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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
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The Personal Sovereignty in Adolescents and Youth from Armenia, China, and Russia

Psychology in Russia: State of the Art. 2018. Vol. 11. No. 3. P. 53–68.
Nartova-Bochaver S. K., Hakobjanyan A., Harutyunyan S., Khachatryan N., Wu M.

Background. In today’s hectic civilization, it is very important for a person to maintain
personal boundaries which help him or her keep his/her identity. Personal sovereignty
(PS) is a trait that demonstrates the extent to which a person’s empirical Self is respected
by his/her social environment. Whereas the genesis and correlations system of personal
sovereignty in proximal relationships have been investigated widely, little is known about
whether they are culturally sensitive or not.
Objective. In this study, we aimed to investigate the patterns and genesis of personal
sovereignty in relation to age and gender, by comparing individuals from Armenian,
Chinese, and Russian cultures. Our sample consisted of 780 respondents, of whom
223 were from Armenia, 277 from China, and 280 from Russia; 367 were adolescents
(Mage = 13) and 413 were youth (Mage = 21); there were 361 males and 419 females.
Method. The “Personal Sovereignty Questionnaire–2010” was used.
Results. The results suggest that culture, age, and gender all impact on the sense of
personal sovereignty. Although there were no differences between cultures on the main
PS score, we did find different PS patterns within all three cultures and when comparing
males versus females. The PS scores in youth were higher than in adolescents, except in
Armenia where the results were inverted. All age trends in PS were found in females, but
not in males. Gender differences in PS within each culture were found in youth but not
in adolescents.
Conclusion. We discussed and explained the outcomes with reference to the specificity
of the way each culture endorses traditional or secular-rational values, which values
determine the prevalent attitudes towards gender roles and demands on adolescents and
youth.

Research target: Psychology
Priority areas: humanitarian
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: culturevaluesgender rolesempirical selfpersonal sovereigntypsychological spacepersonal boundariespersonal sovereignty
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