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Коронакризисные тенденции в европейской экономике: новые вызовы, риски, ожидания

Вопросы статистики. 2020. № 27(5). С. 95-113.

The article describes in detail the economic consequences of a coronavirus attack for the European region. The authors analyzed the main barriers to rapid economic recovery, the effects of the European Commission's anti-crisis actions, short-term trends, forecasts of international organizations, and risks. According to the authors, many anti-crisis measures were taken in the region too gradually and heterogeneously across countries. Economic uncertainty and risks are still high. The divergence of countries is increasing. The authors also presented an overview of all well-known indicators of business cycles that reflect the economic sentiments of entrepreneurs and consumers in the European Union (EU) and the euro area. The results of surveys, both harmonized for all EU countries and conducted by international and national organizations, indicate that all negative trends that characterize the “economic anxiety” of European managers and consumers have begun to slow down. The paper presents the main differences in both short-term quantitative statistics and the sentiments of economic agents across countries, which significantly limit the overall effect of the recovery on the economy of the region.