Методические проблемы анализа рисков нефтегазовых проектов. Часть I
The article is devoted to practical issues of risk analysis of oil and gas projects. Under consideration are issues of project risk classification; assessment of consistency of expert judgments; approach to adjustment of expert risk impact assessments. Despite the plenty of national and international standards for risk management, as well as scientific and practical literature on the subject, the tools and methods of risk analysis and management require modifications and adaptations to the specific conditions of application, including the characteristics of oil and gas projects.
The second part of the article concerns the problems of identification and quantitative risk assessment of oil and gas projects. The authors proposed a series of original approaches to solving these problems and illustrated their practical applicability on the example of feasibility analysis and investment stage of oil and gas projects.
The article describes the use of Excel programme for risk assessment models: method of sensitivity analysis, scenarios method, Monte-Carlo method.
long-term investment project, risk, method of sensitivity analysis, Scenario method, method of Monte Carlo simulation
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.
портовый менеджмент, показатели деятельности, анализ эффективности, система учета, распределение издержек, методы анализа деятельности портовой системы
At present many industries reveal tendency for setting up of vertically integrated companies (VIC) the structure of which unites all technological processes. This tendency proved its efficiency in oil industry where coordination of all successive stages of technological process, namely, oil prospecting and production -oil transportation - oil processing - oil chemistry - oil products and oil chemicals marketing, is necessary. The article considers specific features of introduction of "personnel management" module at enterprises of oil and gas industry.
vertically integrated companies; personnel management