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Foresight in Russia
Baltic Rim Economies. 2014. No. 6. P. 49-49.
Publication based on the results of:
Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., Chulok A., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 441-456
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present the results of the recent Russian Science and Technology Foresight – a full-fledged study targeted at the identification of the most promising areas of science and technology (S&T) development in Russia towards 2030 to ensure the realisation of the nation’s competitive advantages. It was organised as ...
Added: October 18, 2017
Saritas O., Burmaoglu S., Scientometrics 2015 Vol. 105 No. 1 P. 497-508
An increasing number of quantitative and qualitative methods have been used for future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) to develop understanding of situations, enable creativity, engage experts, and provide interaction. FTA practitioners have used frequently one or a suitable mixture of these methods for their activities. Changing policy and strategy making contexts as well as enabling technologies ...
Added: October 7, 2015
Sokolov A., Chulok A., Mesropyan V. R. et al., Инновации 2013 № 12 С. 34-43
During the last decade new systems of strategic tools of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy has been established in many developed and developing countries. Science and technology (S&T) Foresight in a variety of its forms and implementations is an integral part of these systems. The paper is devoted to the creation of the Russian ...
Added: February 4, 2014
Saritas O., Proskuryakova L. N., Sivaev S., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2015. No. 42.
The research presented in this paper focuses on the sustainable use of water resources in Russia based on a Foresight study with a 20-year time horizon. The study uses a scenario-planning method to develop four trajectories: economic depression, economic stagnation, visionary future, and national priority. These four trajectories offer significantly different yet plausible alternative futures. ...
Added: July 24, 2015
Miles I. D., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 437-440
The papers in this special issue of Foresight represent the most detailed accounts to appear in the English language, to date, of the Foresight and related futures analyses that have been undertaken in contemporary Russia. The Russian Federation has set out to undertake a remarkable range of such activities in the past decade, and both the approaches ...
Added: December 27, 2017
Proskuryakova L. N., Ermolenko G., Renewable Energy 2019 Vol. 143 P. 1670-1686
Today the global energy industry is undergoing major changes shifting towards the green growth and circular economy solutions. The paper offers the outcomes of the foresight study of the Russian renewable energy sector and focuses on three areas: converting solar energy into electricity; converting wind energy into electricity; and converting biomass into thermal energy and ...
Added: May 28, 2019
Tatyana Meshkova, Moiseichev E. Y., Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016 Vol. 5 No. 1 P. 1-35
The objective of this paper is to analyse the scope for improving empirical and methodological foundation of global value chain (GVC) research and for making relevant political decisions, primarily through application of foresight methodology based on the latest trend to combine the approaches of global value chain and national innovation system research. The authors choose ...
Added: February 17, 2016
Дехтярук Ю., Карышев И., Кораблева М. et al., Форсайт 2014 Т. 8 № 2 С. 30-45
The shipbuilding sector’s multiple contributions to the social and economic development, as well as to science and technology, of major maritime countries mean that the sector attracts strong interest of entrepreneurs, researchers, and government agencies. Meanwhile the diverse forms of inter-industrial interaction, and specific aspects associated with building high-technology vessels require significant investments. Hence that is a significant challenge in a context ...
Added: July 2, 2014
Proskuryakova L. N., Saritas O., Sivaev S., Journal of Cleaner Production 2018 Vol. 170 P. 867-879
The grand challenge of accessing fresh water and sanitation is a global concern. The intensity of challenge depends on the geographical location as well as the level of socio-economic development of individual countries. The present paper first reviews the key water-related global trends and examines the global agenda on water issues. Next the focus is ...
Added: September 25, 2017
Velikanova N. P., Veselitskaya N., Vishnevskiy K. et al., М. : ЦАГИ, 2014
Документ подготовлен рабочей группой «Форсайт развития науки и технологий», созданной во исполнение Протокола No 1 от 28 июня 2011 года совещания в Министерстве промышленности и торговли Российской Федерации о разработке «Национального плана развития науки и технологий в авиастроении на период до 2025 года и дальнейшую перспективу». В рабочую группу вошли представители научных организаций ...
Added: October 2, 2013
Bakhtin P. D., Saritas O., Chulok A. et al., Scientometrics 2017 Vol. 111 No. 3 P. 2059-2075
Rapid changes in Science & Technology (S&T) along with breakthroughs in products and services concern a great deal of policy and strategy makers and lead to an ever increasing number of Foresight and other types of forward-looking work. At the outset, the purpose of these efforts is to investigate emerging S&T areas, set priorities and ...
Added: December 21, 2016
Snegirev A., Bidzhiev A., Futures 2020 No. 124 P. 102635
This paper provides an empirical analysis of a particular social anticipatory system emergence. Considering the anticipation phenomenon on a macro level as an intrinsic property of a social system, the authors exemplify its embodiment in interrelated constructs. The anticipation naturally spans various managerial domains of socio-economic space, bringing to it the time as a constructive ...
Added: September 17, 2020
Tatiana A. Meshkova, Moiseichev E. Y., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2015. No. 47.
Added: September 28, 2015
Богомолова А. В., Боков М.Б., Великанова Н.П. et al., Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2015
Вниманию читателей предлагается аналитический доклад, обобщающий результаты форсайт-исследования развития рынков и технологий судостроение и судоремонта. Исследование выполнено Международным научно-образовательным Форсайт-центром Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ по заказу ФГУП "Крыловский государственный научный центр". В докладе представлены оценки текущего состояния отрасли; проанализированы ключевые тенденции развития мирового и российского судостроения, глобальные вызовы и риски, барьеры, ...
Added: July 6, 2015
Proskuryakova L. N., / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 44.
The Foresight study presented in this paper is devoted to the sustainable use of water resources in Russia. The authors analyse possible trajectories of development in the three thematic areas (i) sustainability of water systems; (ii) water use by households and in industry; and (iii) new water products and services.
The Foresight methods cover expert interviews ...
Added: August 31, 2015
Fursov K., Miles I. D., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 15.
How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the ...
Added: July 24, 2013
Mikova N., / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2016. No. 65/STI/2016.
This paper proposes a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the future perspectives of climate change. First, it analyzes the possibilities of using the media as an information source for anticipating trends and challenges in this area through exploring the topics that have been actively discussed in the news in the recent 5 years. Second, qualitative and ...
Added: October 12, 2016
Ena O., Mikova N., Saritas O. et al., Scientometrics 2016 Vol. 108 No. 3 P. 1013-1041
This paper introduces a systematic technology trend monitoring (TTM) methodology based on an analysis of bibliometric data. Among the key premises for developing a methodology are: (1) the increasing number of data sources addressing different phases of the STI development, and thus requiring a more holistic and integrated analysis; (2) the need for more customized ...
Added: August 28, 2016
Kuzminov I., Bakhtin P. D., Khabirova E. et al., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2018. No. 82.
This paper contributes to the conceptualisation and operationalisation of the “technology trend” discussion in the scope of the Technology Foresight paradigm. It proposes a consistent logical approach to analysing technology trends and increase predictive potential of futures studies. The approach integrates Big Data analysis into the Foresight studies’ toolset by means of applying text mining, ...
Added: October 3, 2018
Mikhail Bokov, Razheva (Edelkina) A., Klubova M. et al., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 22.
The paper assesses the development of the market for navigation services and devices based on the results of a recently held Foresight exercise on monitoring of global technology trends. The future of the market for Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) devices is largely influenced by grand challenges (i.e. lifestyle change, technical safety, urbanization, rural development, ...
Added: November 16, 2013
Мешкова Т. А., Moiseichev E. Y., Форсайт 2016 Т. 10 № 1 С. 69-82
The objective of this paper is to analyse the scope for improving empirical and methodological foundation of global value chains (GVCs) research and for making relevant political decisions, primarily through application of foresight methodology. The authors review major trends of global value chains’ development, specific features of Russia’s participation in them, and the necessary steps ...
Added: March 31, 2016
Mikova N., Eichhammer W., Pfluger B., Energy Policy 2019 No. 130 P. 448-460
This paper proposes an approach to comparing and assessing the policy settings in the European low-carbon energy scenarios. First, it presents the methodology including ten characteristics for scenario assessment: modelling framework (diversity), ambitiousness of the targets 2050, relations with other (European) countries, stakeholder involvement, technology options, non-technological aspects, economic component, usage of scenarios in policy ...
Added: June 16, 2019
Vishnevskiy K., Grebenyuk A. Y., Kindras A. et al., International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 2015 Vol. 10 No. 2-4 P. 126-144
Technology and market roadmapping are well established instruments for companies’ research and innovation planning. Recent advances in the literature have developed approaches to integrate technology and market roadmaps to allow a more comprehensive understanding of technology development. Inspired by companies’ widespread implementation of integrated roadmaps, public authorities have recently begun to adopt this tool for ...
Added: November 2, 2015
Tokareva M. S., Чихун Л. П., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2017 № 6 С. 65-80
The development of information and communication technologies has contributed to the fact that the telecommunication industry has become one of the strategic sectors of the economy on which the functioning of other branches of the economy depends. Therefore, the objective of the study was to determine the factors that influence the competitiveness of telecommunications companies ...
Added: January 29, 2018