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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
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HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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The Importance of Gossip Across Societies: Correlations with Institutionalization

Cross-Cultural Research. 2015. Vol. 49. No. 3. P. 297–314.
Demerath L., Korotayev A.

This article presents a cross-cultural analysis that explores the relationship between the importance of gossip and institutionalization. It is reasoned that as institutionalization increases, so does the difficulty of attaining direct information about events and people that would be consequential for any given individual. As a result, gossip should increase with institutionalization, and complexity generally. This general hypothesis is tested against data from a sample of recent and historical societies. The analysis finds support for the hypothesis and also explores the relationship between gossip and gender autonomy. The results are discussed in terms of understanding gossip as a strategy for attaining information when direct information gathering is inhibited by one’s social structural circumstances. The article closes with a discussion of possible implications for contemporary societies.

Research target: Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Priority areas: economics sociology IT and mathematics mathematics
Language: English
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Keywords: информациягендерinformationgenderrisksстихийные слухислухириски дестабилизацииDestabilization processesgossip
Publication based on the results of:
Monitoring of risks of socio-political destabilization in the "Afro-Asian" zone of instability (2015)
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