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Regular version of the site

Article

Система прогнозирования динамики добычи нефти с использованием имитационного моделирования

Информационные технологии. 2017. Т. 23. № 6. С. 431-436.
Акопов А. С., Бекларян А. Л., Фомин А. В., Хачатрян Н. К.

This article presents an original information-analytical system developed using parametric approximation and simulation techniques and designed for scenario forecasting the dynamics of oil production in wells. This system is implemented as a software, the core of which is a simulation model developed in an IDE AnyLogic, integrated with a database and describes the dynamics of production at each well, taking into account implemented and planned geological and technical measures (GTM). A prototype system has been successfully implemented in Russia's largest oil company and used to predict the incremental oil production around the pool of all existing wells (more than 100,000 wells in the ten-year time frame), as well as assessing the potential effect of GTM for subsequent reallocation of resources between wells.