Article
За и против регулирования финансовых пузырей монетарными методами
The article discusses the negative consequences of financial bubbles and the appropriateness of the monetary regulation thereof. The pros and cons of the monetary authorities' possible responses to financial bubbles and the options for the regulator's behavior during the inevitable collapse of the bubble are analyzed based on the availability and effectiveness of the regulatory instruments, possible negative consequences and externalities of different tactics and the ability of the regulator to spot the bubble.
The paper presents a review of stochastic framework for term structure modeling and shows comparative advantages of commonly used techniques. The main application of the research is coherent modeling of credit and interest rate risk for Euro zone issuers.
In the paper some prominent features of a modern financial system are studied using the model of leverage dynamics. Asset securitization is considered as a major factor increasing aggregate debt and hence systems uncertainty and instability. A simple macrofinancial model includes a logistic equation of leverage dynamics that reveals origins of a financial bubble, thus corresponding closely to the Minsky financial instability hypothesis. Using ROA, ROE, and the interest rate as parameters, the model provides wide spectrum of leverage and default probability trajectories for the short and long run.
The book is a first edition of a collection of articles published by the Law Faculty of the Nizhny Novgorod branch of the Federal Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education "National Research University "Higher School of Economics". It is devoted to researching various aspects of the power and society interaction in a historical and modern context of the state development. The book is the first edition of a collection of articles published by the Law Faculty of the Nizhny Novgorod branch of the Federal Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education "National Research University "Higher School of Economics". The special attention is paid to the history of public institutions and relationship of the power and society from antiquity prior to the beginning of the XX century. A number of problems of the Russian history of this period is considered on materials of the Nizhny Novgorod region.
The edition is addressed to the scientists, students, graduate students, teachers of higher education institutions, all interesteind problems of law and government, history of the state and law.
The historical changes in Central and Eastern Europe demanded suitable paths for the transition from centrally planned to market based economies. The lack of relevant experience added to the challenge, giving rise to the incalculable risks of implementing untested policies. By focusing on monetary policy, trade, and convergence, this volume addresses some of the most urgent economic policy issues in the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe and beyond.
The author traces the analysis evolution of the monetary shocks effects on the economy, exploring the key approaches to modeling of the monetary transmission mechanism. The article emphasizes the necessity of the monetary transmission mechanism modification in the conditions of current financial crisis: the active role reflection of the financial intermediaries, accounting of the development degrees of institutional capacity in the economy.
The paper examines the structure, governance, and balance sheets of state-controlled banks in Russia, which accounted for over 55 percent of the total assets in the country's banking system in early 2012. The author offers a credible estimate of the size of the country's state banking sector by including banks that are indirectly owned by public organizations. Contrary to some predictions based on the theoretical literature on economic transition, he explains the relatively high profitability and efficiency of Russian state-controlled banks by pointing to their competitive position in such functions as acquisition and disposal of assets on behalf of the government. Also suggested in the paper is a different way of looking at market concentration in Russia (by consolidating the market shares of core state-controlled banks), which produces a picture of a more concentrated market than officially reported. Lastly, one of the author's interesting conclusions is that China provides a better benchmark than the formerly centrally planned economies of Central and Eastern Europe by which to assess the viability of state ownership of banks in Russia and to evaluate the country's banking sector.
The paper examines the principles for the supervision of financial conglomerates proposed by BCBS in the consultative document published in December 2011. Moreover, the article proposes a number of suggestions worked out by the authors within the HSE research team.