Losses from the Russian Perspective
Nektov A., Stepanov, Semyon, Journal of Tort Law 2022 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 215–267
The article is devoted to the issue of compensation for pure economic losses under Russian law. The category of pure economic losses came into the focus of Russian researchers relatively recently. Currently, the mainstream discussion of Russian scholars on the topic is based on the analysis of foreign cases and arguments related to them. Meanwhile, ...
Added: January 17, 2023
Unravelling the Relationship between Dark Triad Traits and Effectuation and Causation within Small- and Medium-sized Enterprises
Shirokova G., Selivanovskikh L., Morris M. et al., British Journal of Management 2023 Vol. 34 No. 3 P. 1555–1583
Prior studies have examined effectuation and causation as alternative behavioural logics used by entrepreneurs to manage uncertainty, noting a number of antecedents of the tendency to rely on a given logic at different levels of analysis. This study aims to broaden the understanding of individual-level antecedents by examining the role of the so-called dark side ...
Added: August 30, 2022
Expertise, university infrastructure and approaches to new venture creation: assessing students who start businesses
Shirokova G., Osiyevskyy O., Bogatyreva K. et al., Entrepreneurship & Regional Development 2017 Vol. 29 No. 9-10 P. 912–944
Within the broader literature on contextual determinants of effectual and causal cognitive logics, the paper explores the drivers of causal and effectual reasoning in student-founders of new ventures, particularly focusing on the role of university entrepreneurship-related offerings and student prior business experience. Using the Global University Entrepreneurial Spirit Students’ Survey (GUESSS), the study involves a ...
Added: August 21, 2022
National culture, effectuation, and new venture performance: global evidence from student entrepreneurs
Laskovaia A., Shirokova G., Morris M. H., Small Business Economics 2017 Vol. 49 No. 3 P. 687–709
Studies examining the relationship between national culture and entrepreneurial activity have largely ignored the influence of culture on individual decisionmaking. Recent years have witnessed considerable interest in cognitive logics employed by entrepreneurs. A growing body of literature examines factors contributing to the relative reliance on causal and effectual reasoning as entrepreneurs attempt to launch and ...
Added: February 7, 2022
Effectuation and causation configurations for business model innovation: Addressing COVID-19 in the gastronomy industry
Harms R., Alfert C., Cheng C. et al., International Journal of Hospitality Management 2021 Vol. 95 Article 102896
The gastronomy sector is among those that are hit particularly hard by a loss of customers and regulatory uncertainty of the COVID-19 crisis. When established ways of doing business become almost impossible, business model innovation (BMI) is a possible reaction to this high uncertainty level. Effectuation and causation are decision-making logics that may lead to ...
Added: November 2, 2021
Opportunities and challenges of digital transformation in creative industries
Altynov A., , in: Развитие современной экономики России. Сборник материалов Международной конференции молодых ученых-экономистов.: СПб.: Скифия-принт, 2021. P. 255–259.
This paper studies the digital transformation of creative industries (CI) on the basis of literature analysis. This paper focuses on corporate level, trying to shed light on common characteristics of digitalization among CI. The main goal of this paper is dedicated to the definition of challenges and opportunities, that arise for companies in CI due ...
Added: October 5, 2021
Effectuation and causation, firm performance, and the impact of institutions: A multi-country moderation analysis
Shirokova G., Morris M., Laskovaia A. et al., Journal of Business Research 2021 Vol. 129 P. 169–182
Entrepreneurs employ various behavioral logics in the venture creation process, including effectuation and causation. Where prior studies suggest that both causal and effectual approaches are positively related to firm performance, the extant literature has not examined how the institutional context influences this relationship. This study explores how country-level institutions moderate the link between causal and ...
Added: April 15, 2021
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