Agent-based modelling for ecological economics: A case study of the Republic of Armenia
The ecological modernisation of enterprises has led to significant levels of total emissions in the atmosphere. This is a very important and complex issue for the Republic of Armenia (RA). An agent-based model was developed to determine the best trade-offs for the ecological modernisation of enterprises. The aim is to solve the bi-objective optimisation problem, the objectives of which are the ‘Integrated Volume of Total Emissions’ and the ‘Integrated Index of Industrial Production’. The results indicate that it is possible to reduce the total emissions in the atmosphere by more than 20% for a ten-year period. This may be done by keeping up the positive dynamics of industrial production through choosing trade-offs in the frame of the ‘Pareto-optimal ecological modernisation’ scenario. The scenario was obtained with the help of the suggested genetic algorithm, modified for the problem of the binary control of transitions from initial non-ecological states of each enterprise, towards the target state of ecologically pure manufacturing.
The 14th International Conference of the Russian Society for Ecological Economics RSEE-2017 will be devoted to the discussion of topical issues in the field of sustainable development of countries and regions, methodology and practices of establishing and developing the economic mechanisms of environmental management and protection. Topics include taxation of the use of natural resources and environmental impact, assessment and abatement of accumulated environmental damage, development of environmental target programs, management of ecological and economic systems, the problems of interactions between governmentt, business and society, environmental security.
Agent-based modeling and simulation was applied to investigate a set of problems in the energy context. The paper shows advantages of the agent based modeling approach. The method to define agents-consumers in simulation tool AnyLogic and the approach to simulating investment project risk are suggested.
Projects and reforms targeting infrastructure services can affect consumer welfare through changes in the price, coverage, or quality of the services provided. The benefits of improved service quality—while significant—are often overlooked because they are difficult to quantify. This article reviews methods of evaluating the welfare implications of changes in the quality of infrastructure services within the broader theoretical perspective of welfare measurement. The study outlines the theoretical assumptions and data requirements involved, illustrating each method with examples that highlight common methodological features and differences. The article also presents the theoretical underpinnings and potential applications of a new approach to analysing the effects of interruptions in the supply of infrastructure services on household welfare.
Continuous stochastic agent-based model of human behavior in a confined space with a given geometry is presented in the paper. An “exit front” is defined, also the flow characteristics of agents is studied, in particular, its intensity.
Nowadays simulation modeling is applied for solving a wide range of problems. There are simulations which require significant performance and time resources. To decrease overall simulation time a model can be converted to a distributed system and executed on a computer network. The goal of this project is to create a library enabling clear and rapid development parallel discrete event models in AnyLogic. The library is aimed for professionals in computer simulation and helps to reduce code amount. The project includes a research on different synchronization algorithms. In this paper we present techniques which can be used in creating distributed models. We present comparison of a single threaded model with a distributed model implementing optimistic algorithm. The comparison shows a significant improvement in wallclock time achieved by separating the model into independent submodels with minimal communications.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.