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Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов индексов цен производителей промышленных товаров
Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал). 2017. Т. 110. № 4. С. 33–37.
Е. Астафьева, М. Турунцева
Nikulina Y., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия EC "Economics". 2026. № 1.
This paper estimates the impact of the international sanctions of 2014 and 2022, as well as the food embargo, on the technical efficiency of agricultural enterprises. The assessment was carried out using panel data from agricultural enterprises specializing in dairy production in the Leningrad Region for the period 2010–2023, employing stochastic frontier analysis. It is ...
Added: October 11, 2026
Брычков М. Е., Незнанов А.А., Программирование 2026 № 4 С. 50–66
The matrix profile (MP) quickly became one of the most important time series preprocessing methods when it was introduced in 2016, facilitating the solution of a wide range of time series analysis problems, in particular anomaly and pattern detection problems. The high significance has led to the emergence of various tools for MP calculating, but ...
Added: October 9, 2026
ООО "Издательство Юрайт ", 2026.
The Collection of Olympiad Problems (COP) in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics (PTMS) is offered as a teaching aid primarily for university students and faculty as a developmental supplementary resource, expanding the range of problems to be solved in lectures, seminars, and out-of-class independent work with students in various formats, including (as the title suggests) ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Kupavskii A., Noskov F., Forum of Mathematics, Sigma 2026 Vol. 14 Article 124
We call a family of $s$ sets $\{F_1, \ldots, F_s\}$ a sunflower with $s$ petals if, for any distinct $i, j \in [s]$, one has $F_i \cap F_j = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$. The set $C = \cap_{u = 1}^s F_u$ is called the {\it core} of the sunflower. It is a classical result of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Flamarion M. V., Pelinovsky E., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2026 Vol. 213 No. 2 Article 119245
This article concerns the study of modulational instability in the rotated-modified Gardner–Whitham (rmGW) equation. This model incorporates both quadratic and cubic nonlinearities, similarly to the Gardner equation, while also retaining the fully dispersive character of the Whitham equation together with a large-scale dispersive term analogous to that in the Ostrovsky equation. Using a classical multiple-scale asymptotic expansion, we ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Люксембург А. А., УРСС, 2005.
Изучается возможность автоматизированного построения математических теорий. Рассматривается дедуктивная система, основанная на языке логики предикатов первого порядка, объектами системы являются математические выражения или формулы, которые описывают математические объекты или их свойства. В дедуктивной системе выводятся математические определения и теоремы. Для доказательства теорем используются методы автоматического доказательства. Разработан алгоритм, выводящий часть формул системы. Для решения задачи используется аппарат математической ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Bernardin C., Gonçalves P., Olla S., Mathematical Physics Analysis and Geometry 2024 Vol. 27 No. 7
We consider the macroscopic limit for the space-time density fluctuations in the open symmetric simple exclusion in the quasi-static scaling limit. We prove that the distribution of these fluctuations converge to a gaussian space-time field that is delta correlated in time but with long-range correlations in space. ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Bernardin C., Chhaibi R., Najnudel J. et al., Probability Theory and Related Fields 2026 Vol. 195 P. 1823–1875
We study the celebrated Shiryaev-Wonham filter (Wonham, W.M., in J. Soc. Ind. Appl. Math. 347–369, 1964) in its historical setup, where the hidden Markov jump process has two states. We are interested in the weak noise regime for the observation equation. Interestingly, this becomes a strong noise regime for the filtering equations. Earlier results of ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Ismailov A., Spiridonov V., Успехи математических наук 2026 Т. 81 № 5 С. 183–184
Получена новая формула для цепной дроби Аски–Вильсона в форме отношения двух q-гипер-геометрических рядов. ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Abdulkhaev K., Shirokov D., Advances in Applied Clifford Algebras 2026 Vol. 36 P. 1–21
In this paper, we present explicit formulas for the inverse and determinant in geometric (Clifford) algebras over vector spaces of dimension n = 7. The derivation of these formulas is made possible by generalizing the concept of conjugation to basis conjugation operations. We further develop a general method for constructing such formulas over odd-dimensional spaces ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kuninets A., IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 2026 P. 1–1
In this work we study the applicability of Quasi-Cyclic Subfield Subcodes of Dual Elliptic (QC-SSDE) codes for integration into code-based cryptographic schemes. Detailed algorithms are provided for constructing parity-check matrices as well as block-circulant parity-check matrices for this family of codes, accompanied by empirical results that enable the construction of QC-SSDE codes with predetermined dimensions. ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Medvedev G., Alexandrov Artem, Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics 2026 Vol. 114 Article 044102
Graphons are measurable functions used to describe the asymptotic behavior of convergent graph families. Originally motivated by problems in combinatorics and graph theory, graphons have found numerous applications in the modeling and analysis of dynamical processes on networks. In this work, we use graphons to formulate the Ising model on convergent graph sequences, which include ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Pochinka O., Baranov D., Nozdrinova E., Теоретическая и математическая физика 2026 Т. 229 № 1 С. 3–14
The Birman–Williams problem on describing the planetary link of a fibered knot K in S^3 has been partially solved. Using Nielsen's theory for the classification of periodic surface homeomorphisms and its close relationship with the theory of gradient-like diffeomorphisms, it is proved that the planetary link of the trefoil (the unique periodic fibered knot of genus ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Lubashevsky I., Lubashevskiy V., Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 2026 Vol. 498 Article 135441
We develop a novel cloud-function formalism describing the dynamical relationship between sensory-information processing in large-scale brain networks (supraliminal processing) and the content of the mental representation of an observed object. The formalism combines elements of neural field theory for large-scale neural activity with the spatial characteristics of perceived objects and their embedding in the environment ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Zlotnik A., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 6 С. 1005–1009
Численным методам решения систем газодинамических уравнений посвящена обширная литература. Ранее было разработано и успешно апробировано специальное семейство симметричных по пространству консервативных разностных методов, основанных на предварительной кинетической, точнее, квазигазодинамической (КГД), регуляризации этих уравнений. Актуальной задачей является построение численных методов, которые обладают не только свойством консервативности по массе, импульсу и полной энергии, но и удовлетворяют условиям энтропийной ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Vyugin I. V., Sashadhar D., Algebra and Number Theory 2026 P. 1–10
We study the K-Fibonacci sequence Fp modulo prime p. Cardinalities of sets |Fp+Fp| and |Fp⋅Fp| are estimated. We present the method of estimating doubling constant of some m-dimensional recurrent sets in Fp. ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Usvitskiy A., Mizyakov V., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Added: September 24, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Ursulenko V., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Настоящая работа посвящена сравнению эффективности классических эконометрических моделей и современных алгоритмов машинного и глубокого обучения для кратко- и среднесрочного прогнозирования качественных данных бизнес-опросов деловой активности обрабатывающих производств России. На основе данных за период с января 2010 г. по март 2026 г. было комплексно протестировано 10 различных подходов, включая классические модели ARIMA, VAR, ETS, алгоритм XGBoost ...
Added: September 21, 2026
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026