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Regular version of the site

Article

Последствия Парижского климатического соглашения для экономики России

Вопросы экономики. 2018. № 4. С. 76-94.
Макаров И. А., Чен Х., Пальцев С.

The paper applies multiregional CGE Economic Policy Projection and Analysis (EPPA) model to analyze major risks the Paris Agreement on climate change adopted in 2015 brings to Russia. The authors come to the conclusion that
if parties of the Agreement meet their targets that were set for 2030 it may lead to the decrease of average annual GDP growth rates by 0.2—0.3 p. p. Stricter climate policies beyond this year would bring GDP growth rates reduction in 2035—2050 by additional 0.5 p. p. If Russia doesn’t ratify Paris Agreement, these losses may increase. In order to mitigate these risks, diversification of Russian economy is required.