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Спрос на электроэнергию и погода в регионе: непараметрический подход
In this paper we study the effect of weather conditions on electricity consumption in Perm region. We employ the data on consumption, air temperature, humidity and wind power for each 3 hours in 2011-2015. Using nonparametric two-step procedure, we revealed non-linear relation between electricity and temperature. We also revealed the different shape of relation for periods with switched on and switched off central heating.In this paper we study the effect of weather conditions on electricity consumption in Perm region. We employ the data on consumption, air temperature, humidity and wind power for each 3 hours in 2011-2015. Using nonparametric two-step procedure, we revealed the “heating effect” for temperature periods cooler than 17°C and “cooling effects” for periods warmer than 17°C. We also revealed the increase in consumption and lower sensitivity of consumption to temperature changes for period with switched on central heating.