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Article

Эконометрические модели прогнозирования добычи газа

Oil & Gas Journal Russia. 2012. № 10 (65). С. 76-81.
Афанасьев А. А.

Econometric models for forecasting natural gas production possess a number of significant advantages over their geological and engineering counterparts. They take into account much fewer factors, are substantially simpler and allow one to quickly formulate forecasts with acceptable accuracy. The results of natural gas production forecasting at OJSC Gazprom’s fields in the Tyumen region are evidence of this. Statistical data based on fixed production assets and cumulative production was taken into account in the calculations, power and exponential functions and regression analysis of time series were used as a mathematical tool.