Модели порядковых статистик планирования и оценки рисков проектов ремонта магистральных газопроводов
Current article considers the financial management models of the output expansion and switching to the renowned production program in the conditions of uncertainty and risks. It is assumed that limited amount of capital, intermediate credit as well as long-term loan, are used for the sourcing of production program computed. Posed models can be used in one-period interval as well as in dynamics.
The article describes the use of Excel programme for risk assessment models: method of sensitivity analysis, scenarios method, Monte-Carlo method.
long-term investment project, risk, method of sensitivity analysis, Scenario method, method of Monte Carlo simulation
The features of risk analysis in it projects are considered. Given a risk classification on various grounds, we describe the qualitative and quantitative methods of risk analysis, most applicable in IT projects. Analyzed and shows the problems faced by an IT Manager during the implementation of projects.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.